1. Labor Market & Career Information (LMCI) Texas Workforce Commission
Will and Skill: Aligning Educational Initiatives with the Texas Labor Market
Labor Market & Career Information (LMCI)
Texas Workforce Commission
(512)

2. A Goldilocks Economy….
Not too Hot…
Not too Cold…

3. Texas Themes of the day
Texas economy is stronger than the U.S. Texas is subject to the same global macroeconomic forces as other parts of the U.S.
Demographic shifts are changing the face of the Texas labor market where we live, what we look like
Nobody lives in Texas: Distinct regional differences exist in job opportunities by industry & occupation demand
Recent Texas job growth has been largely fueled by: Population growth, the Oil & gas cluster and Professional & Business Services
Occupational demand is more bifurcated. Employers continue to emphasize skill sets and experience over job titles and degrees
Information technology is not an occupation, industry or major. It is a ubiquitous skill set that permeates all jobs.
The current skill alignment between labor market demand and education outputs is less than perfect

4. Insufficient Aggregate Demand: New Hires
Separations

5. Changing Nature of Separations: Layoffs down, Quits up

7. U.S.

8. Texas Labor Market: 1. Where do we live. 2. Who we are. 2
Texas Labor Market: 1. Where do we live? 2. Who we are? 2. What’s the job market like? 4. Where is the job growth? 5. What are future job prospects? 6. Does education matter? 7. Does what you study matter?

9. Change of the Total Population by County, 2000 to 2010
79 counties lost population over the decade
175 counties gained population while 79 lost population over the decade.
Source: Texas State Data Center

10. Top 15 Largest Growth Cities July 1, 2011 to July 1, 2012
Rank
Area Name
State Name
Increase
2012 Population 1
New York city
New York
67,058
8,336,697 2
Houston city
Texas
34,625
2,160,821 3
Los Angeles city
California
34,483
3,857,799 4
San Antonio city
25,400
1,382,951 5
Austin city
25,395
842,592 6
Phoenix city
Arizona
24,536
1,488,750 7
Dallas city
23,341
1,241,162 8
Charlotte city
North Carolina
18,989
775,202 9
San Diego city
18,074
1,338,348 10
Fort Worth city
16,328
777,992 11
Denver city
Colorado
14,980
634,265 12
Washington city
D. C.
13,303
632,323 13
San Jose city
12,751
982,765 14
Seattle city
Washington
12,638
634,535 15
Nashville
Tennessee
12,323
624,496

11. Top 20 Population Growth Texas Counties 2010-13
County/City
ABS CHG
Harris (Houston)
186,971
Bexar (San Antonio)
84,186
Tarrant (Ft. Worth)
81,662
Dallas (Dallas)
71,778
Travis (Austin)
59,022
Collin (Plano/McKinney)
52,688
Denton (Denton)
50,960
Fort Bend (Sugarland)
47,938
Hidalgo (McAllen)
43,938
El Paso (El Paso)
40,878
County/City
ABS CHG
Williamson (Round Rock)
32,800
Montgomery (Woodlands)
32,441
Bell (Temple/Killeen)
15,107
Brazoria (Pearland)
13,897
Webb (Laredo)
13,055
Cameron (Brownsville)
12,899
Galveston (Galveston)
11,776
Midland (Midland)
11,696
Lubbock (Lubbock)
11,061
Hays (San Marcos)
11,030

14. Texas MSA June 2014 Urates (actual)
Midland
2.6
Houston-Sugar Land
5.0
Odessa
3.2
Sherman-Denison
Amarillo
3.6
D/FW-Arlington CSA
Lubbock
3.8
Texas
College Station-Bryan
3.9
Tyler
5.1
San Angelo
4.0
Laredo
5.5
Abilene
4.1
Killeen-Temple
5.9
Austin-Round Rock
Texarkana
6.0
Victoria
United States
6.1
Longview
4.5
El Paso
7.0
Wichita Falls
4.7
Beaumont-Pt Arthur
7.4
San Antonio
Brville-Harlingen
8.2
Corpus Christi
4.9
McAllen-Edinburg
8.6
Waco

15. Texas Industry Growth June 2013-14 YOY (SA)
NAICS Industry
June 2014
June 2013
ABS CHG
PER CHG
Total Nonagricultural
11,550,000
11,179,000
371,000
3.3
Goods Producing
1,828,400
1,776,400
52,000
2.9
Service Providing
9,721,600
9,402,600
319,000
3.4
Trade, Transport & Utilities
2,330,500
2,240,100
90,400
4.0
Profess. & Business Services
1,523,200
1,456,000
67,200
4.6
Education & Health Services
1,533,400
1,480,800
52,600
3.6
Leisure & Hospitality
1,186,000
1,138,700
47,300
4.2
Government
1,841,100
1,807,700
33,400
1.8
Mining and Logging
311,500
291,100
20,400
7.0
Financial Activities
702,800
682,700
20,100
Construction
632,700
613,600
19,100
3.1
Manufacturing
884,200
871,700
12,500
1.4
Information
206,900
200,600
6,300
Other Services
397,700
396,000
1,700
0.4

16. Texas Industry Employment 3rd QTR 2011-2013
3QTR EMP
ABS CHG
PER CHG
AWW
Total, All Industries
11,042,818
610,047
5.8%
$952
Food Services and Drinking Places
921,987
85,949
10.3%
$325
Professional & Technical Services
650,628
59,256
10.0%
$1,547
Administrative & Support Services
707,142
49,469
7.5%
$699
Support Activities for Mining
177,894
35,026
24.5%
$1,675
Ambulatory Health Care Services
649,437
30,998
5.0%
$888
Specialty Trade Contractors
355,147
30,455
9.4%
$894
Merchant Wholesalers, Durables
319,690
24,843
8.4%
$1,393
Social Assistance & Child Care
193,146
23,772
14.0%
$454
Educational Services
1,058,304
19,985
1.9%
$812
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
164,658
16,511
11.1%
$941
Oil and Gas Extraction
105,515
16,002
17.9%
$2,912
Truck Transportation
134,082
15,411
13.0%
$951
Credit Intermediation Activities
259,414
15,361
6.3%
$1,145

17. Professional, Scientific & Technical Services in Texas 3rd QTR 2011-2013
NAICS
Industry
3rd 2013
AWW
5413
Architectural & Engineering Services
154,052
3,770
$1,671
5415
Computer Systems Design Services
135,223
9,928
$1,836
5416
Management & Technical Consulting
107,082
5,563
$1,597
5411
Legal Services
81,777
488
$1,525
5412
Accounting & Bookkeeping Services
66,696
1,312
$1,243
5419
Misc. Prof. & Technical Services
49,343
149
$965
5418
Advertising & Public Relations Svcs
25,164
1,224
$1,176
5417
Scientific Research & Development
22,345
-555
$1,628
5414
Specialized Design Services
8,280
485
$1,050

18. Estimated Occupational Staffing Pattern for Professional & Technical Services%
Education Preferred
Accountants and Auditors
5.1
Bachelor's degree
Office Clerks, General
5.0
HS diploma/GED
Lawyers
3.8
Professional degree
Admin. Assistants, ex. Legal, Medical
3.5
Software Developers, Applications
3.1
Bookkeeping & Accounting Clerks
3.0
Software Developers, Systems Software
2.9
Computer Systems Analysts
2.7
General & Operations Managers
2.6
Associate's degree
Computer Support Specialists
Some college, no degree
Paralegals and Legal Assistants
2.4
Civil Engineers
2.1
Customer Service Representatives
2.0
Management Analysts

19. Decoupling: Productivity Influences Job Creation
Output
Jobs

20. “New technologies are encroaching into human skills in a way that is completely unprecedented.” Andrew McAfee, MIT Center for Digital Business
“Technology should be deployed wherever possible to free humans from drudgery and repetitive tasks”
“Unfortunately, there are a lot of people who earn honest livings from drudgery and repetitive tasks.”
Larry Page, Google

21. Work Transformations through Technology

22. Disruptive Technology
What it is, why do I care?
Advanced Oil & Gas Exploration
Hydraulic fracking, creates $4 trillion in new oil & gas
Renewable Energy
Wind & solar, new energy sources & declining prices
Advanced Materials
Nano particles
3-D Printing
Make plastic products with ink-jet printing techniques
Energy Storage
Batteries & capacitors
Next Generation Genomics
DNA sequencing, gene mapping
Autonomous Cars
Robot cars, sensors in roads
Cloud Technology
Server farms serving 2.7 billion Internet users
Internet of Things
Web linking devices, HIT
Automation of Knowledge Work
Work activity displacement, all occupations
Mobile Internet
Smart phone interconnections, 24/7 workers
Source: McKinsey Global Institute

23. What is IT? Is this IT?

24. What is the IT labor market. Can it be defined as an industry
What is the IT labor market? Can it be defined as an industry? Can it be defined by occupation? Can it be defined by college major? Is IT a ubiquitous operation or a cross- domain function? Should it be defined by skill set?

25. The Argument for Skills over Occupational Titles:
Job Titles That Didn’t Exist Just 5 Years Ago
Job Title
1. Videogame Tester
11. Cyber Security Specialist
2. Market Researcher Data Miner
12. Product Blogger
3. Bioinformatics Specialist
13. Social Media Manager
4. Healthcare Applications Analyst
14. Cyborg Anthropologist
5. Big Data Integration Engineer
15. Usability Engineer
6. Chief Listening Officer
16. Chief Sustainability Officer
7. Cloud Computing Operations Manager
17. User Experience Designer
8. E-commerce specialist
18. Mobile App Developer
9. Search Engine Optimization Manager
19. Online Reputation Manager
10. Behavioral Analytics Specialist
20. Electronic Health Records Tech
Source: O*NET & Monster.com

26. Job Posting Activity by MSA - June 2013-2014
PCT CHG
D/FW - Arlington
219,887
-2.1%
Amarillo
8,058
19.0%
Houston-Sugar Land
182,356
1.2%
Midland
8,044
27.8%
Austin-Round Rock
79,443
2.5%
Beaumont-Pt Arthur
7,946
25.5%
San Antonio
59,003
2.2%
Tyler
7,576
10.8%
El Paso
16,081
12.9%
Brownsville
6,107
29.6%
Corpus Christi
15,030
12.7%
Abilene
5,775
30.5%
Lubbock
11,688
27.7%
Laredo
4,617
9.7%
McAllen-Edinburg
11,621
19.2%
Longview
4,184
-4.9%
Killeen/Temple
9,868
24.1%
San Angelo
3,772
19.3%
Waco
8,925
15.0%
Victoria
3,593
22.5%
College Station-Bryan
8,862
30.2%
Wichita Falls
3,563
20.5%
Odessa
8,554
29.2%
Texarkana
3,515
53.0%

27. Help Wanted Job Listings for Texas (June 2014)
Occupation
2014
2013
Preferred education
Registered Nurses
34,486
30,260
Bach/Associate’s
Heavy/Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers
33,453
24,796
Short term OJT/CDL
Supervisors, Retail Sales Workers
18,292
15,204
Related Work EXP
Retail Salespersons
17,898
17,106
Short term OJT
Customer Service Representatives
16,659
14,009
Moderate term OJT
Supervisors, Office & Admin Support
12,301
10,917
Maintenance & Repair Workers, Gen
11,670
10,493
Computer User Support Specialists
10,834
10,776
Associate’s degree
Computer Systems Analysts
10,476
11,930
Bachelor’s degree
Network Systems Administrators
10,294
11,404
Supervisors, Food Prep & Serving
10,286
9,823
Non-tech Sales Reps, Whsle & Man
10,179
10,514
Accountants
10,046
10,057
Web Developers
9,402
10,875
Software Developers, Applications
8,986
10,276

28. Projected Fastest Growing Occupations in Texas 2010-20
Occupational Title
Per CHG
Annual Openings
Formal Education Required
Diagnostic Medical Sonographers
52.0%
240
Associate's
Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas
51.0%
515
HS or GED
Home Health Aides
50.4%
5,220
Less than HS
Personal Care Aides
49.4%
7,675
Service Unit Operators, Oil & Gas
48.1%
1,235
Special Education Teachers, MS
45.1%
460
Bachelor's degree
Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas
44.4%
470
Roustabouts, Oil and Gas
43.7%
1,155
Medical Secretaries
43.2%
3,380
Helpers--Extraction Workers
42.6%
455
Medical Scientists
42.3%
PhD/prof. degree
Interpreters and Translators
42.2%
360
Middle School Teachers, Ex. CTE
41.1%
5,075
Elementary School Teachers
40.8%
10,430
Market Research Analysts
40.5%
1,200
Cardiovascular Technicians
180
Industrial Machinery Mechanics
40.2%
1,840
Physical Therapist Assistants
40.0%
255

29. Help Wanted Job Listings for Houston metro area
Sep-18
Help Wanted Job Listings for Houston metro area
Occupation
Postings
Usual education
1. Registered Nurse
h 9,263
Associate’s degree
2. Truck Driver (heavy/tractor trailer)
h 5,449
Short Term OJT
3. Retail Salesperson
h 3,874
4. Accountant
3,840
Bachelor’s degree
5. Supervisor of Retail Sales Workers
3,680
Related Work Exp.
6. Computer Systems Analyst
3,543
7. Industrial Engineer
3,413
8. Supervisor of Office Workers
h 3,200
9. Customer Service Rep
3,153
Moderate Term OJT
10. Maintenance / Repair Worker
h 2,879
11. Computer User Support Specialist
12. Non-technical Sales Rep WH & Man
2,504
13. Secretary / Administrative Assistant
2,283
14. Management Analyst
2,251
TEA, THECOB, TWC round table discussion

30. Help Wanted Job Listings for Houston metro area
Sep-18
Help Wanted Job Listings for Houston metro area
Occupation
Postings
Usual education
15. Mechanical Engineer
2,235
Bachelor’s degree
16. Supervisor, Food Prep Workers
2,187
Related Work Exp.
17. Computer Network System Admin
2,122
18. Bookkeeper, Audit Clerk
h 2,102
Moderate Term OJT
19. General Sales Manager
h 2,096
20. Supervisor, Production Workers
h 2,093
21. Marketing Manager
1,982
22. Petroleum Engineer
i 1,981
23. Information Tech Project Manager
1,859
Associate’s degree
24. Software Applications Developer
i 1,720
25. Supervisor, Construction/ Extraction
h 1,690
26. Web Developer
i 1,657
27. General Operations Manager
1,628
28. Supervisor of Mechanics, Repairers
1,593
TEA, THECOB, TWC round table discussion

34. More education, better labor market outcomes

35. Dr. Hal Salzman, Rutgers University
Establishing reasonable expectations
“The U.S. education and employment system is not designed to be tightly coupled as in other countries such as Germany, with its highly proscribed education and career tracks. Instead, the U.S. has a fluid system in which career paths can be pursued through a range of disciplines and educational experiences.”
Dr. Hal Salzman, Rutgers University

36. “There’s always been a gap between what colleges produce and what employers want. But now it’s widening. Employers are under pressure to do more with less.”
Mara Swan, the executive vice president of global strategy and talent at Manpower Group, New York Times, April 5, 2014

37. John Keating, Dead Poets Society
“We don't read and write poetry because it's cute. We read and write poetry because we are members of the human race. And the human race is filled with passion. And medicine, law, business, engineering, these are noble pursuits and necessary to sustain life. But poetry, beauty, romance, love, these are what we stay alive for.”
John Keating, Dead Poets Society

38. Earnings by Award Level – Texas
11:35 AM
Earnings by Award Level – Texas
Source: Survey-Weighted Quantiles from American Community Survey year Texas Sample (In Labor Force)

39. Highest Earning College Programs 2013 Detail View
Bachelor’s Degree Graduate Major (TX) (100+)
Grads
Earnings
Petroleum Engineering
367
$100,580
Chemical Engineering
559
$73,913
Mechanical Engineering
1,538
$60,491
Mechanical Engineering Technicians
132
$58,373
Construction Engineering Technologies
386
$58,032
Registered Nursing/Nursing Administration
8,009
$57,758
Industrial Production Technologies/Technicians
263
$57,664
Electrical/Electronics & Comm. Engineering
1,064
$57,519
Civil Engineering
741
$55,500
Electrical Engineering Technologies/Technicians
143
$54,263
Computer Science
243
$54,244
Computer Engineering
260
$53,930
Industrial Engineering
344
$53,494
Computer Systems Analysis
162
$52,736
Aerospace/Aeronautical Engineering
221
$51,565

40. Lowest Earning College Programs 2013 Detail View
Bachelor’s Degree Graduate Major (TX) (100+)
Grads
Earnings
Ecology, Evolution & Population Biology
128
$19,398
Film/Video and Photographic Arts
168
$19,681
Drama/Theatre Arts and Stagecraft
507
$19,921
Zoology/Animal Biology
106
$20,092
Health/Medical Preparatory Programs*
107
$20,223
Rehabilitation and Therapeutic Professions
314
$21,159
Communication Disorders Sciences & Services
1,009
$21,612
Foods, Nutrition, and Related Services
574
$21,709
Dietetics and Clinical Nutrition Services
113
$22,237
Neurobiology and Neurosciences
176
$22,253
Visual and Performing Arts, General
133
Religion/Religious Studies*
$22,367
Radio, Television, and Digital Communication
1,080
$22,404
Philosophy
294
$22,544
Biology, General
5,064
$23,033

41. Highest Earning Associate’s Degree Programs 2013
Associate’s Degree Graduate Major (TX) (50+)
Grads
Earnings
Fire Protection
217
$61,026
Physical Science Technologies/Technicians
591
$52,809
Electrical and Power Transmission Installers 68
$51,304
Electromechanical & Instrumentation Technicians
502
$50,775
Quality Control & Safety Technologies/Technicians
161
$50,297
Mining & Petroleum Technologies/Technicians 78
$49,968
Registered Nursing/Nursing Administration
6,075
$48,322
Precision Metal Working
208
$44,240
Industrial Production Technologies/Technicians
163
$44,198
Electrical/Electronics Maintenance & Repair
108
$39,296
Ventilation, Heating & AC Maintenance Technician
107
$39,195
Computer Programming
185
$38,688
Electrical Engineering Technologies/Technicians
617
$37,673
Drafting/Design Engineering Technicians
702
$37,645
Dental Support Services & Allied Professions
442
$35,993

42. Math = Money
The more accomplished you are at applied mathematics the more money you can make.

43. Structural Mismatch: 2013 Grads
Earnings
Multi-/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other
10,349
$37,211
Registered Nursing/Nursing Administration
8,009
$57,758
Business Administration, Mgmt. & Operations
7,735
$45,503
Psychology, General
6,041
$24,076
Biology, General
5,064
$23,033
Health and Physical Education/Fitness
4,248
$25,924
Criminal Justice and Corrections
4,040
$29,348
Accounting and Related Services
3,683
$38,586
Finance & Financial Management Services
2,698
$43,001
Marketing
2,490
$35,480
English Language and Literature, General
2,332
$27,375
Liberal Arts, General Studies & Humanities
2,216
$32,814
History
2,186
$28,706
Communication and Media Studies
2,091
$28,132
Political Science & Government
1,925
$29,142

44. Most Popular Bachelor’s Degrees for Texas Men 2013
Bachelor’s Degree Graduate Major (100+)
Grads
Earnings
Business Administration & Management
3,895
$ 49,521
Health and Physical Education/Fitness
2,359
$ 27,991
Biology, General
2,053
$ 24,800
Criminal Justice and Corrections
1,936
$ 32,293
Multi-/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other
1,934
$ 44,507
Finance and Financial Management Services
1,812
$ 44,381
Accounting and Related Services
1,531
$ 39,229
Mechanical Engineering
1,334
$ 59,988
Psychology, General
1,332
$ 25,048
History
1,298
$ 30,310
Registered Nursing/Nursing Administration
1,207
$ 60,707
Political Science and Government
1,133
$ 29,246
Marketing
1,100
$ 36,118
Computer and Information Sciences, General
970
$ 51,621
Electrical & Electronics Engineering
936
$ 57,694

45. Most Popular Bachelor’s Degrees for Texas Women 2013
Bachelor’s Degree Graduate Major (TX) (100+)
Grads
Earnings
Registered Nursing/Nursing Administration
6,802
$ 57,247
Multi-/Interdisciplinary Studies, Other
8,415
$ 35,753
Business Administration & Management
3,840
$ 41,735
Psychology, General
4,709
$ 23,804
Biology, General
3,011
$ 21,923
Accounting and Related Services
2,152
$ 38,157
Criminal Justice and Corrections
2,104
$ 26,719
Social Work
1,081
$ 23,976
Health and Physical Education/Fitness
1,889
$ 23,198
English Language and Literature, General
1,662
$ 27,972
Communication Disorders Sciences and Services
948
$ 21,355
Communication and Media Studies
1,431
$ 27,893
Liberal Arts and Sciences, General Studies
1,320
$ 29,990
Marketing
1,390
$ 34,991
Teacher Education and Professional Development
699
$ 34,050

47. U.S. teenagers were asked:
Reality is Relative Charles Schwab Teens & Money Survey Poll of Americans ages 13-18
U.S. teenagers were asked:
What is your average expected starting salary?
What will be your salary once established in a career?
Source: Charles Schwab and Boys & Girls Club of America survey conducted with Harris Interactive

48. Girls answered: $66,200 a year
Reality is Relative 2011 Charles Schwab Teens & Money Survey Poll of Americans ages 13-18
Starting your career: Average answer:
$73,000 a year
Boys answered: $79,700 a year
Girls answered: $66,200 a year
$144,000 = $70 an hour / $173,000 = $83 an hour / $114,000 = $55 an hour
Source: Charles Schwab and Boys & Girls Club of America survey conducted with Harris Interactive
For real fun, check out:

49. Girls answered: $126,500 a year
Reality is Relative 2011 Charles Schwab Teens & Money Survey Poll of Americans ages 13-18
Established in your career: Average answer:
$150,000 a year
Boys answered: $162,300 a year
Girls answered: $126,500 a year
$144,000 = $70 an hour / $173,000 = $83 an hour / $114,000 = $55 an hour
Source: Charles Schwab and Boys & Girls Club of America survey conducted with Harris Interactive
For real fun, check out:

50. Welcome to Reality Check 2011! http://www.texasrealitycheck.com

51. Regional employers say they want…
Good communications skills: Can you…..
Explain what you’re doing (to co-worker or customer)?
Explain what you need (from a co-worker or customer)?
Ability to listen to instructions?
2. Technical knowledge (degrees needed for half of all job openings)
Can you work with people who are of a different age, race, gender and education level than you?
Can-do attitude / pleasant attitude (workers who are “engaged” in their work)
Critical thinking skills (if given a sequence of events, can you determine what will probably happen next)

52. Getting a Job is a Balance between Skill & Will
Workplace Skills
Will
Skills
Distill

53. Skills Strong academics Distill
Workplace Skills
Will
Skills Strong academics
High School diploma Post secondary schooling
Appropriate technical skills
Distill

54. Workplace Basic Skills Communication skills Getting along with others
Critical thinking
Will
Skills
Distill

55. “There’s not one specific thing or skill people have to have to work for us. But I can tell you why we fire people: soft skills. We hire for hard skills. We fire for soft skills. The ability to interact and communicate with others or behave ethically and take responsibility for things tends to be where people tend to break down.”
Rick Stephens, senior vice president of HR,
The Boeing Corporation

56. Distill Stackable Credentials Informal education
Workplace Skills
Will
Skills
Distill Stackable Credentials Informal education
On the Job Learning Climbing Wall

57. The Climbing Wall concept of Career Development: Everyone is trying to get comfortable on the wall, but each finds themselves at a different place, moving at a different pace and with a unique support system

58. Workplace Skills
Will Willing to take a job: At lower level, lesser wage In a different locale Show flexibility & initiative
Skills
Distill

59. Skills Strong academics
Workplace Skills Workplace Basics!
Communication skills Getting along with others
Critical thinking
Will Willing to take a job: At lower level, lesser wage In a different locale Show flexibility & initiative
Skills Strong academics
High School diploma Post secondary schooling
Appropriate technical skills
Distill Stackable Credentials Informal education
On the Job Learning Climbing Wall

60. There is much more story to tell, but this version is over
Thank you!