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Facts & Figures - Missouri Lodging Overview

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Presentation on theme: "Facts & Figures - Missouri Lodging Overview"— Presentation transcript:

1 Facts & Figures - Missouri Lodging Overview

2 What Do We Do? Lodging Data Source ~20 years 20,000+ hotels a week
Every chain & Over 1300’s Independents Relied upon by lenders, appraisers, other professionals

3 Definitions Supply: # Total Rooms Available Demand: # Total Rooms Sold
Occupancy (%): = Rooms Available / Rooms Sold ADR: Average Daily Rate = Total Revenue / Total Rooms Sold RevPAR: Revenue Per Available Room = Total Revenue / Total Rooms Available

4 Presentation Agenda National Performance Regional Performance
State Performance Local Performance Projections

5 Total United States Room Supply/Demand Percent Change Twelve Month Moving Average To April 2005

6 Total United States Active Development Pipeline - Rooms Change From Last Year
Apr Apr Change % Chg In Construction , , , % Final Planning , , (2,183) % Planning , , , % In Pre-Planning , , (42,170) % Total Development , , (8,274) % Source: STR / TWR / Dodge Construction Pipeline

7 Total United States Occupancy, ADR and RevPAR Percent Change 12-Month Moving Average to April 2005
Recession 9/11 Afghanistan SARS } Recession } } Iraq

8 Total United States Occupancy Percent 28-Day Moving Average Jan
Total United States Occupancy Percent 28-Day Moving Average Jan. 2, 2005– May 29, 2005

9 Total United States ADR 28-Day Moving Average Jan
Total United States ADR 28-Day Moving Average Jan. 2, 2005 – May 29, 2005

10 Total United States RevPAR 28-Day Moving Average Jan
Total United States RevPAR 28-Day Moving Average Jan. 2, 2005 – May 29, 2005

11 Total U.S. Average Daily Lodging Demand in Millions Year End 2000, 2002 and 2004

12 Total United States Rooms Sold/Day Differential (Thousands) Year End 2000 Vs. 2004

13 Total United States Rooms Sold/Day Differential (Thousands) Year End 2003 Vs. 2004

14 Regional Supply Growth 12-Month Ending April 2005 Percentage Change
2.5 to 7.5 1.0 to 2.4 0.1 to 0.9 -0.8 to 0.0 -5.7 to -0.9

15 Regional Demand Growth 12-Month Ending April 2005 Percentage Change
5.4 to 12.6 3.8 to 5.3 1.4 to 3.7 0.0 to 1.3 -7.6 to -0.1

16 Regional RevPAR Change 12-Month Ending April 2005 Percentage Change
8.3 to 13.8 5.8 to 8.2 3.8 to 5.7 1.5 to 3.7 -3.5 to 1.4

17 Construction Pipeline Activity for Missouri
Existing Supply Recently Opened In Construction Final Planning Planning Total Pre-Planning Luxury 5 Upper Upscale 33 1   3 Upscale 36 Midscale w/ F&B 95   2 4 Midscale w/o F&B 193 12 9 Economy 259   Unaffiliated 519   20 22 Total 1,140 17 14 26 42 Existing Supply Recently Opened In Construction Final Planning Planning Total Pre-Planning Luxury Upper Upscale Upscale Midscale w/ F&B Midscale w/o F&B Economy Unaffiliated Total 1,244   236 12,239 195 510  207 717 6,802 1,228 12,252 44 117   250 510 17,333 967 918 102  264 1,284 140 18,602   70 32,689   144 1,643 1,787 1,085 101,161 1,352 2,917 245 2,600 4,534 1,295 Source: TWR/Dodge Construction Pipeline/Smith Travel Research

18 Missouri Room Supply and Demand Percent Change Monthly 2000 – April 2005

19 Missouri Occupancy and ADR Percent Change Monthly 2000 – April 2005

20 Missouri Day of Week Analysis – Occupancy/ADR Year End 2004

21 Missouri Day Of Week Analysis – RevPAR Percent Change Year End 2003 vs
Missouri Day Of Week Analysis – RevPAR Percent Change Year End 2003 vs. Year End 2004

22 Missouri Location Segments Supply/Demand Percent Change Twelve Months Ended April

23 Missouri Location Segments Occupancy/ADR Percent Change Twelve Months Ended April

24 Missouri Location Segments RevPAR/Room Revenue Percent Change Twelve Months Ended April

25 Northwest Northeast Central Southeast Southwest

26 Northwest Region Room Supply and Demand Percent Change Monthly 2000 – April 2005

27 Northwest Region Occupancy and ADR Percent Change Monthly 2000 – April 2005

28 Northwest Region Day of Week Analysis – Occupancy/ADR Year To Date Ending April 2005

29 Northeast Region Room Supply and Demand Percent Change Monthly 2000 – April 2005

30 Northeast Region Occupancy and ADR Percent Change Monthly 2000 – April 2005

31 Northeast Region Day of Week Analysis – Occupancy/ADR 12-Month Ending April 2005

32 Central Region Room Supply and Demand Percent Change Monthly 2000 – April 2005

33 Central Region Occupancy and ADR Percent Change Monthly 2000 – April 2005

34 Central Region Day of Week Analysis – Occupancy/ADR 12-Month Ending April 2005

35 Southwest Region Room Supply and Demand Percent Change Monthly 2000 – April 2005

36 Southwest Region Occupancy and ADR Percent Change Monthly 2000 – April 2005

37 Southwest Region Day of Week Analysis – Occupancy/ADR 12-Month Ending April 2005

38 Southeast Region Room Supply and Demand Percent Change Monthly 2000 – April 2005

39 Southeast Region Occupancy and ADR Percent Change Monthly 2000 – April 2005

40 Southeast Region Day of Week Analysis – Occupancy/ADR 12-Month Ending April 2005

41 Total United States Supply/Demand Percent Change 2000 – 2005P

42 Total United States Occupancy Percent 2000 – 2005P

43 Total United States Average Daily Rate 1998 – 2005P
Source: STR

44 Total United States RevPAR Percent Change 2000 – 2005P

45 Lodging Industry Issues
Rising Costs – Energy (Gas), Insurance, Labor (visa caps) Amenity Creep – “Bed Wars” Rising Interest Rates Currency Exchange Airline Problems Demand Leakage – Condo Hotels, Cruise, Timeshare “Old Habits Hard to Break” ? Terrorists Threats

46 U.S. Lodging Outlook Demand Rebounds Room Rate Should Follow
Supply Growth Significantly Lower Demand Rebounds Occupancy Improvement Room Rate Should Follow Increased Profitability


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