1. Population and Development

6. WORLD POPULATION OUTLOOK 1950-2050
Total population 2003 is 6.30 billion and for 2050 will reach 9.08 billion
In spite of higher population for the future, the growth rate of the population is expected to fall due to the decline in fertility rate and the toll taken by the HIV/AIDS pandemic in some countries. Also due to the ethnic cleaning and current treats of SARS.
Fertility rate decline – family planning
Conclusion – increase in population but decrease in average annual growth rate.
e.g. 1.16% in 2003 but 0.43% in 2050

10. POPULATION BY REGION
World population growth will be concentrated in developing countries for the foreseeable future
Population for Asia, Africa, Sub Saharan Africa, Middle East, North America and South America will increase substantially
Population for European countries and Former Soviet Union tends to fall for the foreseeable future
Not much different for the population for Oceania and Baltic region

12. Europe is the only world region projected to decline in population by 2050.
Millions

13. World divisions
1st World (Developed countries) / More developed countries (MDC) / High income countries (HIC)
2nd World (Developing countries) / Less Developed Countries (LDC)/ / Middle income countries (MIC)
3rd World (Under-developed) / Least developed countries (LLDC)/ Low income countries (LIC)
Brandt map?

14. Life expectancy trends90 80 70 60 50 40 30
More developed
World
Expectation of life at birth (years)
Less developed
Least developed
Period
Source: Population division of the Dept. of Economic and Social Affairs, United States Secretariat (2003). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision Highlights. New York: United Nations.

15. Changing in causes of death
Respiratory
Diseases
Cardiovascular
diseases
Other
Infectious
Diseases TB
Diarrhoeal
Diseases
Injuries
Cancer
Source: WHO 1999

16. Changes in Population structure : Ageing

17. Ageing
The world's elderly population (60 +) is the fastest growing age group.
By 2050 about 80% of the elderly will be living in developing countries
Elder abuse is on the increase as the social dynamics change.
physical,
psychological,
emotional,
financial due to neglect.

18. Changing in fertility trends7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Least developed
Less developed
Total fertility (children per woman)
World
More developed
Period
Source: Population division of the Dept. of Econ. and Social Affairs, US Secretariat (2003). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision Highlights. New York: United Nations.

19. TOP 10 RANKED MOST POPULATED COUNTRIES FOR 2003 AND 2050
Countries Ranked by Population: 2003
Rank
Country
Population 1
China
1,286,975,468 2
India
1,049,700,118 3
United States
290,342,554 4
Indonesia
234,893,453 5
Brazil
182,032,604 6
Pakistan
150,694,740 7
Russia
144,526,278 8
Bangladesh
138,448,210 9
Nigeria
133,881,703 10
Japan
127,214,499
Countries Ranked by Population: 2050
Rank
Country
Population 1
India
1,601,004,572 2
China
1,417,630,630 3
United States
420,080,587 4
Indonesia
336,247,428 5
Nigeria
307,420,055 6
Bangladesh
279,955,405 7
Pakistan
267,813,495 8
Brazil
228,426,737 9
Congo (Kinshasa)
181,260,098 10
Mexico
153,162,145

20. Distribution of Income-inequality
World Population arrange by income
Distribution of Income
82.7%
Richest 20%
Second 20%
11.7%
Third 20%
2.3%
Fourth 20%
1.9%
Poorest 20%
1.4%
Source: Walley J, Wright J, and Hubley J (2001)