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“Hydrogen acceptance in the transition phase (HYACINTH)”
Public opinion and stakeholder expectations: a quick look at some of the results of the EU project “Hydrogen acceptance in the transition phase (HYACINTH)” Prof Paul Upham, Leuphana University Lüneburg
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Co-authors / researchers: Christian Oltra, Roser Sala, Monica Lores, Elisabeth Dütschke, Uta Schneider (& Paula Bögel and Paul Wiemann) of Leeds and Leuphana
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PROJECT DETAILS Project Title: “Hydrogen acceptance in the transition phase (HYACINTH)” Call: FCH-JU Period Time: September 2014 – May 2017 Funding Agency: Fuel Cell and Hydrogen Joint Undertaking
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Semi-structured interviews
HYACINTH project PUBLIC Public awareness and acceptance of FCH technologies across Europe: STAKEHOLDERS Stakeholder acceptance of FCH technologies across Europe: Survey 1000 participants 7 European countries Survey 333 participants 5 European countries Semi-structured interviews 145 participants 5 European countries Social Acceptance Management Toolbox (SAMT): To help promoters and decision makers integrate issues related to social acceptance into their developments
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PUBLIC SURVEY countries
PUBLIC ACCEPTANCE STUDY Belgium France Germany Norway Slovenia Spain United Kingdom _____________ 7.148 participants (> 1.000 per country)
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PUBLIC SURVEY - design of the questionnaire
Evaluation of problems Introduction to the study Awareness and uninformed evaluation of HFC technologies Background information on HFC technologies Background information on residential HFCs Background information on HFC vehicles Awareness, emotions, perceived costs and benefits Evaluation of consequences Preference, acceptance and support Other questions: trust, pro-environmental self-identity, engagement with technological issues and life-styles 500 respondents Figure 1. Summary of the design of the questionnaire
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STAKEHOLDER INTERVIEW countries
STAKEHOLDER ACCEPTANCE STUDY - Qualitative France Germany Slovenia Spain United Kingdom _____________ 145 interviews SOBREN PAÏSOS: NORUEGA, BÈLGICA
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Acceptance of home HFCs
PUBLIC SURVEY- RESULTS Acceptance of home HFCs Total sample: “All else equal (price, comfort, maintenance cost, etc.), I would be happy to have an hydrogen fuel cell unit in my home in future”.
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PUBLIC SURVEY- RESULTS
Acceptance of HFCEVs Total sample: “All else equal (cost, range, etc.), I would like to purchase an hydrogen fuel cell car in the future “
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PUBLIC SURVEY- RESULTS
Respondents’ reasons for not being willing to buy a home HFC (multi-response question) Safety concerns Sub-sample: as % of those respondents who consider themselves very unlikely to purchase
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PUBLIC SURVEY- RESULTS
Respondents’ reasons for not being willing to buy an HFCEV (multi-response qu) Sub-sample: % of those respondents who consider themselves very unlikely to purchase an HFCEV
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Limited socio-demographic differences between supporters and opponents
PUBLIC SURVEY- RESULTS Limited socio-demographic differences between supporters and opponents Opponents (%) Supporters Gender Male 47* 52 Female 53 48 Total 100% Age 18-34 19* 28 35-44 17 19 45-54 18 55+ 46 36 *the difference is significant (p value <0.05)
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PUBLIC SURVEY- RESULTS
Differences between supporters and opponents are primarily in terms of prior attitudes and habits *the difference is significant (p value <0.05)
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PUBLIC SURVEY- RESULTS
Change from uninformed evaluation to informed evaluation for supporters, neutrals and opponents (mean, seven countries) *the difference is significant (p value <0.05)
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public opinion of hFcevs: Summary path analysis
Perceived safety is one factor in here
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sociology of Expectations
When technologies or scientific capabilities do not yet exist, or are primarily at a demonstration stage, advocates generally solicit support on grounds that lie beyond evidence of technical progress. In the STS / innovation literature, such grounds are theorised as technological expectations, i.e. ‘real-time representations of future technological situations and capabilities’ (Borup et al. 2006). Expectations are viewed as playing a performative role: widely shared expectations attract investment, strengthen functional networks and are thus more likely to become a reality
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STAKEHOLDER INTERVIEWS - RESULTS
Hydrogen supply and use: expectations (count)
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STAKEHOLDER INTERVIEWS - RESULTS
Stationary applications: expectations (within-country %)
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summary The Hyacinth project has undertaken: nationally representative questionnaire surveys of the public in 7 EU countries; H2 stakeholder surveys and 145 stakeholder interviews in 5 EU countries Analytic objects: H2 itself; HFCs for heat & power; HFCEVs The public surveys used a combination of informed choice questionnaire and tested variables previously known as likely to help build a predictive model of acceptance The stakeholder research focused on perceived strengths, weaknesses & expectations This presentation gives only a brief insight into some of the results Safety concerns are held by the publics but they are not important for those least favourably disposed There is substantial variation in stakeholder perceptions and optimism across countries, associated with differing levels of government investment in R&D programmes Germany and Spain are at opposite poles in this regard If the policy conditions were to become more supportive, stakeholders expect that the public support would be there Currently the Hyacinth public survey evidence supports this view
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HYACINTH Hydrogen Acceptance in the Transition Phase
Support & Coordinated Action This project has received funding from the Fuel Cells and Hydrogen Joint Undertaking (FCH-JU) under grant agreement Nº
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