1. NCDMod: a microsimulation model exploring the economic impacts of obesity interventions in Australia

2. Background

3. Microsimulation:

4. NCDMod – a chronic disease microsimulation model

5. An individual’s journey through the model:

6. Aim:

7. Intervention uptake and completion assumptions:

8. Resource use assumptions:

9. Simulated obesity prevalence, 2010-2025

10. Comparative health outcomes, 2015-2025

11. Total direct health expenditure (5-year periods) with 50% uptake

12. Health expenditure – intervention costs 2015-2025

13. Discussion:

14. Future Development:

15. Acknowledgement

16. Thank you!

17. References:

18. Obesity: average probability transitions

19. NCDMod basefile population characteristics

20. Number of incident diabetes cases (5-year periods)

21. Obesity trend over time