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Published byMarcia Moore Modified over 6 years ago
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Renewable Energy Trends and Prospects for Fueling Growth
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Lower investments in renewable energy and lower costs in 2016
2016 showed a drop in new investment in renewables to US$241.6 billion (cf to US$285.9 billion in 2015) Investment in new renewables capacity was roughly double that in fossil fuel generation in 2016 Two main reasons for the fall in investment: lower costs of technologies and slowdown in China, Japan & emerging markets New investment in solar in 2016 totaled $113.7 billion, while wind recorded $112.5 billion Record installation of renewable power capacity worldwide in reaching 138.5GW Renewable generation costs continue to fall, particularly in solar photovoltaics Rapidly falling cost of batteries 35% decrease in 2015 from 2014 Proportion of global electricity coming from renewable sources rose from 10.3% in 2015 to 11.3% in 2016 Source: Frankfurt School-UNEP Centre/BNEF 2016 & Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2016 & 2017, (Frankfurt am Main)
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Renewable generation costs continue to fall, particularly PV
Levelised Cost Of Electricity From Selected Renewable Energy Sources, Q to H2 2016, $ Per MWH Source: Solar thermal is parabolic trough with storage, PV is crystalline silicon with no tracking; Bloomberg new energy finance
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Solar technologies’ efficiency has doubled in the past 40 years
Best research-cell efficiencies
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2016 renewable energy investments showed a decrease from the all-time high in 2015
Renewable energy investment continues to be dominated by solar and wind, both by venture capital / private equity as well as overall investments Venture Capital / Private Equity new investment in renewable energy by sector, 2016, $BN Total global new investment in renewable energy by sector, 2016, and growth on 2015 (US$bn) VC/PE new investment excludes PE buy-outs. Total values include estimates for undisclosed deals New investment volume adjusts for re-invested equity. Total values include estimates for undisclosed deals Source: UNEP, Bloomberg new energy finance Source: UNEP, Bloomberg new energy finance
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Record-low PV tariffs in the MENA region
MENA scored lowest PV tariff rate globally Record-low PV tariffs in the MENA region Project MWe capacity Awarded tariff Developer/s Country DEWA Phase 3 800 US$29.9/MWh Masdar-led Consortium UAE (Dubai) ADWEA Sweihan 1,177 US$24.2/MWh (JinkoSolar & Marubeni ) Unidentified Asian consortium UAE (Abu Dhabi) DEWA Shuaa 260 US$56.1/MWh ACWA Power Mafraq 60.3 US$61.3/MWh Jordan Source: Research by new energy update (MESIA 2017)
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Top MENA renewable projects/programs in 2017
Current MENA renewable energy projects in response to established ambitious targets Renewable energy projects led by government-driven auctions continue to grow in the MENA region Top MENA renewable projects/programs in 2017 Project title MW capacity Technology Country MASEN Noor Midelt 400 MW x 2 Hybrid CSP + PV Morocco DEWA CSP Phase I 200 MW CSP UAE ADWEA Sweihan 350 PV PEA — renewable energy master plan 300 PV, Small-scale wind, Biogas Palestine MEMR — Round 3 200 Jordan 100 Wind MOERE — Round 2 2,000 Solar Egypt Source: Research by new energy update (MESIA 2017)
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A number of large rooftop solar plants have been announced in Dubai
Growth in small scale renewable energy projects in MENA Deployment of Solar rooftop is growing in Jordan, Kuwait, Palestine, Pakistan, and the UAE A number of large rooftop solar plants have been announced in Dubai Aramex new 3MW for logistic facility 1 50 MW for Dubai Solar Schools 2 1.5 MW system in Jebel Ali Power Station 3 DP world to install the largest distributed system up to 40MW 4 Al Naboodah Automobiles to deploy 6.7 MW of solar power to new facility 5 Unilever Dubai factory with 2MW solar capacity 6 Source: MESIA solar outlook report 2017
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LCOE of solar energy is now competitive among conventional energy sources
Large-scale solar PV is now a cost effective technology LCOE of utility-scale electricity generation technologies in the GCC (US cents/kWh) Source: Includes information applicable to the period (2014–15), derived from (Mills, 2015), (Channell et al., 2015), (MANAAR, 2014), (Scribbler, 2015), (Utilities ME Staff, 2015)
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Renewable energy growth
Driving factors for renewable energy growth in GCC Global low solar prices Financial institutions providing attractive interests rates Increasing electricity rates Renewable energy growth Deployment targets Energy storage cost reduction Governmental regulations i.e., net metering
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Current Emerging Global trends in green financing
Venture capital & private equity 3rd party ownership and securitisation Direct ownership New equity offerings, corporate structures and bonds Yield Cos Investment trusts and partnerships Green bonds PPA innovation Corporate investment Crowd funding Aggregation
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Venture capital & private equity investment in renewable energy persevered in a difficult year
Global VC/PE investment in renewables fared better than total investment in renewable energy Renewable energy VC/PE investment fell 4% to $3.3 billion in 2016 Private equity expansion capital gained 17% to $2.2 billion Solar attracted the largest investment. It captured more than two thirds of total investments VC/PE new investment in renewable energy by stage, 2004–16 (US$bn) Buy-outs are not included as new investments. Total values include estimates for undisclosed deals Source: Bloomberg new energy finance, UNEP
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MENA renewable energy financing programs
US$27 billion Dubai Green Fund Green Deal Dubai, the MENA’s first cleantech crowdsourcing platform Rise of Green Bonds Morocco’s first green bond to help finance Noor PV 1 project; NBAD green bonds to fund or refinance environmentally eligible projects Local and regional commercial banks are becoming increasingly comfortable with funding solar projects Emerging popularity of green sukuks, a subset of sukuk, which are focused on environmental assets, such as solar parks, biogas plants and energy-efficient buildings IRENA Renewable energy market analysis – the GCC region 2016 According to IRENA, by 2020, MENA will see annual renewable energy investment of US$35 billion
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Financial institutions proactive role in sustainable policies
Sustainable finance strategies Integration of ESG policies into investment portfolios Increase in UNPRI/equator principles signatory Formation of green investment business units Myriad green products and services 3 2 4 Financial institutions are increasingly proactive in implementing sustainable policies 1 5
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Questions Answers
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