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Economic Impact of Home Building Honolulu County, Hawaii

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Presentation on theme: "Economic Impact of Home Building Honolulu County, Hawaii"— Presentation transcript:

1 Economic Impact of Home Building Honolulu County, Hawaii
BIA - Hawaii November 15, 2016 Robert Dietz, Ph.D. NAHB Chief Economist

2 What is the Economic Impact of Home Building
NAHB impact developed in 1996 More than 800 studies, including for universities and affordable housing groups 2002: adapted for Low-Income Housing Tax Credit rental developments 2005: adapted for remodeling analysis

3 What is the Economic Impact of Home Building?
Study of Honolulu County, Hawaii Urban Honolulu, MSA consisting of a single county (Honolulu) in Hawaii 100 single-family homes

4 Local Economic Impact of Single-family Home Building
1st - Construction phase Jobs, Materials, Fees, Taxes 2nd - Ripple effect from construction phase Wages spent in local economy 3rd - Occupancy phase Earnings spent in the local economy

5 Assumptions of the Model
Inputs To Model Single-family Average house price: $522,600 Average raw lot cost: $100,308 Permits/Infrastructure: $12,393 Annual property taxes: $1,549

6 Phase I CONSTRUCTION Value of Construction +
Services Provided at Closing Permit / Hook-up / Impact Fees Model of the Local Economy Local Income, Taxes, & Jobs Supported

7 Single-family Construction – 100 Homes
FIRST YEAR IMPACT: Single-family Construction – 100 Homes INCLUDING: $1.24M permit and impact fees 172 jobs in Construction 42 jobs in Wholesale and Retail Trade 20 jobs in Business and Professional Services * One job represents enough work to keep one worker employed full-time for a year.

8 Phase II RIPPLE Spending on Locally Produced
Goods and Services Model of the Local Economy Local Income and Taxes from Phase I

9 FIRST YEAR IMPACT: Single-Family Ripple
INCLUDING: 38 jobs in Wholesale and Retail Trade 38 jobs in Local Government 34 jobs in Health, Education and Social Services 21 jobs in Eating and Drinking Places

10 Phase III OCCUPANCY Income of Occupant in New Housing Unit +
Spending on Locally Produced Goods and Services Model of the Local Economy Local Income and Taxes Income of Occupant in New Housing Unit + Increased Property Taxes

11 ONGOING Single-Family
ANNUAL EFFECT INCLUDING: $119,800 property tax 18 jobs in Wholesale and Retail Trade 12 jobs in Health, Education and Social Services 10 jobs in Business & Professional Services

12 NEW HOMES REQUIRE Fire and police protection Garbage collection
Parks and recreational opportunities Roads Correctional facilities Primary and secondary education Etc. Data: Local and Federal Government

13 Required Current Expenses

14 Required Capital per Unit

15 100 Single-Family Homes (463 Phase I and II jobs, 80 Phase III jobs)
Net Economic Impact Estimates 100 Single-Family Homes (463 Phase I and II jobs, 80 Phase III jobs) $14.6 million in revenue; $6.1 million in costs $8.5 million in net revenue

16 eyeonhousing.org housingeconomics.com @dietz_econ
Thank you Questions? eyeonhousing.org housingeconomics.com @dietz_econ


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