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Population and Development

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Presentation on theme: "Population and Development"— Presentation transcript:

1 Population and Development

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6 WORLD POPULATION OUTLOOK 1950-2050
Total population 2003 is 6.30 billion and for 2050 will reach 9.08 billion In spite of higher population for the future, the growth rate of the population is expected to fall due to the decline in fertility rate and the toll taken by the HIV/AIDS pandemic in some countries. Also due to the ethnic cleaning and current treats of SARS. Fertility rate decline – family planning Conclusion – increase in population but decrease in average annual growth rate. e.g. 1.16% in 2003 but 0.43% in 2050

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10 POPULATION BY REGION World population growth will be concentrated in developing countries for the foreseeable future Population for Asia, Africa, Sub Saharan Africa, Middle East, North America and South America will increase substantially Population for European countries and Former Soviet Union tends to fall for the foreseeable future Not much different for the population for Oceania and Baltic region

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12 Europe is the only world region projected to decline in population by 2050.
Millions

13 World divisions 1st World (Developed countries) / More developed countries (MDC) / High income countries (HIC) 2nd World (Developing countries) / Less Developed Countries (LDC)/ / Middle income countries (MIC) 3rd World (Under-developed) / Least developed countries (LLDC)/ Low income countries (LIC) Brandt map?

14 Life expectancy trends
90 80 70 60 50 40 30 More developed World Expectation of life at birth (years) Less developed Least developed Period Source: Population division of the Dept. of Economic and Social Affairs, United States Secretariat (2003). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision Highlights. New York: United Nations.

15 Changing in causes of death
Respiratory Diseases Cardiovascular diseases Other Infectious Diseases TB Diarrhoeal Diseases Injuries Cancer Source: WHO 1999

16 Changes in Population structure : Ageing

17 Ageing The world's elderly population (60 +) is the fastest growing age group. By 2050 about 80% of the elderly will be living in developing countries Elder abuse is on the increase as the social dynamics change. physical, psychological, emotional, financial due to neglect.

18 Changing in fertility trends
7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Least developed Less developed Total fertility (children per woman) World More developed Period Source: Population division of the Dept. of Econ. and Social Affairs, US Secretariat (2003). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision Highlights. New York: United Nations.

19 TOP 10 RANKED MOST POPULATED COUNTRIES FOR 2003 AND 2050
Countries Ranked by Population: 2003 Rank Country Population 1 China 1,286,975,468 2 India 1,049,700,118 3 United States 290,342,554 4 Indonesia 234,893,453 5 Brazil 182,032,604 6 Pakistan 150,694,740 7 Russia 144,526,278 8 Bangladesh 138,448,210 9 Nigeria 133,881,703 10 Japan 127,214,499 Countries Ranked by Population: 2050 Rank Country Population 1 India 1,601,004,572 2 China 1,417,630,630 3 United States 420,080,587 4 Indonesia 336,247,428 5 Nigeria 307,420,055 6 Bangladesh 279,955,405 7 Pakistan 267,813,495 8 Brazil 228,426,737 9 Congo (Kinshasa) 181,260,098 10 Mexico 153,162,145

20 Distribution of Income-inequality
World Population arrange by income Distribution of Income 82.7% Richest 20% Second 20% 11.7% Third 20% 2.3% Fourth 20% 1.9% Poorest 20% 1.4% Source: Walley J, Wright J, and Hubley J (2001)


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