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Transforming Logistics
Good afternoon. I want to thank Gen. Skibbie and Gen. Landis for the opportunity to chat with you about our ongoing efforts to transform logistics. An AT&L Perspective 3 March 2004
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“Amateurs talk about strategy; Professionals talk about logistics.”
former General R.H. Barrows Commandant, USMC
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Our History Unparalleled industrial capabilities
Highly trained and motivated workforce First fully automated logistics system Envied by our allies; Feared by our adversaries World class in mass logistics.
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Post Cold War Ready to Project and Sustain a Smaller “Cold War”
$109B in inventory (1989) 60-day response time 42 Maintenance Depots 788M cubic feet of storage space $67B in inventory 32-day response time 20 Maintenance Depots 323M cubic feet of storage space Ready to Project and Sustain a Smaller “Cold War”
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The Changing Game Immediately Employable Force Option
Preemptive Capability Net-Centric Warfare Focused Joint Logistics
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The Logistics Challenge
“On my signal … unleash hell….” Ubiquitous, cost-effective capability to project and sustain power.
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Words of Wisdom “The dogmas of the quiet past are inadequate to the stormy present As our case is new, so we must think anew, and act anew. We must disenthrall ourselves, and then we shall save our country.” At this juncture, I think it is imperative that we remember our country has faced similar, devastating challenges in the past. Our rich, national history is replete with examples of leadership, courage, and appropriate change and adaptation to overcome threats. My sense is Mr. Lincoln’s words ring as true today as they were during the Civil War.
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Our Complex Web End Game Combatant Commanders Quadrennial Defense
Integrated Priority List Joint Lessons Learned Ongoing Operations Quadrennial Defense Review Project and sustain the force with minimal footprint Implement performance-based logistics Achieve industry performance standards External Influences Congressional Oversight GAO Inspector General DoD Logistics $90B+/year Over 1 million people 16-day customer wait time Over 600 disparate systems Related DoD Initiatives Public Perceptions We initiated the FLE to focus energy and resources on our most pressing logistics needs. Recent operations emphasize the need for rapid power projection and for appropriate tools to manage the flow of forces and sustainment. The Quadrennial Defense Review documents our national need to: Projected power rapidly with minimal footprint Improve readiness through performance-based logistics Achieve industry standards for customer responsiveness. Simultaneously, the Department launched several initiatives, such as the Financial Management Enterprise Architecture, to improve business operation with direct implications on logistics operations. Finally, the Services were pursuing several logistics improvement efforts. All these efforts are directed at improving our $88B+ per year logistics business, but the net impact wasn’t clear. The FLE is our program to harness the innovation within the Department to transform logistics in the near future. Our immediate focus is on: Transforming weapon system support Implementing end-to-end warfighter support processes Integrating our diverse logistics enterprise to provide the warfighters with the support they need and deserve. In Air Force language, the FLE will enable: More Bombs on target Via more rapid power projection At significantly less cost, in terms of dollars and human recourses! As you all know first hand, we need this capability NOW – not 20 years from NOW – because the threat is NOW, the forces are deployed NOW, and our pilots and airmen are counting on us NOW! End Game Financial Reform Business Improvement Council Defense Business Board Freedom is Free Conflict is quick Government should be accountable Service Initiatives (over 500) Product support Footprint reduction Customer wait time
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Lt. Gen. Chesty Puller
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QDR Direction Project and sustain the force with minimal footprint
Implement performance-based logistics to improve readiness for major weapon systems and availability of commodities Reduce cycle times to industry standards 04pm12-10
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Logistics Transformation
Immediate: Near-Term: Long Term: Meet Immediate Readiness Requirements Increase spare parts availability Accelerate reduction in ownership costs Focus on LD/HD assets Reengineer to World-Class Standards Achieve end-to-end global distribution Implement commercial business solutions Implement integrated supply chains for weapon systems Infuse accountability and performance measurement Accelerate Modernization of Highly Reliable Systems Reduce footprint as a military requirement Streamline acquisition process Achieve Focused Logistics Achieve net-centric operations
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Cost of Aging Flying Hour Program Costs
Actuals Projections This chart shows the cost per hour historical trend along with the current projections being considered by NAVCOMPT This chart, prepared and shown by N43 at last Thurs mtg, reflects NAVCOMPTs current position on the outyear budget projections for forces (# of operating aircraft budgeted), flight hours, and cost per hour. It should be noted that these forecasted hours (>1M hours per year) are significantly higher than those that were in the TPOM baseline that was submitted to NAVCOMPT. Outyear budget controls in the TPOM resulted in flight hour levels in FY2006 and out closer to 800,000 per year Although NAVCOMPT believes that this is currently the most likely projection of the program baseline, I believe that N8 is still very concerned about the affordability of these projections given that offsets may have to be found to buy back these outyear flight hours not programmed in the Presidents Budget and POM/TPOM. Outyear inflation guidance of less than 2% per year issued by NAVCOMPT and used in budget projections constrains the cost per hour growth budgeted. Actual annual price change factors for AVDLR have varied dramatically over time but average out to about 7%. Problem: We are eating our young!
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Aircraft Procurement Commitment
FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 PB00 163 183 187 201 PB01 130 173 177 PB02 88 92 115 119 143 155 PB03 90 85 105 147 193 BES04 100 110 144 199 254 We must break this trend! Source: Joint Council on Aging Aircraft
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Reduction in Total Ownership Costs
Pilot Programs Reported FY05 & Life Cycle Savings/Benefits 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% Reported Savings/Avoidances LCC % Savings FY05 % Savings FY05 Goal No Report 46% of the eligible 26 Pilot Programs project FY05 cost reductions of 18% or greater. Projected FY05 cost reduction (26 Pilot Programs) exceeds $1.5B, $75B over the LC of all 29 Pilot Programs The Life Cycle savings for all 29 of the Pilot programs far exceeds the FY05 forecasted savings number of $1.5B and is currently predicted to be $75B. Reducing Costs Through Improved Reliability and Readiness
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Expanding Reduction in Total Ownership Costs
Low Density/High Demand Mature Programs DAES Reporting Special Interest Mature Programs Service Nominations AT&L Selection Defense Systems ARA DUSD(L&MR) Potential Candidate Programs Promising Programs Prioritized Investment Projected Economic Benefits Validated Investment Model (Standard for future BCAs) Leverage Point Model (supply chain model) F-16 F-18 M-1A1 Program Assessment Using Leverage Point Model Value Engineering Potential
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Focus on LD/HD Assets: B-2
Program Management Fielded System Maintenance Officer as PM Managed to ACC performance expectations 7-year management goals; 10-year roadmap Synchronized modernization, R-TOC, and PDM Aggressively managed DMS program Government/Industry Partnership Northrop-Grumman PBL awarded in FY03 Organic maintenance and supply support (DLA) SPD provides program management, configuration control, sustaining engineering Recent Results Exceeding ACC availability 50% reduction in MMH/FH (projected) Exceeded OIF forward operating base requirements Eliminated all LO backlogs Accelerated tactical radio secure SATCOM capability Achieved 72% MC rate (historical high)
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Near-Term: Reengineer to World-Class Standards
Achieve end-to-end global distribution Implement commercial business solutions Implement integrated supply chains for weapon systems Infuse accountability and performance measurements
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“An Epic Logistics Mess”*
Never Again! * The Plain Dealer, 02/08/04, Cleveland Ohio
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Commercial Business Solutions: Distribution
USTRANSCOM Designated Distribution Process Owner Demand Planning Supply Planning Rules and Tools guide Customer-Supplier relationship Sources of Supply Collaboration Direct Source Customer Places Orders (seconds/minutes) Next Day Order confirmation number (Order Status by Exception) Supply Center (source, pick, configure, pack, label) Order Processing System Fulfillment Agents Performance: Hours/Days Shipment arrives (Time definite delivery) Next Day Carrier (AMC, UPS, FedEx, APL etc.) Collaboration Simple, Responsive, Reliable, Visible
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Enterprise Integration
Logistics Balanced Scorecard Synchronized to DoD BSC Warfighting Perspective Warfighting Perspective Warfighting Perspective Provide optimum responsive logistics Provide optimum responsive logistics Provide optimum responsive logistics support to the joint warfighter to ensure: support to the joint warfighter to ensure: support to the joint warfighter to ensure: • • • An immediately employable force option An immediately employable force option An immediately employable force option • • • A rapidly deployable capability A rapidly deployable capability A rapidly deployable capability • • • A sustainable total force A sustainable total force A sustainable total force Innovation & Learning Perspective Innovation & Learning Perspective Innovation & Learning Perspective Logistics Process Perspective Logistics Process Perspective Logistics Process Perspective Ensure a capable workforce responsible Ensure a capable workforce responsible Ensure a capable workforce responsible Vision Vision Provide effective logistics chain Provide effective logistics chain Provide effective logistics chain for meeting the warfighter logistics for meeting the warfighter logistics for meeting the warfighter logistics support requirements to include: support requirements to include: support requirements to include: and and performance and capacity while reducing performance and capacity while reducing performance and capacity while reducing the logistics footprint to include: the logistics footprint to include: the logistics footprint to include: • • • Introduction of leading edge advanced Introduction of leading edge advanced Introduction of leading edge advanced Strategy Strategy concepts concepts concepts • • • R&M, Leveraging Global Industry, IT R&M, Leveraging Global Industry, IT R&M, Leveraging Global Industry, IT • • • Organization adaptability Organization adaptability Organization adaptability Improvements, and Commercial Improvements, and Commercial Improvements, and Commercial • • • Workforce shaping Workforce shaping Workforce shaping Advances Advances Advances Resource Planning Perspective Ensure affordable logistics support through resources and choices that enable effective joint warfighter capability to include: • Accurately forecast and identify logistics requirements Enterprise Architecture • Identify and understand the risks associated with logistics resource allocation Portfolio Management DUSD(L&MR) DUSD(L&MR) DUSD(L&MR) Memo Memo Memo DUSD (L&MR) Guidance & Oversight/Integration DUSD (L&MR) Guidance & Oversight/Integration • • • Achieve FLE Achieve FLE Achieve FLE • • • Streamlined Systems Streamlined Systems Streamlined Systems • • • Efficient Systems Efficient Systems Efficient Systems • • • Integrated Knowledge Integrated Knowledge Integrated Knowledge Base Base Base Component Component Component July 2002 • • • Interoperable Interoperable Interoperable July 2002 Execution Plans Execution Plans Execution Plans Execution Execution Execution Systems Systems Systems And And And FLE FLE • • • Milestones Milestones Milestones Modernization Modernization Modernization • • • Schedules/Brown Out Schedules/Brown Out Schedules/Brown Out • • • Critical System/ Critical System/ Critical System/ Database Information Database Information Database Information Component Component (IT meta data) (IT meta data) (IT meta data) • • • Evaluate Logistics AISs Evaluate Logistics AISs Evaluate Logistics AISs Strategies Strategies and Databases and Databases and Databases • • Management Approach Management Approach January 2003 January 2003 January 2003 • • • Identify Systems to be: Identify Systems to be: Identify Systems to be: • • CIO Interface CIO Interface • • Evaluation Criteria Evaluation Criteria Ø Ø Ø Eliminated Eliminated Eliminated • • Process Methodology Process Methodology Ø Ø Ø Sustained Sustained Sustained • • Metrics Metrics Ø Ø Ø Integrated Integrated Integrated • • POM Considerations POM Considerations Leading DoD Enterprise Integration August 2002 August 2002 Streamlined Portfolio Management
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Enterprise Integration TODAY!
Unique Identifiers Radio Frequency Identification Regional Material Handling Technical Manuals Leading logistics transformation through international standards.
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Infusing Accountability Detailed Process Metrics Under Development
Warfighter Perspective Level 1: Force Closure Level 2: % Transportation Closure by ULN Level 2. % Closed by RDD Level 1: Force Readiness Level 2: Oper. Availability for Critical Systems Level 2. % of Critical Systems Equip. on hand Innovation and Learning Perspective Logistics Process Perspective Level 1: Force Sustainment Level 1: Logistics Chain Reliability Level 1: Logistics Chain Effectiveness Level 2: Perfect Order Fulfillment (On time Delivery) Level 2: Order Fulfillment /Total Pipeline Time Resource Planning Perspective Level 1: Logistics Chain Predictability Level 2: Production/Delivery Flexibility Level 2: Planning & Re-planning Cycle Time Level 1: Logistics Chain Affordability Level 2: Logistics Chain Expense Detailed Process Metrics Under Development
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Long-Term: Accelerate Modernization
Reduce footprint as a military requirement Streamline the acquisition process Achieve net-centric operations Achieve Focused Logistics
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JROC: Focusing on Capability
Capability based Net-centric driven Mobility/footprint are military capabilities Reliability/maintainability are military performance parameters
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The “Future” is being determined NOW!
JSF FCS DDX Designing OUT Logistics
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Focused Logistics Rapid distribution of tailored support packages
Rapid delivery of mission-ready forces Information fusion Total asset visibility Reduced inventory, smaller footprint, faster response Bottom line: Forces in theater — whether forward-stationed or deployed — deliver more capability, require less support End-to-end communications Logistics decision superiority
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Logistics Transformation
Mass-Based Just-in-Time Sense and Respond FSB More is better Mountains of stuff measured in days of supply Uses massive inventory to hedge against uncertainty in demand and supply Mass begets mass and slows everything down Precision is better Reduce Inventory to a minimum and keep moving Use precise demand prediction and optimization to reduce uncertainty Works great, except when it doesn’t Agile is better Dynamically positioned Inventory throughout Use transportation flexibility and robust IT to handle uncertainty Supports adaptive operations Prime Metric: Days of supply Prime Metric: Flow Time Prime Metric: Effects Migrating to the Force-centric Logistics Enterprise
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Sense and Respond Logistics Concept
Supply network is dynamic Supply doctrine anticipates reconfigurable supply nets Emphasizes transportation flexibility over large inventories Negotiation-based relationships All entities use commander’s intent and detailed situation awareness to negotiate and synchronize Roles and commitments of entities are dynamically defined within a specific context All entities are described in terms of current capabilities, not as static forces Networks are difficult to analyze and attack More robust to node failure Adapts to real-time demand driven by unit signals Supports a more logistically agile force Network adaptivity allows logistics decisions to be made later Emphasis on information and transportation allows a greater degree of operational flexibility
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Near-Term Priorities Support Current Operations
Distribution Process Owner Performance Metrics and Balanced Scorecard Enterprise Integration Performance-Based Logistics Maintenance Excellence Streamline Material Flows Logistics Transformation Roadmap
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We Need Your Help Appropriate risk/reward sharing on PBL programs
Control and visibility of industrial supply chains Critical safety items Rapid adoption of industry and international standards I am impressed and thrilled with the progress the Military Departments have made in implementing FLE, especially the Air Force. But – we still have a long way to go – and we need your help! First, demand the same level of service from your logistics providers that you demand in your private life. If you don’t settle for 16-day delivery time and 85% fill rates from LL Bean – don’t settle for it from AFMC. Leading Air Force programs are demonstrating world-class support at reduced cost. Demand more – –you’re worth it! Second, when you return to your operational units – question the conventional wisdom of “operational flexibility”. Demand direct, collaborative planning with your support providers, advocate commercial distribution practices, and break the cycle of unanticipated demands, cannibalization, and obfuscation! Finally, help us accelerate the integration of operations and logistics. Pull your support providers into operational planning, demand top-line support for training and exercises, and capitalize on our strong comparative advantage in logistics to put “bombs on target” as the ultimate demonstration of our national will.
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Ubiquitous, cost-effective capability to project and sustain power.
The End Game Ubiquitous, cost-effective capability to project and sustain power. 04pm12-31
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