1. Country Development Partnership on Environment (2008-2010) CDP-E Phase II
Manida Unkulvasapaul and Jitendra (Jitu) Shah,
World Bank, 12 September 2008

2. CDP-E Phase II: Outline
Context and Rationale
NRE in Thailand
Emerging issues  Impacts of CC in Thailand
Thailand-World Bank Partnership (CDP-E)
CDP-E II Framework
Climate Change initiatives – Global and Local
TGO and ONEP Programs
Support integrated resources management
IWRM in the northeast (DWR) Coastal erosion (DMCR)
Support regional and global issues (ODS, POPs)
Overall coordination and partnership support.

4. Context and Rationale
Thailand’s rapid growth has brought indisputable progress. But has also induced a continued degradation of the country’s Natural Resources and the Environment (particularly of water and air quality, land and forests, and coastal areas).
Other emerging issues are now increasing the pressure:
Climate Change
Coastal erosion / mangrove degradation
Need for integrated water resources management (IWRM)
Climate Change and air pollution are today two main concerns for Bangkok citizens
Bangkok Post, 9 September 2008

5. CC in Thailand 1994: baseline of 286 million t CO2-eq/yr
: GHG emissions grew by 30%
2008: Thailand ranks 24th emitter country
2030 Projections: 840 million t CO2-eq/yr (50% power, 50% industry and transport)

6. Impacts of CC in Thailand
Impact: Sea level Effect: More inundation
Impact: Sea temperature Effect: More acidification
Impact: Precipitation Effect: More flooding
Impact: Droughts Effect: Bad harvests
Impact: Ecosystem
changes
Effect: Sub-tropical life
zones disappear

7. Why Should Thailand Do Anything?
Truth: No obligation for Thailand
Reality:
Thailand should be prepared for socio-economic and environmental adaptation
Thailand could be a CC leader for SEA
Immense opportunities for private sector (new markets, new technologies, and new business models will appear)

8. Costs of Action & Inaction – “Wait and See” is not Sensible
Loss from 3% up to 20% of GDP (Stern 2007).
Global losses of $ billion, projected to $850-1,350 billion by 2030 (UNFCCC, 2008).
Action
Stabilization of emissions would cost 0-3% of global GDP by 2050 (IPCC, 2007).
Additional $ billion in 2030 to return global emissions to current levels.
Costs of adaptation in developing countries around $9-41 billion per year (World Bank, 2007).

9. Responses To Date Tenth Five Year Plan includes CC;
New Institutions: Climate Coordinating Committee, Thailand Greenhouse Gas Management Organization (TGO);
Energy conservation measures;
Promotion of alternative energy;
Stabilized forest cover;
Research on methane emissions;
CDM projects (10 registered, 22 submitted, 39 approved by TGO)

10. Thailand – World Bank Partnership
Relationship evolved from a borrower-lender arrangement to one where the Bank’s knowledge and technical assistance (TA) provides value to Thailand’s NRE management.
CDP-E supports the Royal Thai Government in meeting the country’s environmental goals (as established by MoNRE and NESDB). Dialogue is, and will remain, and important element to the success of CDP-E.
MNRE requested a 3 years extension of the CDP-E ( Initial discussions confirmed that a new issue like climate change was a priority (especially regarding water and coastal resources), but also building on CDP-E1 results and continue the support to the ongoing projects (POPs, ODS) was very important.

11. CDP-E Phase II Framework
Support Climate Change initiatives:
TGO Program
ONEP Program
Support integrated water resources management:
IWRM in the northeast (DWR Program)
Coastal erosion (DMCR Program)
Other regional / global issues (ODS, POPs)
Overall coordination and support.

12. Policies Matter

13. for Vision and Leadership
CC as an Opportunity
for Vision and Leadership
Think Big, Take Small Steps:
Optimize existing assets
Look for new low-carbon solutions
Be ahead of energy prices and others in the region
Benefits of curbing CC emissions:
First mover advantage (doing it now will be cheaper and more effective)
Cost reductions (doing it will save you money)
Improved brand positioning and corporate image (doing it will be good for your business)

14. Jitendra (Jitu) Shah Country Sector Coordinator, EASES, SE Asia
Thank You
For further information contact:
Jitendra (Jitu) Shah Country Sector Coordinator, EASES, SE Asia
The World Bank
30th Floor Siam Tower,
989 Rama I Rd, Pathumwan,
Bangkok Thailand ' DIRECT LINE  
' Cell phone