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Business models on Facebook Stanford Facebook Class Nov 15th, 2007
Jeremy Liew Partner, Lightspeed Venture Partners Lsvp.wordpress.com
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Its cheaper than ever to start an internet or app company…
Source: Carsonified.com/SXSW Presentation
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… and cheaper than ever to run an internet company
SAMPLE EXPENSE BUDGET Annual Fixed Costs Assumptions Staff Costs $0.84m 7 employees $120k fully loaded Infrastructure Costs $0.18m $15k/month Other Costs $0.20m Rent, Legal, etc TOTAL $1.22m
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As a result, getting to breakeven isn’t too hard…
Media $ '000s % Revenue 2,440 100% Cost of Goods 1,220 50%* Marketing - 0% Staff Costs 840 36% Infrastructure Costs 180 7% Other Costs 200 EBITDA Illustrative * Assumes ad sales by an ad network or ad rep firm
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Advertising RPMs* depend on your ability to deliver a targeted audience
Example 2007 Revenue March US PVs Annual RPM Myspace $271M 44B 524B $0.52 Facebook $150M** 12B 126B $1.03 Fandango $25M** 50M 600M $41.67 $ $1-5 $10-40 Source: Myspace, Merrill Lynch; Facebook, MSNBC; Fandango, Techcrunch; Traffic, Comscore; Lightspeed Analysis * RPM = Revenue per thousand pageviews, taking into account multiple ad units and all forms of advertising: CPM, CPC and lead gen ** Facebook revenue estimate “well over $100m”, Fandango revenue estimated to be “around $50m with half from advertising and half from ticketing”
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Monthly Pageviews needed to hit Revenue Goal
Pageview targets get progressively harder as revenue aspirations increase… Monthly Pageviews needed to hit Revenue Goal Annual Revenue Goal $250k $2.5m $25m $0.50 42m 417m 4,167m $2.50 8m 83m 833m $10 2m 21m 208m RPM
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…requiring stretch targets for installs
Total app installs needed to hit revenue goal* Annual Revenue Goal $250k $2.5m $25m $0.50 9m 93m 926m $2.50 2m 19m 185m $10 0.5m 5m 46m VS. RPM 21m installs * Assumes 5% active per day, 3 pageviews per visit
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Implication for ad models – get big or get expensive
Multiple apps Multuple platforms Get expensive (High CPMs) Endemic categories (Movies, Travel, Health, Shopping etc) Standard ad units Targeting
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What about digital goods?
Total installs needed to hit Revenue Goal Annual Revenue Goal $250k $2.5m $25m 0.1% 14m 139m 1,389m 1% 1m 5% 0.3m 3m 28m Purchase rate * Assumes 5% active per day, $1 per item
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