1. Media Release Event National Press Club Tuesday, December 6, 2016
Western Interstate Commission
For Higher Education
Media Release Event National Press Club Tuesday, December 6, 2016
AT THE COLLEGE DOOR
#knocking2016

2. Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates
Projections for Public and Private High School Graduates and by Race/Ethnicity (Public Only)
Nation
Four Geographical Regions
50 States and DC
First-time projections for Guam/Puerto Rico

3. The overall number of high school graduates will plateau for most of the next decade

4. Total U.S. Public and Private High School Graduates, School Years to (Actual) through to (Projected)

5. The racial/ethnic mix of high school graduates in the United States will continue to shift significantly toward a more diverse population of graduates

6. Total U.S. Public and Private High School Graduates, by Race/Ethnicity, School Years to (Actual) through to (Projected)

7. Projected Cumulative Change in U. S
Projected Cumulative Change in U.S. High School Graduates after School Year , by Race/Ethnicity (White)

8. Projected Cumulative Change in U. S
Projected Cumulative Change in U.S. High School Graduates after School Year , by Race/Ethnicity (Hispanic)

9. Projected Cumulative Change in U. S
Projected Cumulative Change in U.S. High School Graduates after School Year , by Race/Ethnicity (Asian/Pacific Islander)

10. Projected Cumulative Change in U. S
Projected Cumulative Change in U.S. High School Graduates after School Year , by Race/Ethnicity (Black)

11. Projected Cumulative Change in U. S
Projected Cumulative Change in U.S. High School Graduates after School Year , by Race/Ethnicity (American Indian/Alaska Native)

12. There is significant regional variation

13. Regional Divisions of the United States

14. Total Public and Private High School Graduates, by Region, 2000-01 through 2031-32

15. High School Graduates by Region and Race/Ethnicity - South

16. High School Graduates by Region and Race/Ethnicity - West

17. High School Graduates by Region and Race/Ethnicity - Midwest

18. High School Graduates by Region and Race/Ethnicity - Northeast

19. Variation Among States: Projections through 2032
California – Projected to decrease by 13.5 percent
Texas – Projected to increase by 17 percent
New York – Projected to decrease by 5.5 percent
Florida – Projected to increase by .5 percent
Illinois – Projected to decrease by 18.7 percent

20. The number of students graduating from private high schools will decline

21. U.S. Private High School Graduates, School Years to (Actual) through to (Projected)

22. #knocking2016 Want to Learn More?
Access the interactive data tool, receive updates, or download the report
Joe Garcia
President, WICHE
Demarée Michelau
Vice President,
Policy Analysis and Research, WICHE
Peace Bransberger
Senior Research Analyst , Policy Analysis and Research, WICHE
#knocking2016