1. Nall Report on Aviation Safety
Fifth District, Southern Region
U.S. Coast Guard Auxiliary
Flight Safety Seminar
Saturday, June 16, 2001
1000 to 1600
U.S. Coast Guard Air Station
Elizabeth City, North Carolina

2. “safe is not the equivalent of risk free”
If safe meant freedom from the possibility of harm, few human activities would meet the standard. In fact, the only way to eliminate risk from any activity is to avoid participating in it. While risk does not guarantee injury or make an activity unsafe, it should not be ignored. By analyzing mishaps, we can learn about potential risks and take proactive steps to control them.

3. While Riding the Subway
Statistics Don’t Lie
While Riding the Subway
4.3 Million riders per day
Average time on the train 22 min. one way
That equals 4.3m x 22 x 2 / 60
189,200,000 lifetime minutes each day!

4. I will live to be 100 years old.
That is exactly
100 x 365 x 24 x 60
52,560,000 lifetime minutes

5. Natural Conclusion Get off the Subway FAST
Or I may be on of the 3.6 people spending their entire lives in the subway today!

6. Statistics Don’t lie Their interpretation may
If they show a trend believe it!
If they are inconclusive keep looking.

8. What Does GA Fly?

11. GA rates higher than the Airlines
GA conducts a wider range of operations
Wide Variance in Pilot certificate levels
Fewer Cockpit Resources
More facilities airports 15,000 vs. 700
GA facilities do not have all the resources ILS etc.
Crop dusting – banner towing have special risks
More takeoffs and landings – the highest risk flight
Less resources on the ground – dispatchers, mechanics, loadmasters, etc.
Less Wx tolerant aircraft

13. Weather Related While weather-related accidents dropped
slightly in 1999, they continue to have the highest
probability of fatalities.
In single-engine fixed-gear airplanes, 65 percent (13 of 20) of weather-related accidents were fatal.
In single-engine retractable-gear airplanes, 88.9 percent (eight of nine) weather-related accidents were fatal
In multiengine airplanes 85.7 percent (six of seven) of weather-related accidents resulted in fatal injuries.

14. Contributing Factors Weather Night Maneuvering Flight
12.4 % all fatal accidents
Night
61.5 % of fatal Instrument approach accidents
Maneuvering Flight
29.4% of all pilot related accidents

15. Personal
Business

18. Instrument vs. Non Instrument
At least two flights involved professional pilots attempting VFR operations in weather that included ceilings of less than
100 FEET

21. Will I ever Fly Again?

22. Absolutely The pilot-aircraft environment equation
is the key to controlling risk. A capable
pilot in a well maintained aircraft with
proper consideration for flight conditions is
one of the safer forms of transportation.
Disregard any part of the equation and the
risk will rise accordingly, as it does in any
other performance activity.

23. Presentation is available at