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SOUTH AFRICAN FORESTRY AND FOREST PRODUCTS INDUSTRY 2016
SEPTEMBER 2017 By Roger Godsmark
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Presentation Outline Introduction
The importance of the Forestry Industry The importance of the Forest Products Industry Industry Contribution to Employment Investment Industry Contribution to GDP Industry Contribution to Foreign Trade
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Section 1 INTRODUCTION
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Land Use in South Africa
Total RSA land area million ha
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Land Use in Mpumalanga 495 247 ha
Total MP land area 8.2 million ha (6.7% of total)
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Land Use in KwaZulu Natal
ha Total KZN land area 9.1 million ha (7.5% of total)
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Land Use in the Eastern Cape
Total E. Cape land area 17.1 million ha (13.9% of total) ha
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Land Use in the Western Cape
Total W. Cape land area 12.9 million ha (10.6% of total) ha
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Land Use in Limpopo 12.0 million ha (9.8% of total) 53 085ha
Total Limpopo land area 12.0 million ha (9.8% of total) 53 085ha
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Plantation area as % of land area by province
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Land use comparisons: 2006, 2011 & 2016
Drop in forestry area: ha (4.8%)
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Plantation Area Comparisons 2016
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Section 2 THE FORESTRY INDUSTRY
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Plantation Area by Species 2016
Total – ha
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Plantation Area by Ownership 2016
Total – ha
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Plantation Area by Province 2016
Total – ha
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Plantation Area by Province and Genera 2016
Total – ha (softwood); Total – ha (hardwood)
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Plantation Area by Province and Genera 2016
Total – ha (softwood); Total – ha (hardwood)
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Planted Area Comparisons by Province & Species 2016
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Pine Plantation Area by Province 2016
Total ha (49.8% of total)
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Eucalyptus Plantation Area by Province 2016
Total ha (42.7% of total)
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Wattle Plantation Area by Province 2016
Total ha (7.1% of total)
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Other Hardwood Plantation Area by Province 2016
Total ha (0.4% of total)
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Plantation Area by Management Objectives 2016
Total – ha
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Softwood Plantation Area by Management Objectives 2016
Total – ha
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Hardwood Plantation Area by Management Objectives 2016
Total – ha
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Plantation Area by Province and Ownership 2016
Leased Safcol packages included in “Private” KLF included in “Public” Total Private – ha (82.3%) Total Public – ha (17.7%)
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Percentage Plantation Ownership by Province 2016
Total Private – ha (82.3%) Total Public – ha (17.7%)
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Plantation Area by Species and Ownership 2016
Total Private – ha (82.3%) Total Public – ha (17.7%)
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Percentage Plantation Ownership by Species 2016
Total Private – ha (82.3%) Total Public – ha (17.7%)
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Planted Area Comparisons by Province & Product 2016
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Roundwood Production by Product 2016
Total – 6.6 million m3 / 6.9 mt (softwood) Total – 9.8 million m3 / 7.3 mt (hardwood)
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Roundwood Production by Province and Genera 2016
Total – 6.6 million m3 / 6.9 mt (softwood) Total – 9.8 million m3 / 7.3 mt (hardwood)
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Roundwood Production by Province and Genera 2016
8.419 5.261 1.507 0.729 0.527 Total – 6.6 million m3 / 6.9 mt (softwood) Total – 9.8 million m3 / 7.3 mt (hardwood)
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Roundwood Production ex Plantations by Province & Product 2016
Total – 16.4 million m3 or 14.2 million tons
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Roundwood Production ex Plantations by Province & Product 2016
Total – 16.4 million m3 or 14.2 million tons
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Total Roundwood Production ex Plantations by Province 2016
Total – 17.9 million m3 or 15.3 million tons
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Total Roundwood Production ex Plantations by Product 2016
Total – 16.4 million m3 or 14.2 million tons
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Softwood Roundwood Production ex Plantations by Product 2016
Total – 6.6 million m3 or 6.9 million tons
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Hardwood Roundwood Production ex Plantations by Product 2016
Total – 9.8 million m3 or 7.3 million tons
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Total Roundwood Production ex Plantations by Species 2016
Total – 16.4 million m3 or 14.2 million tons
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Composition of Roundwood Production by Product 2016
Overall: Softwood = 40% & Hardwood = 60%
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Total Plantation Area 1980 to 2016
19.6% decrease ha decrease ha increase Total increase in planted area over period ha (5.1%)
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Total Roundwood Production ex Plantations 1980 to 2016
Total increase in production over period: 38.4% Total increase in afforested area over period: 5.1%
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Index of Roundwood Production vs. Plantation Area 1980 to 2016
Total increase in production over period: 38.4% Total increase in afforested area over period: 5.1%
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Average Productivity per Hectare 1980 - 2016
Total increase in productivity over period – 3.2 m3 per ha p.a. (32%)
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Production Comparisons 2006, 2011 & 2016
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Value of Roundwood Production 2016
Total R9.0 billion (R0.5bn less than 2015)
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Value of Roundwood Production ex Plantations by Product 2016
Total – R8 988 million
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Value of Roundwood Production ex Plantations by Province 2016
Total – R8 988 million
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Value of Roundwood Production ex Plantations by Province & Product 2016
Total – R8 988 million
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Value of Roundwood Production ex Plantations by Province & Product 2016
Total – R8 988 million
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Value of Roundwood Production 1980 to 2016
Nominal increase over period: R8.8 bn (5 364%) Real increase over period: R5.0 bn (124%)
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New Afforestation by Region 1980 to 2016
AVERAGE New afforestation over period: ha Average per year: ha
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Total New Afforestation by Region 1980 to 2016
Total – ha
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Total New Afforestation by Region 10 Yr Period - 2007 to 2016
Total – ha
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New Afforestation by Region 10 Year Period – 2007 to 2016
AVERAGE New afforestation over period: ha Average per year: ha
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New Afforestation by Province 2016
Total – ha
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New Afforestation by Species 1980 to 2016
AVERAGE PER ANNUM 1980 to 1985: ha (16.8% of total) 1986 to 1990: ha (31.4% of total) 1991 to 1995: ha (31.2% of total) 1996 to 2000: ha (9.0% of total)
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Total New Afforestation by Species 1980 to 2016
Total – ha
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New Afforestation by Species 2016
Total – ha
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New Afforestation by Product 1980 to 2016
AVERAGE PER ANNUM 2001 to 2005: ha (6.5% of total) 2006 to 2010: ha (3.3% of total) 2011 to 2016: ha (1.8% of total)
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Total New Afforestation by Product 1980 to 2016
Total – ha
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New Afforestation by Product 2016
Total – ha
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Area Converted Out of Timber Production by Species 1980 to 2016
Area converted over period: ha Average p.a.: ha
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Area Converted Out of Timber Production by Species 2007 to 2016
Area converted over period: 7 906ha Average p.a.: ha
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Total Area Converted out of Timber Production by Species 1980 to 2016
Total – ha
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Total Area Converted out of Timber Production by Species 2016
Total – 638 ha
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Net New Afforestation by Species 1980 to 2016
Net new afforestation over period: ha Average p.a.: ha
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Net New Afforestation by Species 2007 to 2016
Net new afforestation over period: ha Average p.a.: 939 ha
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Net New Afforestation by Species 1980 to 2016
Total – ha
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Net New Afforestation by Species 2016
Total net new afforestation ha
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Area Converted Out of Timber Production by Region 1980 to 2016
Area converted over period: ha Average p.a: ha
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Area Converted Out of Timber Production by Region 2007 to 2016
Area converted over period: ha Average p.a.: 791 ha
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Total Area Converted out of Timber Production by Region 1980 to 2016
Total – ha
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Net New Afforestation by Region 1980 to 2016
Net new afforestation over period: ha Average p.a.: ha
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Net New Afforestation by Region 2007 to 2016
Net new afforestation over period: ha Average p.a.: 939 ha
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Net New Afforestation by Region 1980 to 2016
Total – ha
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Conversion of Plantations out of Production & to Other Species 1980 to 2016
Net loss to production area over period: ha Average p.a.: ha
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Conversion of Plantations out of Production & to Other Species 2007 to 2016
Net loss to production area over period: ha Average p.a.: 791 ha
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Total Area Converted out of Production & to Other Species 1980 to 2016
Net loss to production area over period: ha Average p.a.: ha
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Area Converted out of Production & to Other Species 2016
Land taken out of timber production: 638 ha
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Net Addition to Planted Area by Species 1980 to 2016
Total net addition to production area: ha Average p.a.: ha
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Net Addition to Planted Area by Species 2007 to 2016
Total net addition to production area: ha Average p.a.: 939 ha
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Total Net Addition to Planted Area by Species 1980 to 2016
Total net addition to production area: ha Average p.a.: ha
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Net Addition (Loss) to Planted Area by Species 2016
Total net gain in production area: Plus 469 ha
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Damage to Plantations by Genera 1980 to 2016
Total area damaged over period: ha Average p.a.: ha
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Damage to Plantations by Fires 1980 to 2016
Total area damaged over period: ha Total area damaged – fire: ha (58%) Total area damaged - other causes: ha (42%)
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Damage to Plantations by Fires 2007 to 2016
Total area damaged over period: ha Total area damaged – fire: ha (68%) Total area damaged - other causes: ha (32%)
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Damage to Plantations by Fires 1980 to 2016
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Damage to Plantations by Genera 2016
Total – ha (2.3% of total planted area)
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Damage to Plantations by Cause 2016
Total – ha
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Damage to Plantations by Fire 2016
Total – ha
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FSC Certificates RSA vs. Africa: as at September 2017
of African Total RSA 38% of African Total RSA FMU certificates cover million ha or 18% of African total coverage of million ha
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FSC Certified Forest Areas in Africa as at September 2017
Total FSC certified area in Africa: ha
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FSC Certified Forest Areas in Selected Countries as at September 2017
Total FSC certified area in world: 198 million ha
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FSC Certified Forest Areas Top 5 Countries as at September 2017
Total FSC certified area in world: 198 million ha
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FSC Certified Forests by Region as at September 2017
Total FSC certified area: 198 million ha in 84 countries
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FSC Certified Forests by Ownership: as at September 2017
Certified Area – ha (incl. planted & non-planted areas)
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FSC Certified Forests by Ownership as at September 2017
Total FSC certified area: ha
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THE FOREST PRODUCTS INDUSTRY
Section 3 THE FOREST PRODUCTS INDUSTRY
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Number of Processing Plants by Type 2016
Total number of plants: 151
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Intake of Roundwood into Processing Plants 1980 to 2016
Total increase in intake over period: 5.3 m m3 (48%) Biggest increase that of pulpwood: 7.0 m m3 (166%)
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Intake of Roundwood into Processing Plants 2016
Total – million m3
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Roundwood Intake into Processing Plants by Province & Product 2016
Total – 16.4 million m3
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Roundwood Intake into Processing Plants by Province & Product 2016
Total – 16.4 million m3
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Average Size of Plant by Intake 1980 vs. 2016
Overall average intake has increased by: 137% Average intake of Sawmills has increased by: 112% Only average intake of MT Mills has declined by: 61%
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Sales of Certain Products from Processing Plants 1980 to 2016
Biggest increase that of chips: 1.8 million tons (+335%) Biggest decrease that of mining timber: 1.3 million tons (-79%)
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Value of Sales from Primary Processing Plants 2016
Total R25.5 billion
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Value of Sales from Primary Processing Plants 2016
Total R25.5 billion
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Value of Sales from Primary Processing Plants 1980 to 2016
Nominal increase over period R24.8 bn (3 563%) Real increase over period R8.5 bn (50%)
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Value of Roundwood Sales from Processing Plants by Product & Province 2016
Total R25.5 billion
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Value of Roundwood Sales from Processing Plants by Product & Province 2016
Total R25.5 billion
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Gross Value of Output Comparisons 2006, 2011 & 2016
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Gross Value of Output Comparisons per Planted Hectare 2006, 2011 & 2016
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Value Addition in Primary Processing Industry 2016
Note: excludes secondary processing (e.g. paper manufacturing)
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Value Addition Comparisons in Primary Processing Industry 2016
Note: Based only on input value of raw fibre (i.e. excludes all other input costs)
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CONTRIBUTION TO EMPLOYMENT
Section 4 CONTRIBUTION TO EMPLOYMENT
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Forest Sector Employment – RSA 2016
Sub-sector No. of employees Total Employment Direct Indirect Forestry 60,200 28,000 88,200 Pulp and Paper 13,200 10,800 24,000 Sawmilling 20,000 8,000 Timber Board 6,000 n/a Mining Timber 2,200 Other 10,000 Total 111, 600 46,800 Direct jobs in Forestry = Indirect jobs in Forestry ( less ) =
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Direct Employment in Forestry Industry by Province 2016
Total
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Direct Employment in Forestry Industry by Region 2016
Total Employment Total est. direct jobs in industry:
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Direct Employment in Forestry Industry as % of Those Employed in 2016
Total employed in RSA:
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Indirect Employment Created by Forestry Industry by Province 2016
Total Employment Total estimated indirect jobs created by industry in forestry and wood processing activities –
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Indirect Employment Created by Forestry Industry as % of Those Employed in 2016
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Direct & Indirect Jobs in & Created by Forestry Industry by Province 2016
Total Employment Estimated total – jobs
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Total Employment in Industry as % of Those Employed in Formal Sector 2016
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Dependants of Those Working in Forestry Industry by Province 2016
19 000 Est. total – dependants
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Total Number of People Dependent on Forestry Industry by Province 2016
Est. total – livelihoods
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Estimated % of Population Dependent on Forestry Industry 2016
Total Population Total RSA population: 55.9 million
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INVESTMENT IN THE SECTOR
Section 5 INVESTMENT IN THE SECTOR
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Investment in RSA Forestry Industry 2016
Total Investment R42.9 billion
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Investment in RSA Forestry Industry 2016
Total Investment R42.9 billion
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Investment in RSA Forestry Industry 2016
Total Investment R42.9 billion
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Investment in Plantations – By Province 2016
Mpumalanga = highest investment (41.8% of total)
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Investment in Mpumalanga Forestry 2016
Total Investment R17.9 billion
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Investment in KZN Forestry 2016
Total Investment R15.4 billion
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Investment in E. Cape Forestry 2016
Total Investment R5.7 billion
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Investment in W. Cape Forestry 2016
Total Investment R1.9 billion
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Investment in Limpopo Forestry 2016
Total Investment R2.0 billion
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Investment in Forest Products Sector by Type of Processing Plant 2016
Total book value of investments R21.8 billion
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Investment in Forest Products Sector by Investment Category 2016
Total book value of investments R21.8 billion
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Section 6 CONTRIBUTION TO GDP
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Composition of RSA GDP 2016 Total GDP – R3 813 billion (R3.8 trillion)
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Contribution to GDP 1980 to 2016 Increase in Forestry to Ag GDP over period from 4.5% to 10.2% Decrease in For. Prod. to Mfg GDP over period from 6.3% to 5.1%
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Forest Products vs. Other Manufacturing GGP per Region 2016
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Gross Value of Output by Sector & Province 2016
Forestry: R9.0bn Forest Products: R25.5bn
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Gross Value of Output by Sector & Province 2016
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Forestry Industry Contribution to Agricultural GGP per Region - 2016
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Forest Industry Contribution to Total GGP per Region - 2016
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Forest Industry Contribution to Total GGP per Region - 2016
Importance of forestry and forest products sector has been declining in all provinces in which it operates over a number of years.
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CONTRIBUTION TO FOREIGN TRADE
Section 7 CONTRIBUTION TO FOREIGN TRADE
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Exports of Forest Products 2015 vs. 2016
2015 – R25.8bn 2016 – R29.1bn Exports in 2016 R3.322 bn or 13% up on 2015
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Imports of Forest Products 2015 vs. 2016
R18.5bn R19.8bn Imports in 2016 R1.290bn or 7.0% up on 2015
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Imports vs. Exports of Forest Products Trade Balance 2015 vs. 2016
Trade balance in R2.0bn or 28% more than in 2015.
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Imports vs. Exports of Forest Products Trade Balance 2014, 2015 & 2016
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Imports vs. Exports of Forest Products 2016
Exports R29.1bn Imports R19.8bn Positive trade balance in = R9 290 billion
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Forest Product Exports by Product 2016
Total R29.1 billion
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Forest Product Imports by Product 2016
Total R19.8 billion
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Trade Balance in Forest Products 1992 to 2016 (nominal)
Increase in imports - R18.4 billion (1 298%) Increase in exports - R26.7 billion (1 143%) Increase in trade balance - R8.4 billion (907%)
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Trade Balance in Forest Products 1992 to 2016 (real)
Increase in imports - R13.6 billion (217%) Increase in exports - R18.8 billion (182%) Increase in trade balance - R 5.2 billion (128%)
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Export Comparisons 2006, 2011 & 2016
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