2. AOMIP and FAMOS are supported by the National Science Foundation
AOMIP 16th workshop
&
1st FAMOS (Forum for Arctic Modeling and Observational Synthesis) workshop
Andrey Proshutinsky, Mike Steele and AOMIP team
October , Woods Hole, MA
AOMIP and FAMOS are supported by the National Science Foundation

3. The AOMIP is an international effort to identify systematic errors in Arctic Ocean models and to reduce uncertainties in model results and climate predictions.
AOMIP was initiated in September 2000 and was supported:
in by NOAA via the University of Alaska Cooperative Institute for Arctic Research,
in by OPP NSF via IARC,
In 2007 we had no financial support but prepared a new proposal for NSF
In by a direct grant from OPP NSF.
In 2011 – 2012 NSF (2-year no cost extension to complete experiments and publish results)
In NSF as FAMOS to start activities

4. AOMIP initiation and expectations
AOMIP initial goal was to provide:
1. Recommendations for improving existing regional and global coupled ice-ocean models;
2. Assessments of the degree of uncertainty in the results and conclusions made by different modelers, scientific groups and institutions.
3. Identification of model errors and causes of these errors and model discrepancies.
GFDL, 2004

5. McGill University, 2005

6. Model validation
The first group of studies has focused on the analysis of differences among model results and between model results and observations.
This was a first step needed for a process of model improvements.

7. Model validation parameters

8. Model improvements

9. Arctic change studies

10. Woods Hole, 2010 –more than 90 participants

11. Major 2008-2012 activities 2. Coordinated experiments/themes
Bering Strait volume, heat and salt fluxes
Canada Basin: shelf-basin exchange and mechanisms
Pacific Water circulation (origin, forcing, pathways)
Canada Basin: major mechanisms of halocline formation and variability
Circulation and fate of fresh water from river runoff
Beaufort Gyre: mechanisms of fresh water accumulation and release
Fresh water balance of the Arctic Ocean
Atlantic Water circulation
Ecosystem experiments
Observations, state estimation, and adjoint methods

12. In 2000-2012 we published more than 90 papers and had 15 AOMIP workshops.
2007
2012

13. Forum for Arctic Modeling and Observational Synthesis (FAMOS)
October , Woods Hole, MA
AOMIP and FAMOS are supported by the National Science Foundation

14. Specifically, FAMOS will:
The overall goal of FAMOS is a better understanding of the Arctic climate system (with a focus on marine ones) through the use of improving numerical models and observational tactics and strategies.
Specifically, FAMOS will:
Sponsor (at a minimum) an annual workshop for arctic marine theoreticians, modelers and observationalists.
Encourage at these workshops the formation of intercomparison projects focused on solving current issues of interest to the observational and modeling communities.
Identify leaders who will write papers and give talks about FAMOS and who will shepherd the ongoing intercomparison projects from initial brainstorming to final publication.
Provide, for those in need, limited funding for travel (not just to the annual workshop but also to other intercomparison meetings) and for publication of results.

15. The overall FAMOS science goals are as follows:
Continue validation and improvement of regional Arctic Ocean models with intermediate resolution of km and specifically focus on validating and improving of new generation of high and very high resolution regional Arctic Ocean models (1-10 km, such as AO-FVCOM, ORCA, NAME, etc.) in a coordinated fashion.
Investigate ways to improve reanalysis products with a focus on data assimilation and the design of comprehensive observing systems capable of providing enough information for correct initial conditions about ocean and sea ice for models employed for predictions.
Continue investigation of variability of the Arctic Ocean and sea ice at seasonal to decadal time scales focusing on the processes, and identify mechanisms responsible for the observed changes.
Analyze IPCC model results validating them against observations in the Arctic and results from the regional Arctic models.

16. The project’s practical goals are to:
Maintain and enhance in FAMOS the established AOMIP international collaboration to reduce uncertainties in model predictions (model validation/improvements via coordinated experiments and studies; reanalysis methods and products for correct initial and boundary conditions; design and implementation of the oceanic and sea ice remote and in situ observing systems);
Support synthesis across the suite of Arctic models and observatories and/or observational projects and systems;
Organize scientific meetings and workshops including virtual teleconferences;
Conduct collaboration with other MIPs with a special focus on model and data improvements and analysis;
Disseminate findings of FAMOS effort to broader communities and involve the larger community in discussions, coordinated modeling and observational field experiments;
Train a new generation of ocean and sea-ice observationalists and modelers.

17. Concrete goals for 2012-2013 and this workshop:
Discuss at this workshop and formulate major conditions to conduct research for the following problems (we will discuss them on Thursday):
Freshwater and heat experiments to better understand roles of freshwater and heat dynamics in the Arctic climate change
Tracer based experiments to provide both observational and modeling communities to a) design observational studies b) validate models c) parameterize numerous processes associated with mixing and advection.
Continue working with ecosystem modeling and design new experiments taking into account observational needs.
Continue working with circulation experiments for surface, Pacific and Atlantic water layers.

18. AOMIP /FAMOS workshop 1. AOMIP: final results
2. FAMOS: major tasks and formulation of coordinated activities
Session 1: Sea Ice Highlights
Session 2: Sea ice observations and modeling
Session 3: Arctic Ocean water properties and dynamics
Session 4: Future Experiments
Session 5: Satellite-based analysis and methods
Session 6: Models and fluxes
AOMIP /FAMOS workshop