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UNIT-III INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
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I. Fundamental analysis
Economic analysis Industry analysis company analysis II. Technical analysis
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Fundamental analysis is really a logical and systematic approach for estimating the future dividends and share price-determined by fundamental factors
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ECONOMIC ANALYSIS PERFORMANCE
Boom-the companies in general to be prosperous Recession-poor
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ECONOMIC VARIABLES Gross national product(GNP)-The aggregate value of goods and services produced in the economy. Higher the rate of growth of GNP-favourable for the stock market
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Savings and investment-25%,increasing trend
Inflation-higher rate of inflation upset business plan Agriculture-some companies are directly affected by the changes in agricultural production
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Rates of interest--higher rate of interest-higher cost of production-low demand
Govt revenue,expenditure and deficits Infrastructure-electricity,roads and railways Monsoon Political stability-stable
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INDUSTRY ANALYSIS Performance of companies would be influenced by the fortunes of the industry to which it belongs It refers to an evaluation of the relative strengths and weaknesses of particular industries
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Life cycle of an industry
Characteristics of an industry Profit potential of an industry
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Life cycle of an industry
Pioneering stage Expansion stage Stagnation stage Decay stage
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CHARACTERISTICS OF AN INDUSTRY
Relationship between demand and supply Period of life State of labour Government’s attitude Availability of raw materials Cost structure
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PROFIT POTENTIAL OF AN INDUSTRY
Threat of new entrants Competition among existing firms Pressure from substitute products Bargaining power of buyers Bargaining power of sellers
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Company analysis 1.Marketing success sales growth in sales
stability of sales 2.accounting policies inventory pricing-FIFO,LIFO,costor market value depreciation methods-straight line method
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non-operating income –dividend, interest
tax carry over profitability gross profit margin net profit margin earning power return on equity
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Earning per share Cash earning per share Financial statement analysis Ratio analysis
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THANK YOU
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