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Prof. Krastyo Petkov, EHSEM- Plovdiv k.petkov@ehsem.org www.kpetkov.eu
Bulgarian labour market in the EU context Presentation at the summer school of EIGER-TEMPUS Project, Tbilisi, , 2016 Prof. Krastyo Petkov, EHSEM- Plovdiv
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Introductory notes Transformation of BG LM: Point of departure – 1991
Slow reforms, imposed by the IFI’s Transition by design From full, centrally maintained employment, to permanent unemployment The impact of demographic crisis
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Some demographic date Population Employed Employment Index %
,0 Mln 4, 10 Almost full ,3 3,03 49,1 Urban 2.42 58,8 2015 Rural 0.61 36,6
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Transition: tree fazes of LM developments, dominated by neoliberal model
1st Faze Deregulation without limits Emerging LM 2-nd faze Pre-accession period Institutionalisaton of LM Third Faze Structural disproportions in the LM Crisis period
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BG LM: Institutional network
Employment agency 2000 National tripartite body 1993 Economic and social counsel 1999 Mediation and arbitration Institute 2001 SD Dismantle; decentralization and reducing of Sectoral contracts
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Dimensions of structural disproportions
Regional Generational Educational Ethnic LM Entry & Exit Mechanisms don’t work properly
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Neoliberal orthodoxy and LM: the vicious circle of negative effects and paradoxes
Down grading Service economy Low competi- tiveness Labour emigration Deindustria lization
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European failed forecasts
Lisbon strategy Out of date Europe 2020 Un-realistic Conver- gence Divergence Contradiction: austerity-LM optimism- Doing Business tool
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Regionalization of EU employment systems The end of common European LM! ?
New Europe South periphery Old Europe Elasticity & low growth; Triade: Rececion-unequality-Poverty
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Dual nature of crisis unemployment
First & Second/shadow Economy Regulated Unregulated Quantitative Qualitative
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Digital impacts on work and employment
Digitalization process LM Segmentation Tele-work Roboti zation Mobile investors
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The end Thank you for your attention! Any questions!
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In Memoriam This Presentation was consulted with
Grigor Gradev – ILO and ETUI expert The chapter “LM and Digital economics” had been prepared jointly by Grigor Gradev and Krastyo Petkov.
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