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Pinnacle Advisory Group

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Presentation on theme: "Pinnacle Advisory Group"— Presentation transcript:

1 Pinnacle Advisory Group
Rachel J. Roginsky, ISHC Matthew R. Arrants Pinnacle Advisory Group 76 Canal Street Boston, MA 02114 Telephone: Fax: New Hampshire Outlook Pinnacle Realty Investments Pinnacle Advisory Group

2 Total United States Room Supply/Demand Percent Change 12 Month Moving Average To August 2003
Source: Smith Travel Research

3 Total United States Occupancy / ADR Percent Change 12 Month Moving Average To August 2003
Source: Smith Travel Research

4 Total United States Occupancy and ADR 12 Month Moving Average To August 2003
Source: Smith Travel Research

5 Total U.S. Monthly Occupancy Year-Over-Year Aug 2001 – Aug 2003
Source: Smith Travel Research

6 Total U.S. Monthly ADR Year-Over-Year Aug 2001 – Aug 2003
Source: Smith Travel Research

7 Total U.S. Monthly RevPar Year-Over-Year Aug 2001 – Aug 2003
Source: Smith Travel Research

8 Total U.S. Daily Occupancy* Sep 13 YTD 2000 - 2003
* Excluding Sunday

9 Total U.S. Average Daily Room Revenue (M) Sep 13 YTD 2000 - 2003
In Millions * Excluding Sunday

10 Total United States Supply/Demand Percent Change 1998 – 2004P
Source: Smith Travel Research

11 Total United States Occupancy Percent 1998 – 2004P
Source: Smith Travel Research

12 Total United States ADR Percent Change 1998 – 2004P
Source: Smith Travel Research

13 Total U.S. Estimated ADR Change Impact of 3rd Party Intermediaries

14 Total U.S. Estimated Lost Room Revenue 3rd Party Intermediaries
In Millions

15 New England Lodging Market

16 New England Occupancy - 2002
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

17 New England Average Daily Rate – 2002
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

18 New England RevPAR – 2002 Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

19 New England Change in Performance - 2002
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

20 New England Change in Performance – YTD August 2003
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

21 New Hampshire Lodging Market

22 Year-to-date Occupancy – August Major Markets vs. Statewide Average
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

23 Year-to-date Average Rate – August Major Markets vs. Statewide Average
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

24 Year-to-date RevPAR – August Major Markets vs. Statewide Average
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

25 Change In Performance by Market YTD Aug 2003
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

26 Portsmouth Lodging Market

27 Portsmouth Year To Date Occupancy (Aug)
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

28 Portsmouth Year To Date Avg. Rate (Aug)
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

29 Portsmouth Year To Date RevPAR (Aug)
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

30 Portsmouth - Factors Affecting Market Performance
Lack of Scandals (Cabletron/Tyco) New Supply Wentworth 2 Hotels in Zoning Developer Interest Improving economy? Cautious Optimism

31 Nashua / Merrimack Lodging Market

32 Nashua / Merrimack Year To Date Occupancy (Aug)
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

33 Nashua / Merrimack Year To Date Avg. Rate (Aug)
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

34 Nashua / Merrimack Year To Date RevPAR (Aug)
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

35 Nashua - Factors Affecting Market Performance
Improving Business Travel Increases in Group Demand No New Supply Cautious Optimism

36 Manchester Lodging Market

37 Manchester Year To Date Occupancy (Aug)
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

38 Manchester Year To Date Avg. Rate (Aug)
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

39 Manchester Year To Date RevPAR (Aug)
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

40 Manchester - Factors Affecting Market Performance
New Supply

41 Manchester – New Supply
Springhill Suites – 3/02 Holiday Express – 3/03 Hampton Inn and Suites – 10/03 Homewood Suites – 10/03 Residence Inn ? Hilton Garden Inn – 2005?

42 Concord Lodging Market

43 Concord Year To Date Occupancy (Aug)
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

44 Concord Year To Date Avg. Rate (Aug)
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

45 Concord Year To Date RevPAR (Aug)
Source: Smith Travel Research / Pinnacle Advisory Group

46 Concord - Factors Affecting Market Performance
No New Supply Changes at the Hampton Inn Bow Departure of Allegro Some Modest Growth

47 White Mountains and Lakes Region

48 White Mountains and Lakes Region – Market Performance
Rates are Up Occupancy is down Overall, markets are relatively flat but there are winners and losers Short Booking Window Shorter Lengths of Stay Outlook for corporate and tour groups looks good for 2004

49 Conclusion / Summary Signs are positive for Most Markets
Group Pace for 04 is ahead of 03 More Stable Geopolitical Situation Improving Economy Overall – Cautious Optimism

50 *(Do not reflect impact of Primaries)
2004 Projections* White Mountains and Lakes Region Occupancy up 3 Points Rates up 2 Percent Portsmouth Occupancy up 1 point Rates up 3 percent Nashua - Merrimack Occupancy up 2 points Rates up 2 percent Manchester Occupancy down 2 points Rates Flat Concord *(Do not reflect impact of Primaries)

51 Pinnacle Advisory Group
Rachel J. Roginsky Matthew R. Arrants Pinnacle Advisory Group 76 Canal Street Boston, MA 02114 Telephone: Fax: New Hampshire Outlook Pinnacle Realty Investments Pinnacle Advisory Group

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