1. PRELIMINARY – FOR FP2020 ONLY
Coordinated Supply Planning Group (CSP) Country Specific Urgent Funding Gaps
July 28, 2017
PRELIMINARY – FOR FP2020 ONLY

2. The Coordinated Supply Planning Group (CSP) is a cross-organizational team that strives to prevent family planning commodity stock imbalances
CSP is a small, operational group that has developed tools and processes to share data across partners to improve allocation of commodities and foresee potential stock imbalances and address them before they become emergency issues
Membership: UNFPA (PSB & CSB), USAID, Clinton Health Access Initiative (CHAI), John Snow, Inc. (JSI), USAID Global Health Supply Chain – Procurement and Supply Management (GHSC-PSM), Reproductive Health Supplies Coalition (RHSC)
Desired Results: Fewer stockouts and excess inventory within recipient country supply chains, improved forecasting and communication about supply and demand, thus reducing risk for all parties
NOTE- this presentation just covers the CSP analysis

3. The CSP Funding Gap Analysis shows country specific funding gaps and can be used as a resource mobilization tool
Background
CSP is effective at shifting orders to meet country needs, but this is contingent on funding to cover the orders. Where there is no identified funding source and orders are needed, CSP uses a systematic process to quantify funding needs.
Objectives
To determine country- and product-specific funding gaps for the current year in order to support resource mobilization by CSP members and by key partners (such as FP2020)
To assist countries in resolving all family planning commodity funding gaps for the current year to prevent shortages and stockouts
Process
Use country quantification and funding commitment data to quantify contraceptive commodity needs and funding gaps.
Vet analysis with in country stakeholders to ensure the data is accurate and seek MOH approval prior to sharing
Justification
According to the Copenhagen Consensus, investing in contraception has one of the highest ROIs; for every dollar spent towards achieving universal access to contraception, there are $120 dollars worth of social, economic, and environmental benefits.

4. In 2016, CSP began this process and used the initial experience and successes to refine our process in 2017 for estimating funding gaps and sharing with partners
CSP identified supply gaps for 8 countries that would potentially limit access to family planning for over 3 million women
Through sharing our analysis with CSP members and partners, an additional USD $10.8 million for FP product procurement in 2016 was mobilized for 4 of these countries, mitigating major shortages for several product categories
2016
2017
(as of July 28th)
Preliminary results from our 2017 analysis has resulted in an additional USD $2.8 million of orders of implants to fill identified gaps in 4 countries
This support was possible by flagging known gaps early in the year, working with CSP members, donors, and other partners to estimate needs and prioritize countries to receive additional funding and create shipments

5. The CSP Funding Gap analysis is an iterative process and the analysis will be updated as new information becomes available
Current Number of Countries Included in Analysis 23
Percent with confirmed funding gaps
26%
Percent with anticipated funding gaps
Percent requiring further data/vetting to determine whether or not there’s a gap
Percent with no anticipated funding gap
22%
Analysis Coverage
Percent of FP2020 countries included in analysis
33%
Percent of FP2020 commitment making countries included in analysis
55%
Percent of GFF countries included in analysis
69%
Percent of AFP focus countries included in analysis
60%
% with confirmed funding gaps: 6/23
% with anticipated funding gaps: 6/23
% further vetting: 6/23
% no funding gap: 5/23
FP2020 countries: 23/69
FP2020 commitment countries: 23/42 (updated this after FP London summit with 3 new commitment making countries)
GFF countries: 11/16
AFP:6/10 (per website there are only 10 focus countries)
N=23; number of countries where we have data or know the data exists, but still waiting for updates. Open to including more countries if the right data is available (see slide 16).

6. 2017 Commodity Funding Gap – Number of Women Impacted
Across four countries alone, up to 10 million women may lack access to family planning due to commodity funding constraints
PRELIMINARY
2017 Commodity Funding Gap – Number of Women Impacted
(Millions)
4.3
3.3
1.9
0.4
0.0
Kenya
Mozambique
Nigeria
Tanzania
Uganda
1Number of women is calculated by dividing procurement quantities by the corresponding CYP factors

7. Preliminary results indicate five countries will face significant shortages across FP commodities if the ~$35M1 funding gap is not addressed
PRELIMINARY
2017 FP Commodity Need2
(Millions, USD)
Unfunded
Potential Funding
Funded
$32
$26
$15
$17
$14
$15 $2 $4
$11
“Potential funding” is funding that exists (either from a donor or the government) but that has not yet been allocated to specific products. Once the funding has been allocated to specific products, it is included in the “funded” amount. $1
$17
$15
$12
$11
$10
Kenya
Mozambique
Nigeria
Tanzania
Uganda
1Potential funds are not confirmed and thus included in the total funding gap
2Need timeline varies by country based on country supply planning processes- Kenya represents 2017 and excludes condoms; Mozambique represents 2017; Nigeria represents 2017; Tanzania represents Q Q1 2018; Uganda represents Q Q2 2018

8. Kenya needs ~$4M1 to minimize 2017 FP commodity shortages
Kenya 2017 FP Commodity and Funding Requirements
$2.9
$4.3
$3.7
$0.1
$3.7
$0.1
$0.0
Unfunded
Funded
Confirmed by country can be shared with CSP and FP2020.
One-Rod ImplantsOne-Rod Implants
Two-Rod ImplantsTwo-Rod Implants
3-month injectable IM3-month injectable IM3-month injectable IM
IUDs
Orals
Orals - EmergencyOrals - Emergency
Standard Days MethodStandard Days MethodStandard Days Method
Funding Gap (USD)
$2.1M
$1.8M -
$42K
Volume Gap (Units)
225K
186K
127K
1Excludes male and female condoms as these are primarily funded under the HIV program

9. Kenya needs ~$8M1 to minimize 2018 FP commodity shortages
Kenya 2018 FP Commodity and Funding Requirements
$2.9
$2.8
$3.5
$0.0
$2.9
$0.0
$0.0
Unfunded
Funded
Confirmed by country can be shared with CSP and FP2020.
One-Rod ImplantsOne-Rod Implants
Two-Rod ImplantsTwo-Rod Implants
3-month injectable IM3-month injectable IM3-month injectable IM
IUDs
Orals
Orals - EmergencyOrals - Emergency
Standard Days MethodStandard Days MethodStandard Days Method
Funding Gap (USD)
$2.9M
$2.8M -
$42K
$1.8M
$31K
Volume Gap (Units)
306K
296K
127K
5.9M
79K
1Excludes male and female condoms as these are primarily funded under the HIV program

10. Mozambique needs ~$1M to minimize 2017 FP commodity shortages
Mozambique 2017 FP Commodity and Funding Requirements
$3.7
$2.3
$0.1
$1.9
$1.1
$0.0
$1.4
Unfunded
Funded
Can be shared with CSP as of June 22, 2017, approval to share with FP2020 received via Becky on 07/24/17
Condoms - MaleCondoms - Male
Condoms - FemaleCondoms - Female
One-Rod ImplantsOne-Rod Implants
Two-Rod ImplantsTwo-Rod Implants
3-month injectable SQ3-month injectable SQ3-month injectable SQ
IUDs
Orals
Funding Gap (USD) -
$770K
Volume Gap (Units)
1.39M

11. Nigeria needs ~$2M to minimize 2017 FP commodity shortages
Current funded figures include ~$3M gov’t commitment (not yet released); DFID plans to commit $4.5M if gov’t funding is released. If gov’t funding is not released, funding gap figure would be ~$5M
Nigeria 2017 FP Commodity and Funding Requirements
$3.1
$0.9
$5.8
$2.8
$2.3
$0.8
$1.0
$0.7 5%
Unfunded
Funded
Confirmed by country can be shared with CSP and FP2020.
Condoms - MaleCondoms - Male
Condoms - FemaleCondoms - Female
One-Rod ImplantsOne-Rod Implants
Two-Rod ImplantsTwo-Rod Implants
3-month injectable IM3-month injectable IM
2-month injectable2-month injectable
Orals
Standard Days MethodStandard Days Method
Funding Gap (USD)
$142K -
$604K
$207K
$606K
$318K
Volume Gap (Units)
3.8M
58K
20K
600K
210K
Note: This analysis doesn’t include UNFPA funded DMPA SQ orders (2.5M units) since DMPA SQ is not included in the national supply plan

12. Tanzania1 needs ~$14M to minimize 2017 FP commodity shortages
Funded figures include ~$2.2M released 2016 government funding and recently mobilized RMNCH Trust Fund money, but do not include unreleased ~$6.2M 2017 government commitment; if the $6.2M is released, it would be used for procurement likely arriving in mid Thus, ~$14M is still required now in addition to government funding.
Tanzania 2017 FP Commodity and Funding Requirements
PRELIMINARY
$1.9
$0.3
$4.3
$11.8
$12.1
$0.1
$1.3
Unfunded
Funded
Status – Ok to share with CSP and FP2020
Condoms - MaleCondoms - Male
Condoms - FemaleCondoms - Female
One-Rod ImplantsOne-Rod Implants
Two-Rod ImplantsTwo-Rod Implants
3-month injectable IM3-month injectable IM3-month injectable IM
IUDs
Orals
Funding Gap (USD)
$374K
$338K -
$5.6M
$7.6M
$663K
Volume Gap (Units)
10.5 M
579K
557K
7.8M
1.9M
1Tanzania requirements include shipments from Q to Q because funding is needed in 2017 to ensure the Q shipments arrive in time

13. Uganda1 needs ~$14M2 to minimize 2017/18 FP commodity shortages
Supply plan goes through June 2018 to align with fiscal year. However funding is needed now to ensure orders arrive on time.
Uganda 2017/18 FP Commodity and Funding Requirements
PRELIMINARY
$6.0
$0.5
$6.4
$5.5
$3.1
$1.8
$0.1
$2.7
$0.1
$0.1
Unfunded
Funded
Confirmed by country (July 20, 2017), can share with CSP and donors
Condoms - MaleCondoms - Male
Condoms - FemaleCondoms - Female
One-Rod ImplantsOne-Rod Implants
Two-Rod ImplantsTwo-Rod Implants
3-month injectable IM3-month injectable IM3-month injectable IM
3-month injectable SQ3-month injectable SQ3-month injectable SQ
IUDs
Orals
Orals - EmergencyOrals - Emergency
Standard Days MethodStandard Days MethodStandard Days Method
Funding Gap (USD)
$4.0M
$460K
$3.1M
$3.3M
$560K
$872K -
$1.4M
$27K
Volume Gap (Units)
102M
716K
282K
297K
520K
789K
3.9M
60K
1Uganda programs exclude SMO. Uganda gap analysis will be updated again following the quantification workshop panned for Q
2 Uganda funding includes GFF commitment of .7M, however this isn’t confirmed so the gap could be larger if the commitments don’t materialize

14. Appendix

15. Countries with anticipated funding gaps but require more data or further vetting
Country
Funding Gap Focal Person
Status
2017 Gap Amount
Next Step Needed
Country contact
Côte d’Ivoire
Maggie
Gap
TBD
Working with MOH/UNFPA CO to place orders with remaining ceiling; will then update gap.
MOH, UNFPA
DRC
Mindy
Anticipating gap
Data quality challenges; Follow-up for supply plan/gap estimates
CTMP, Tulane, CHAI
Ghana
Received updated needs – will work to confirm final numbers
MOH
Madagascar
Following up with each partner to finalize gap figures
MOH, MSI, PSI
Malawi
Waiting for final quantification results
PSM
Togo
Working to finalize figures
Zambia

16. Countries where more information is required to assess whether or not there is a funding gap
Country
Funding Gap Focal Person
Status
Next Step Needed
Country contact
Ethiopia
Alexis
Ongoing
Need full supply plan for 2017
JSI, CHAI, PSM
Haiti
Need to follow-up with PSM
PSM
Nepal
Need to review documentation provided
Niger
Maggie
Following-up for most recent PipeLine database (have summary results)
MOH
Rwanda
Following up to determine if there is a gap
Sierra Leone
Following up with UNFPA country office for gap estimates
UNFPA

17. Countries that do not have funding gaps for 2017 based on available data
Country
Funding Gap Focal Person
Next Step Needed
Country contact
Cameroon
Mindy
Review indicates no funding gap
Input in database; share with country
CHAI, MOH
Lao PDR
CHAI, UNFPA, MOH
Liberia
Alexis
Review indicates no funding gap (based on 2016 data); waiting to see if there is a new quantification to update
PSM
Senegal
Maggie
Review indicates no funding gap; need to confirm with country
MOH, USAID Mission
Zimbabwe
PSM, UNFPA

18. Countries where CSP does not have data or data does not meet criteria
Awaiting up-to-date quantification results
Bangladesh
Benin
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Chad
Mali
Mauritania
Myanmar
Pakistan
Papua New Guinea
Data does not meet criteria
Guinea