1. Starter:What is todays lesson going to be about?
High density developments in North London
New brownfield development in Plymouth
Why are housing estates and developments increasing?
New housing estate in
Gloucestershire greenbelt
New housing development in Ebbsfleet, Kent
Lesson refers to penguin book…..

2. How is the UK’s population changing?

3. Learning Objectives
All of you will be able to describe the patterns of population change of the UK
Most of you will be able to explain how natural and international migration affect the UK’s population structure.
Some of you will be able to analysis the demographic transition model

4. What’s happened to the UK’s population over time?
As a class, read through the Guardian article about population change in the UK
Now try to answer the questions on your task sheet about the article.
In 2009 which areas of the UK had the biggest population?
Which areas have shown the biggest increase since 1999?
Why might this be?
Which of these areas have shown the largest decrease?

5. The population has increased by 4million in 10years to just over 63million in 2011
Result of in-migration, particularly from India, Poland and Pakistan
The elderly population (aged 65years+) in 2001 rose by about 1 million to 10.4 million people in 10 year period
Birth rate has increased – age profile of migrants
Most rapid increase from Poland

6. Comparing Natural and migration trends in the UK...
How have natural and migration rates changed since 1992?
Rose significantly from 2001
Particularly from 2004
Some growth can be explained by natural increase
Much reflects an increase in immigration - particularly in the first few years of the decade

7. How has the UK’s population changed since 2001?
Known as population pyramids / structures
What is it showing?
Your Task:
Study your population pyramid...
What does the pyramid show?
What are the benefits of this?
What are the drawbacks of this?
Identify 3 changes that have taken place between 2001 & 2011.
Then for these 3 identified areas - Why do you think this change has taken place?
Extension
Is the death rate likely to increase in the near future? Why?
Why might there be a shortage of labour in the UK in 2021?
Pupils note down questions then select the answers from the next slide

8. Elderly dependent sector will increase
Answers?
2001: Decline in birth rate in 1990s as women marry later & decide to have fewer children.
Fewer women, declining population
This large sector will age. Fewer young people coming up! Economy could decline
2001: High number of births during the ‘baby boom’ of the 1960s
2011: Baby boomers now entering middle age
Large economically active section.
Dependent population just about supported
2011: Increasing number of people living to old age due to improved health care
Good elderly provision eg, pensions, care homes, medical care, social services
2011: Slight increase in birth rate partly die to the increase in migrants
Elderly dependent sector will increase
Large proportion of women living longer than men. Services needed for women’s healthcare & leisure provisions
2001/2011: Females have higher life expectancy than males

9. Your Task:What is the demographic transition model?
Questions:
In roughly which year did the UK pass through each stage of the DTM?
What happened during this stage?
The DTM suggests that the less developed a country is the more likely it is to have a high birth rate and rapid population growth. Is this true?
or text books!

10. Plenary: Quick Quiz... Final thought today:
What do the following key terms mean?
1.Birth rate
2.Death Rate
3.DTM
4.Infant mortality rate
5.Female mancipation
6.Natural increase
7.Natural decrease
8.In-migration
9.Out-migration
10.Stage 1
11.Stage 2
12.Stage 3
13.Stage 4
14.Stage 5
15.Greenfield site
16.Brownfield site
17.What stage of the DTM is the UK in?
Final thought today:
Do you agree that migration is helping to prevent the UK drifting into Stage 5 of the demographic transition model?