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Arab spring
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Origins and geography Social and national movement which started in Named “arabic spring” to make a reference to the people spring from 1848. This movement started in Tunisia to conteste the power of Ben Ali One slogan : Erhal : Get out Then in Egypte In Lybia, Bahrein, Yemen failure. (UN, Solidarity with monachies in persian golf) Violences in Syria
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Causes, way of contestation and domino effect
Expression of liberty Corruption Cost of life, jobless Need of democracy…. But without help from other countries Example of the failure of Iraq and Lebanon war with the help of US or France
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contestation Way of contestation Non violence No leadership
Use of facebook, internet Domino effect. Rebuild geopolitics : Palestine, economy, oil…
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Common points Demography : transition achieved Educated population.
Political regimes : autoritair , old leader, nepotism Gap between diplomacy and international support ( in the name of economical interest) and aspirations of population (Olivier Roy) Influence of US in the decline Role of Turkey as mediator between Israel and Syria Saudi-Arabia and Syria in Lebanon Democracy is not imported but is coming from inside !
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consequences Financial sanctions to the dictators
Intervention in Libya Immigration problems in Libya… In Italy… Reconsideration of Schengen agreements.
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Diplomatic configuration
Egypt got closer to Iran Work for Palestine Is not that closed to US Reconfiguration of human rights council in United Union Less dictatorship
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Palestine Hamas and Fatah signed agreements in Cairo
First step to the constitution of a State of Palestine Syria is weaker so can not fight the Hamas Bahrain which finance political parties in Palestine is also weaker US is disagreed with this agreement even if it proposes the creation of a State of Palestine Opening of Rafah on May 28th.only Access to Palestine which is not controled by Israel.
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International reactions
UN : sanction to Libya Arab league : accept a mediation by Hugo Chavez NATO : attack in Libya are assimilated to a crime against humanity South Korea launched tracts on north Korea about the Arab Spring US : position of army near the Libyan coast EU : sanction on Libya, embargo
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Questions ? A new mediterrean Union ? A democracy from “inside” ?
Risk of fundamentalism ? The decline of the big power ? US, France ? The raise of new mediators ? Syria ? Turckey ?
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