1. Getting Value in the Postnormal
Rethinking Local Government beyond 2020
Presentation to MAV Future of Local Government Summit
Rydges, Melbourne.
May 2016

2. A Question of Leadership and Stewardship
Not Later - NOW
A Question of Leadership and Stewardship
ways of doing - the new reality
from structure to dynamic teams

3. Turning today stuff into technology is not enough
Revolutionary Times?
Turning today stuff into technology is not enough
More than just innovative times

4. Complexity Chaos Contradiction unquantifiable risk
everything is connected
small changes big effects
exponential change / laws of amplification
unquantifiable risk
more knowledgable: more ignorant
more connected: more lonely
more wealth: more disparity
complexity + chaos + contradiction
contradiction + exponential change = uncertainty
Contradiction

5. DNA in the Post Normal Post Normal Normal Complex Chaotic Uncertain
Simple
Post Normal
Orderly
Complex
Consistent
Chaotic
Contradictory
Certain
Uncertain

6. Reshaping form Internet of Things
We shape our infrastructure and thereafter it shapes us
Internet of Things
Communications
Logistics
Energy

7. Will Local government play? The Future Energy Space
domestic storage means consumer control
buildings as energy farms

8. Transactions redefined - Ethereum, the Trust machine
The Blockchain (Ethereum) is a public ledger to which everyone has access but no-one controls.
It will shape the future of the world economy and all public transactions in ways that are as profound as the internet itself.
It will provide an absolutely secure trust in transactions that previously we relied on third parties to provide
Vitalik
Buterin

9. Logistics In the globalised economy it is estimated that some 65-70%
of the costs of all physical products and services relate to the cost of moving those goods.
But the future will see
knowledge globalised
production localised.
Cosmo-localisation

10. Geographic governance
3 Sectors Model
PRIVATE
CIVIC
PUBLIC
FOCUS
Shareholder
Community of Interest
Geographic governance
Frameworks /
Infrastructures
BENEFIT
Accumulation
Exchange
Shared interest
EFFECT
Disparity
Order & Security
Control/Regulation
ETHOS
Competition
Collaboration

11. Reconstructing relationships
Prosumerism
Crowd funding
Crowd - sourcing

12. Emergent Futures Obvious Emerging Visible 2016 2020 2025 2030 New org
models
IOT (13.5b)
Local Commons
3 x size
private sector
Different
form
Obvious
Autonomy
dominates
Post Carbon
Prosumerism
IOT (6.4b)
Emerging
Ethereum
New energy
Postnormal
New logistics
Visible
3 Sectors
2016
2020
2025
2030

13. Reflections at the Well
This is a time to move beyond the noise and the blame
To spend time in very different conversations
That create new narratives which are inclusive and allow all to contribute
So we can transcend where we are now
For to do otherwise is to contemplate scenarios that are nightmarish
if they were to come to pass