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EQxIS Information System: Monitoring Millennium Development Goals when data is available
Carlos Eduardo Velez Poverty Reduction and Social Protection Network Caribbean Meeting Kingston, Jamaica, February 24, 2006
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Did you know? ... that in Latina America unemployment affects 16% of the population between year-old ...?
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Unemployment rate of 15-24 year-olds (%)
... that in the poorest quintile unemployment reaches 23% whereas in the richest is only 12% ...? 22.9 Unemployment rate of year-olds (%) 18.9 16.8 12.9 11.5 Poorest Richest II III IV Quintile Quintile Income Quintiles
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Unemployment rate of 15-24 year-old (%)
... that unemployment affects more women than men...? Women 28.1 23.3 Unemployment rate of year-old (%) 20.3 Men 15.0 17.7 12.1 14.5 13.3 10.8 10.9 Poorest Richest II III IV Quintile Quintile Income Quintiles
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Unemployment rate of 15-24 year-old (%)
... and also diverges between countries? Jamaica 35.9 34.5 32.3 28.0 26.1 Unemployment rate of year-old (%) Poorest II III IV Richest Income quintiles 61.1 Dominican Republic 26.6 23.1 Costa Rica 42.8 16.7 30.6 26.8 10.0 17.9 5.6 Poorest II III IV Richest Poorest II III IV Richest Income quintiles Income quintiles
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Unemployment rate of 15-24 year-old (%) in Latin America and the Caribbean
Uruguay 39.0 Dominican Rep. 33.2 Jamaica 31.8 Venezuela RB 29.2 Panama 26.3 Colombia 22.1 Chile 21.9 Brasil 18.7 Ecuador 17.7 Paraguay 16.3 Average LAC 16.1 Costa Rica 15.4 El Salvador 10.6 Honduras 10.0 Peru 9.1 Bolivia 7.6 Mexico 6.3 Guatemala 4.9
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Outline The potential gains of monitoring and evaluation to inform effective public policies EQxIS: Information System on Social Indicators and Equity Conclusions
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1. The potential gains of monitoring and evaluation to inform effective public policies
Evidence Based Policy Making (EBPM) are public policy decisions made after open discussions based on relevant transparent credible information
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1. The potential gains of monitoring (…)
The systematic use of statistical information enables governments to: Be aware of the relevance/irrelevance Design and select specific policies and programs Forecast/anticipate future problems Monitor performance Evaluate Impact
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1. The potential gains of monitoring (…)
For MDGs monitoring, EBPM helps to: Know better the present situation Define sectorial priorities Balance the efforts required to attain MDG Avoid errors ( e.g. programs overlapping) Increase accountability to partners and citizens
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1. The potential gains of monitoring (…)
Avoid undesirable alternatives to EBPM Arbitrariness Power and influence of particular interests Habits and Customs Corruption
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1. The potential gains of monitoring (…)
What are some of barriers that prevent governments to embark in EBPM? Conflicts of interest : “the nervous advocate”: Do you really want to know what is the impact of a program?* Political Economy: Coalition of interested parties (government agencies, political parties, civil society, etc.). *Prichet(2002) : It pays to be ignorant
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2. EQxIS: Information System on Social Indicators and Equity (IDB)
EQxIS is an information system that offers: Graphics and tabulations of social indicators. Divided by: income groups geographical areas ethnic background Information for 20 countries (1990) and 66 household surveys
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2. EQxIS/IDB (…) Why is it important to monitor Social Indicators and Equity? Social indicators measure progress in the achievement of development goals. Usefulness of averages for social indicators is limited. Necessary to have disaggregated measures that illustrate the distribution of social indicators.
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2. EQxIS/IDB (…) How can governments promote EBPM? By implementing open and accessible information for social indicators and the MDGs.
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2. EQxIS/IDB (…) EQxIS is an information system useful to countries’ policy makers, donors, researchers, civil society and Bank’s staff
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2. EQxIS/IDB (…) Information stored in a Data Base is easily updated and displayed in three different formats: Graphics Tables Multidimensional Graphics (radar graphics)
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2. EQxIS: Information System on Social Indicators and Equity
MECOVI Household Survey Data Base UN Indicators for monitoring MDGs + Web page Display * Calculation of indicators based on UN definitions. Disaggregating by : - Income quintiles - Gender - Geographic Area - Ethnic background * Calculation of stat. significance figures *Codification Stata Submission of coded database to Access Consistency of Data Display data features: standard error less than 20% of average value more than 30 sample observations ASP Programs and Access inquiries
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Social and Equity Indicators have value for multiple parties:
3. Conclusions Social and Equity Indicators have value for multiple parties: Countries: Monitor social indicators with an equity approach. Donors: International comparisons of LAC Researchers: Easy access to social indicators from 20+ countries. IADB: Supports operations and country strategies.
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3. Conclusions Evidence has shown the value of information for quality public policies. In the case of the Caribbean countries like Jamaica that have established regular surveys and household surveys to monitor social indicators have been able to inform and develop accurate public policies (i.e. PATH).
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3. Conclusions So far the IADB has supported SPARC (CDB & UNDP): Committed $350,000 to collect, analyze, and produce high quality statistical information in the Caribbean CARICOM: Joint proposal to support coordination in the region towards a common population census for the round of 2010 was presented to the Regional Public Goods Initiative ($550,000)
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3. Conclusions EQxIS could become a tool to monitor MDGs and MDG+ for the Caribbean. Regional Policy Dialogue Public Goods Initiative may be used to fund a Caribbean strategy rooted at the national level and involving horizontal cooperation among countries and development agencies. MECOVI Programs for LAm– 10 years (IADB/ECLAC/WBank) successful hztal. collaboration
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