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Bruno Rudolf, Andreas Becker, Udo Schneider,

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Presentation on theme: "Bruno Rudolf, Andreas Becker, Udo Schneider,"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) Serving the Hydro-Climatology Community
Bruno Rudolf, Andreas Becker, Udo Schneider, Anja Meyer-Christoffer, Markus Ziese, Peter Finger Deutscher Wetterdienst Department of Hydrometeorology Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

2 GPCC Outline Background and functions of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) GPCC data base and provenance Methods in use for QC and gridding GPCC Products Sampling error vs. high-resolution products and trend analysis Frequencies of extreme events Outlook Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

3 GPCC Outline Background and functions of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) GPCC data base and provenance Methods in use for QC and gridding GPCC Products Sampling error vs. high-resolution products and trend analysis Frequencies of extreme events Outlook Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

4 The Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC)
Established by the World Meteorological Organization WMO in the year 1988 undertaken by Deutscher Wetterdienst DWD contributes to the Global Climate Observing System GCOS and the World Climate Research Programme WCRP thousands of users world-wide scientific task: quantitative assessment of global precipitation and investigation of the global water cycle Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

5 The functions of the GPCC
 collection of observed precipitation data world-wide  data processing, quality control, storage  data analysis, production of gridded data fields  distribution of the gridded data fields  contribution to international programs Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

6 GPCC Outline Background and functions of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) GPCC data base and provenance Methods in use for QC and gridding GPCC Products Sampling error vs. high-resolution products and trend analysis Frequencies of extreme events Outlook Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

7 GPCC data sources Near real-time regularly exchanged data
via the WMO Global Main Telecommunication Network hourly/daily weather reports (SYNOP)  ca. 6,500 stations monthly climatological totals (CLIMAT)  ca. 2,300 stations ca. 8,000 stations Non real-time: Additional data received from ca. 190 countries Historical data collections (CRU, FAO, GHCN) International project data (GEWEX and other) plus: totally more than 64,000 stations Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

8 GPCC data base Data coverage by country 8
Global Precipitation Climatology Centre 8

9 GPCC data base More than 64,000 stations providing climatic means – status 2010/10 More than 64,000 stations providing normal means – status 2010 Data used as climatologic background for GPCC gridded data sets Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

10 GPCC Outline Background and functions of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) GPCC data base and provenance Methods in use for QC and gridding GPCC Products Sampling error vs. high-resolution products and trend analysis Frequencies of extreme events Outlook Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

11 GPCC quality control Separate storage of the data from different sources The source specific storage of the data serves an important basis for quality control as well as for understanding, traceability and later re-production Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

12 GPCC quality control Quality-control with 4 levels:
Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

13 GPCC gridding Gridding of the station data for individual months
Long term mean monthly precipitation ‘normals’ Monthly precipitation anomaly gridded from station anomalies September 2010 Gridded monthly precipitation totals Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

14 GPCC Outline Background and functions of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) GPCC data base and provenance Methods in use for QC and gridding GPCC Products Sampling error vs. high-resolution products and trend analysis Frequencies of extreme events Outlook Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

15 GPCC near real-time products
Routinely produced gridded data sets available within: application: number of stations: 5 days First Guess Anomalies drought monitoring FAO ~ 6,500 2 months Monitoring Product WCRP/GEWEX early reference ~ 7,500 Additional information provided for monitoring product Number of stations per grid box Sampling error Stochastic error Systematic error assessment This information is updated every month Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

16 Schedule for the release of new products
GPCC products Schedule for the release of new products  Global Precipitation Mean Climatology - period - based on about 64,000 stations Nov 2010  Full Data Reanalysis Version 5 - period - based on all available data (64,000 stations) Nov 2010  Trend analysis for selected data time-series - period - based on complete data time-series (~ 16,000 stations) early 2011  publication of the methods used and results to be submitted early 2011 Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

17 GPCC data base Temporal data coverage Full Data Product Version 4 and Version 5 Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

18 GPCC GPCC Product examples: GPCC Product examples:
a) First Guess Analysis for August 2010 (total & anomaly) Global total patterns typical for La Nina season Anomalies across Indian sub-continent contain precipitation causing Pakistan flooding GPCC Product examples: a) First Guess Analysis for July 2010 (total Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

19 GPCC GPCC Product examples:
b) Monitoring (top row) and (c) Full Data Product El Nino Winter 1997/98 Please note the excellent overall quality of the monitoring product available 2 months after the fact, but also the improvement in the Full Data Product across central Africa! Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

20 GPCC Outline Background and functions of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) GPCC data base and provenance Methods in use for QC and gridding GPCC Products Sampling error vs. high-resolution products and trend analysis Frequencies of extreme events Outlook Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

21 GPCC sampling error Monthly precipitation Statistical error < 10%
16 stations per grid required Daily precipitation Statistical error < 20% 40 stations per grid required !! Figure: GPCC after Jenne and Joseph, WMO-No. 115, 1985 Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

22 GPCC Climatology 1951-2000: Number of stations per 1º grid cell
station density Monthly precipitation error < 10% 16 stations per grid, i.e. approximately stations required globally GPCC Climatology : Number of stations per 1º grid cell Areas in dark green and blue = Sufficient station density Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

23 GPCC, Monitoring Product, Sep 2009: No. of stations per 2,5º grid cell
station density Daily precipitation error < 20% 40 stations per grid required !! i.e. approximately stations required globally!! GPCC, Monitoring Product, Sep 2009: No. of stations per 2,5º grid cell Areas in blue = Sufficient station density Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

24 Daily data analysis - 0.40 - 0.31 - 0.04 - 0.55 - 0.78 - 0.17 - 0.24 - 0.18 Linear trend (slope) for number of days with daily precipitation of 30 mm/d or more period area size ca. 50x50 km2 msl decrease Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

25 Daily data analysis + 0.36 + 0.30 + 0.26 + 0.92 + 0.55 + 1.05 + 1.37 + 0.52 + 0.33 + 1.55 + 2.03 + 1.62 + 0.46 + 0.15 + 0.29 + 0.80 + 0.45 + 0.95 + 0.86 + 0.65 + 0.34 + 0.07 + 0.17 Linear trend (slope) for number of days with daily precipitation of 30 mm/d or more period increase area size ca. 50x50 km2 msl Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

26 Daily data analysis - 0.40 + 0.36 - 0.31 - 0.04 + 0.30 + 0.26 + 0.92 + 0.55 + 1.05 + 1.37 + 0.52 + 0.33 - 0.55 - 0.78 - 0.17 - 0.24 - 0.18 + 1.55 + 2.03 + 1.62 + 0.46 + 0.15 + 0.29 + 0.80 + 0.45 + 0.95 + 0.86 + 0.65 + 0.34 + 0.07 + 0.17 Linear trend (slope) for number of days with daily precipitation of 30 mm/d or more period all 37 stations increase area size ca. 50x50 km2 msl decrease Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

27 GPCC Outline Background and functions of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) GPCC data base and provenance Methods in use for QC and gridding GPCC Products Sampling error vs. high-resolution products and trend analysis Frequencies of extreme events Outlook Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

28 S U M E R W I N T Number of days with heavy rain (i.e. days with totals exceeding 60 mm) for decades Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

29 Number of dry days (i.e. days with totals less than 1 mm) for decades
S U M E R W I N T Number of dry days (i.e. days with totals less than 1 mm) for decades Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

30 GPCC Outline Background and functions of the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) GPCC data base and provenance Methods in use for QC and gridding GPCC Products Sampling error vs. high-resolution products and trend analysis Frequencies of extreme events Outlook Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

31 GPCC Further Outlook: GPCC Climatology 2010 and Full Data Product Version 5 (almost done) Peer-reviewed publication on GPCC data base (ASAP) Upload to IPCC portal – Contribution to IPCC (Q1 2011) Selection of homogeneous time series for assembling a new homogenized precipitation re-analysis (HOMPRA) (Year 2011) Commence near real-time daily SYNOP-based Products (Year 2011) Extend daily analysis to re-analysis of historical data (from 2011 ongoing) Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

32 GPCC Web site Access to GPCC‘s Precipitation Products
Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

33 GPCC GPCC staff members: Dr. Andreas Becker (scientist, head of GPCC)
Udo Schneider (scientist) Anja Meyer-Christoffer (scientist) Markus Ziese (scientist, new member) Peter Finger (programmer) Peter Stender (technician) Astrid Heller (technician) Jan Niclas Breidenbach (technician) Dr. Bruno Rudolf (supervisor, dir. dept. hydrometeorology) The Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) is operated by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) since 1989 following the invitation of the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO). GPCC is integrated in the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) and in the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP). The task of the GPCC is: to analyse monthly global land-surface precipitation in its spatio-temporal distribution based on in situ observed data. The difference of GPCC to other global climate data archive and analysis centers is: Specialisation on precipitation Mandate of WMO, WCRP and GCOS Use of near-realtime synoptic and climatologic data Integration of all major global precipitation databases and of data contributions from most countries of the world => the largest monthly in situ precipitation database of the world comprising more than 70,000 stations Quality control and error assessment of observation data from different sources and related metadata Application specific analysis products Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

34 GPCC Additional Material:
The Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) is operated by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) since 1989 following the invitation of the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO). GPCC is integrated in the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) and in the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP). The task of the GPCC is: to analyse monthly global land-surface precipitation in its spatio-temporal distribution based on in situ observed data. The difference of GPCC to other global climate data archive and analysis centers is: Specialisation on precipitation Mandate of WMO, WCRP and GCOS Use of near-realtime synoptic and climatologic data Integration of all major global precipitation databases and of data contributions from most countries of the world => the largest monthly in situ precipitation database of the world comprising more than 70,000 stations Quality control and error assessment of observation data from different sources and related metadata Application specific analysis products Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

35 The data base Jan 1901 – Oct 2010 for gridded products
GPCC data bas The data base Jan 1901 – Oct for gridded products Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

36 GPCC data sources Temporal data coverage of the eight different data sources and the total GTS = near realtime SYNOP, CLIMAT Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

37 GPCC gridding Gridding of the stations monthly long-term mean data
1. Interpolation of station based monthly normals to gridpoint normals (distance of the grid-points 0.25° lat/lon) 2. Calculation of area-mean precipitation for regular grid-boxes for all continents and islands (grid size 0.5° lat by 0.5° lon, 1.0° lat by 1.0° lon, and 2.5° lat by 2.5° lon Gridding of the gauge data for individual months (e.g. July 2010) 1. Calculation of precipitation (mm/month) anomalies on the stations using all available data 2. Interpolation of station based monthly anomalies to grid-point anomalies and calculation of area means on the grid-boxes (as above) 3. Calculation of area-mean precipitation totals for the grid-boxes by combination of the gridded anomalies and normals The anomaly-based interpolation is used at the GPCC since 2008 Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

38 Questionable Meta Data
GPCC quality control Loading new data – check station meta data against the existing data  Station with new data stations in the data base decision support Questionable Meta Data  Expert Decision options Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

39 GPCC quality control Major challenges: Incorrect station location;
Separation of missing values from 0 mm; Separation of true from false extremes;  Metadata and precipitation observation data are intensively quality controlled and – if necessary – corrected by GPCC based on automatic as well as manual QC procedures Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

40 GPCC quality control Data errors discovered by comparisons and homogeneity tests Puna/BOL: FAO and GHCN data 1930- 1948 do not belong there!! Save/BEN: Reg. data for and too large by a factor of 2.54!! Barisal, Maijde Court, Comilla/BGD: GHCN data for too small by a factor*10!! Puerto Puyuhuapi, Coyhaique/CHL: Nat. data all „0“!! Cantillan/PHL: Nat. data all „0“!! Global Precipitation Climatology Centre

41 Free access to GPCC gridded data sets via internet
The Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) is operated by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) since 1989 following the invitation of the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO). GPCC is integrated in the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) and in the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP). The task of the GPCC is: to analyse monthly global land-surface precipitation in its spatio-temporal distribution based on in situ observed data. The difference of GPCC to other global climate data archive and analysis centers is: Specialisation on precipitation Mandate of WMO, WCRP and GCOS Use of near-realtime synoptic and climatologic data Integration of all major global precipitation databases and of data contributions from most countries of the world => the largest monthly in situ precipitation database of the world comprising more than 70,000 stations Quality control and error assessment of observation data from different sources and related metadata Application specific analysis products Number of contacts Global Precipitation Climatology Centre


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