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Economic Impact of Home Building Honolulu County, Hawaii
BIA - Hawaii November 15, 2016 Robert Dietz, Ph.D. NAHB Chief Economist
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What is the Economic Impact of Home Building
NAHB impact developed in 1996 More than 800 studies, including for universities and affordable housing groups 2002: adapted for Low-Income Housing Tax Credit rental developments 2005: adapted for remodeling analysis
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What is the Economic Impact of Home Building?
Study of Honolulu County, Hawaii Urban Honolulu, MSA consisting of a single county (Honolulu) in Hawaii 100 single-family homes
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Local Economic Impact of Single-family Home Building
1st - Construction phase Jobs, Materials, Fees, Taxes 2nd - Ripple effect from construction phase Wages spent in local economy 3rd - Occupancy phase Earnings spent in the local economy
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Assumptions of the Model
Inputs To Model Single-family Average house price: $522,600 Average raw lot cost: $100,308 Permits/Infrastructure: $12,393 Annual property taxes: $1,549
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Phase I CONSTRUCTION Value of Construction +
Services Provided at Closing Permit / Hook-up / Impact Fees Model of the Local Economy Local Income, Taxes, & Jobs Supported
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Single-family Construction – 100 Homes
FIRST YEAR IMPACT: Single-family Construction – 100 Homes INCLUDING: $1.24M permit and impact fees 172 jobs in Construction 42 jobs in Wholesale and Retail Trade 20 jobs in Business and Professional Services * One job represents enough work to keep one worker employed full-time for a year.
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Phase II RIPPLE Spending on Locally Produced
Goods and Services Model of the Local Economy Local Income and Taxes from Phase I
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FIRST YEAR IMPACT: Single-Family Ripple
INCLUDING: 38 jobs in Wholesale and Retail Trade 38 jobs in Local Government 34 jobs in Health, Education and Social Services 21 jobs in Eating and Drinking Places
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Phase III OCCUPANCY Income of Occupant in New Housing Unit +
Spending on Locally Produced Goods and Services Model of the Local Economy Local Income and Taxes Income of Occupant in New Housing Unit + Increased Property Taxes
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ONGOING Single-Family
ANNUAL EFFECT INCLUDING: $119,800 property tax 18 jobs in Wholesale and Retail Trade 12 jobs in Health, Education and Social Services 10 jobs in Business & Professional Services
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NEW HOMES REQUIRE Fire and police protection Garbage collection
Parks and recreational opportunities Roads Correctional facilities Primary and secondary education Etc. Data: Local and Federal Government
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Required Current Expenses
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Required Capital per Unit
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100 Single-Family Homes (463 Phase I and II jobs, 80 Phase III jobs)
Net Economic Impact Estimates 100 Single-Family Homes (463 Phase I and II jobs, 80 Phase III jobs) $14.6 million in revenue; $6.1 million in costs $8.5 million in net revenue
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eyeonhousing.org housingeconomics.com @dietz_econ
Thank you Questions? eyeonhousing.org housingeconomics.com @dietz_econ
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