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Location Case Study Shanghai GM Service Parts Part II
John H. Vande Vate Spring 2006 1
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Schedule Driven Transport
Service a primary driver Product has relatively high value The transportation network is likely Schedule Driven, (e.g. daily deliveries) Alternative is Load Driven (deliver whenever there’s enough demand for a full truckload) For now, let’s assume 5 days a week 2
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Cost of Transportation
Mileage Number of lanes So?! 3
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Where the parts come from
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Where they go… 5
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Assumptions Schedule, not capacity drives transport
Handling fees are “nominal” … 6
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Inventory Consolidation should Assumption: Have no effect
On inventory at supplier On inventory at dealerships Create some inventory at the DCs Add to pipeline inventory Assumption: Each lane creates inventory equal to half the value of its average shipment 7
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Consequences Inventory depends on the lanes not just the number of DCs
Trade-offs are Capital cost of DCs & Additional inventory at DCs vs Savings in Freight Consolidation We are ignoring pipeline effects as they are probably small. 8
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Mechanical Consequences
The ALT Heuristic now has Flow problem: Determine how goods move from suppliers to dealers (e.g., what do we run through DCs) Location problem: Determine where to put the DCs Comment: This is still a heuristic and by no means the only possibility. An MIP Convex Opt. 9
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The Flow Problem Multi-Commodity Network Flow
Supply (Scaled to weekly value) Supplies from each province are a commodity, e.g., supplies from Heilongjiang Demand (Scaled to weekly value) Assume demand is the same everywhere (i.e., 1% of the value of parts comes from Heilongjiang so 1% of the value of demand for parts in each province is for parts from Heilongjiang.) The Network Supply Provinces direct to Dealers Supply Provinces to DCs DCs to DCs DCs to dealers 10
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The Cost Structure Consolidate!
If you send flow (of any product) from one location to another, you pay for daily shipments you create inventory at the destination Note the transportation costs does NOT depend on how much flow you send, just whether you send any at all, so…. Consolidate! 11
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Inventory Cost Pay inventory carrying cost of ½ the value of average shipment on each lane WEEKLY holding rate e.g., = 20%/50 weeks Value of average shipment of product Flow[fromnode, tonode, product]/5 Value of a weeks shipments Number of shipments/week 12
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Do we ship that way or not
Modeling the Cost Model the flows Flow[fromnode, tonode, product] is how much of a given “product” we send directly from “fromnode” to “tonode” UseLane[fromnode, tonode] is the BINARY variable indicating whether or not we send flow of any product from “fromnode” to “tonode” Cost: To get weekly transport cost 5*CostPerMile*Distance*UseLane Add those up across all the lanes Cost of each shipment Do we ship that way or not Shipments per week 13
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Don’t Forget Constraints to ensure the meaning
Method #1: For each (fromnode, tonode) BigEnoughNumber*UseLane[fromnode, tonode] >= sum{(fromnode, tonode) in EDGES, product in PRODUCTS} Flow[fromnode, tonode, product]; Method #2: For each (fromnode, tonode, product) Supply[product]*UseLane[fromnode, tonode] >= Which is better? 14
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Caution Fixed Charge Network Flow Problem Typically difficult to solve
LP Relaxation is far from the MIP CPLEX adds cuts to close this gap These are constraints implied by the integer variables 15
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This changes as we move the DCs
Re-Locating The DC’s Just like before Fix the transportation network and change the locations of the dcs 5*CostPerMile*Distance*UseLane This changes as we move the DCs This is fixed for now 16
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Need that to balance inventory and transport
The Data Read the Supplier Locations and %’s Read the Province Locations and %’s Read the current DC locations and whether they are open Some additional parameters param CostPerMile default 2; param HoldingRate default 0.004; param WeeklyVolume default ; Need that to balance inventory and transport 17
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The Model & Script 18
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Running the Model 19
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The Solution 20
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The Solution 21
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Advantages Equipment Balance
Vehicles cycling among the DCs Vehicles traveling back and forth between Supplier Province and DC Single Sourcing (even though we didn’t insist on it) 22
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What should we consider next?
Every day?! It’s a 7 day trip 23
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Frequency! Add a set of FREQUENCIES Expanded the variables
E.g., 1, 3, or 5 times per week Expanded the variables UseLane[fromnode, tonode, frequency] That let’s us capture the cost: Frequency*Distance*UseLane… Flow[fromnode, tonode, product, frequency] That let’s us capture inventory HoldingRate*Flow [fromnode, tonode, product, frequency]/(2*frequency) 24
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Some Comments You have to conserve product at a DC, but you don’t have to conserve frequency Product from Heilongjiang comes in weekly, but goes out daily Our estimate of inventory is pretty rough at the DCs but it’s good at the Provinces 3 Frequency options mean the model is 3X as large….that really slows things down. 25
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Where’s to Use Frequency
There are also other reasons for high frequency Shanghai Blue 5 Guangzhou Pink Hangzhou Nanjing Red Jinan 3 Beijing Shijiazhuang 26
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What Next? Geographic Details Transportation Cost Details
Provincial demand not all centered on the capital. The split to DCs may not match the assignment of the capitals Transportation Cost Details May be savings from round trips May have capacity issues on some lanes … What’s happening to the effort? What’s happening to the impact? 27
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What’s Next For Us? No Class February 21st
Review for the exam Work on your projects In Class Exam on February 23rd Covers lectures through today Open-book, open-notes YOUR OWN WORK 28
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Modeling Questions Two kinds of answers possible
Unambiguous AMPL-like formation Excel formulation (less preferred but acceptable) See the example 29
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After the Exam BMW Case Study Do not miss this Modeling Variability
Impact of Improved Forecasting Impact of Increased Frequency Managing Variability in Supply Do not miss this 30
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