1. The Impact of Regional Factors on Leaving Home in the Context of the “Latest-Late” Transition to Adulthood: A Multilevel Approach
Agnese Vitali
EDSD – INED
Dondena Centre for Research on
Social Dynamics, Bocconi University

2. Focus
Increasing between- and within-country heterogeneity in patterns to adulthood
The transition to independent living in the “latest-late” Transition to Adulthood context
Association of within-country variability in home-leaving with macro-level characteristics of local communities

3. in patterns of home leaving
Hypotheses
Regional variability
in patterns of home leaving
STRUCTURAL FACTORS
CULTURAL FACTORS
Housing
market
Labour
market
“Modern” climate
Family
ties

4. DATA: IPUMS-I, Spain 2001
Census Microdata as an opportunity to disaggregate large samples according to place of residence, thus allowing the investigation of within-country variability
Sample: 370,001 individuals aged 17-35; 52 provinces; 316 municipalities

5. Method: Two-level Random Intercept Logistic Model
Vector of individual-level characteristics
Random Intercept
Vector of provincial(municipal)-level characteristics
Constant
Residual individual-level variation
Random Effect,

6. Individual-level information, IPUMS-I
Age
Gender
Employment Status
Educational achievement
School enrollment

7. Macro-level information, INE (1/2)
STRUCTURAL FACTORS
LABOUR MARKET:
Unemployment rate
Proportion with higher education
HOUSING MARKET:
Proportion of vacant dwellings

8. Macro-level information, INE (2/2)
CULTURAL FACTORS
“MODERN” CULTURAL CLIMATE:
Proportion of cohabiting couples
STRENGTH OF FAMILY TIES:
Proportion of 3+ generations households

9. Results: Provincial-level (1/2)

10. Results: Provincial-level (2/2)

11. Results: Municipal-level (1/2)

12. Results: Municipal-level (2/2)

13. Conclusion
Regional variability in the transition to independent living does exist at both provincial and municipal level
Structural and cultural factors both explain between-community variability
Easy access to the labour market together with a modern cultural climate characterize the most favourable environment for nest leaving

14. Further Directions for Research (1/2)
Deeper investigation of the educational enrollment dimension: does the availability of universities matter?
Different indicator for strength of family ties

15. Further Directions for Research (2/2)
3-level model – structural factors at the municipal-level and cultural factors at the provincial-level?
Extension to other Southern European countries

16. THANK YOU!