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Healthcare Revolution Will we be able to provide same service for -- -------less $$-------- or not all!!! The volume is being turned up but is anyone.

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Presentation on theme: "Healthcare Revolution Will we be able to provide same service for -- -------less $$-------- or not all!!! The volume is being turned up but is anyone."— Presentation transcript:

1 Healthcare Revolution Will we be able to provide same service for less $$ or not all!!! The volume is being turned up but is anyone listening? Is there waste or are we being wasteful? Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

2 What can you and I do to. make a difference
What can you and I do to make a difference? SPORT a surrogate model for What a health system can do!! Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

3 “Imagination is more important than knowledge”
Albert Einstein Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College J Weinstein, Dartmouth

4 “The significant problems that we face cannot be solved by the same level of thinking that created them” Albert Einstein Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College J Weinstein, Dartmouth

5 Reasons for differences in practice Healthcare financing Organization & delivery of services Differences in training Professional uncertainty Medical & surgical signatures of communities Supply-induced demand (Boston vs New Heaven) What will we do about it ? Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

6 Economics of Healthcare Healthcare Financing
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

7 Medical care now accounts for % of GDP : U.S. >14%
Canada < 10% Australia 9% Great Britain 7% Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

8 Usual Concept of Health Care Costs
Health Benefit Costs Deyo RA and Weinstein JN in The Spine, 4th Edition Vol I, Herkowitz et.al. (Ed.)W.B. Saunders, Philadelphia, 1999. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

9 More Likely View of Health Care Costs
Health Benefit Costs Deyo RA and Weinstein JN in The Spine, 4th Edition Vol I, Herkowitz et.al. (Ed.)W.B. Saunders, Philadelphia, 1999. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

10 Where Are We? Health Benefit Costs Y Z X X: Industry Y: Providers
Z: Administrators X X: Industry Costs Deyo RA and Weinstein JN in The Spine, 4th Edition Vol I, Herkowitz et.al. (Ed.)W.B. Saunders, Philadelphia, 1999. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

11 Healthcare financing Organization & delivery of services
Differences in training Professional uncertainty Medical & surgical signatures of communities Supply-induced demand Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

12 Organization & delivery of services
Differences in training Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

13 Organization & delivery of services
Professional uncertainty Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

14 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

15 Epidemiological Data Rates
Back pain & disc disease are approximately equal among different countries. Therefore the variation of rates in procedures for surgery needs explanation. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

16 Medical & surgical Signatures of Communities
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

17 “What you get depends on Where you live and Who you see” j weinstein
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

18 Ratio’s of Back Surgery Rates in selected countries/provinces to those of the US.
Cherkin DC, Deyo RA, Loeser JD et al: Spine 19: , 1994. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

19 Distribution of Back Surgery Rates (1994-95)
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Back Surgery per 1,000 Enrollees Source: The Dartmouth Atlas of Health Care, 1998 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

20 Supply Induced Demand Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

21 Ratio of Rates of Surgery for Lumbar
Spinal Stenosis per 1,000 Medicare Enrollees to the U.S. Average by Hospital Referral Region ( ) 1.50 or More (51) 1.25 to < 1.50 (38) 0.75 to < 1.25 (155) 0.50 to < 0.75 (50) Less than 0.50 (12) Not Populated Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

22 Ratio of Rates of Surgery for Lumbar
Disc Herniation per 1,000 Medicare Enrollees to the U.S. Average by Hospital Referral Region ( ) 1.50 or More (51) 1.25 to < 1.50 (38) 0.75 to < 1.25 (155) 0.50 to < 0.75 (50) Less than 0.50 (12) Not Populated Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

23 “What you get depends on Where you live and Who you see”
j weinstein Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

24 Which rate is right? Supported by NIAMS U01-AR45444-01A1
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

25 Outcomes Research ...typically studies healthcare effectiveness, (how well it actually works when applied in routine care) Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

26 Randomized Trials ...tell us about treatment efficacy, (whether the treatment can work under ideal circumstances) Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

27 SPORT Spine patient outcomes research trial
Funded by: The National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases and the Office of Research on Women's Health, the National Institutes of Health, and the National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

28 Why SPORT? Low back pain is one of the most widely experienced health problems in the world. Second only to common cold as reason cited for physician visit or days lost from work. Estimated costs from $30-70 billion annually. 8-fold geographic variation in rates of spinal surgeries. Little evidence demonstrating efficacy/effectiveness of surgery versus non-surgical therapy. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

29 Fit eligibility criteria for inclusion in IDH, SpS, or DS cohorts
View videotape for IDH or SPS (DS) Consent to participate in RCT or Observational Cohort? No Yes Observational Cohort RCT Cohort IDH & SpS Choose DS Choose IDH & SpS Randomize DS Randomize Surgery- Fusion Non-op therapy Surgery- Fusion Non-op therapy Non-op therapy Surgery Non-op therapy Surgery Surgery- No Fusion Surgery- No Fusion Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

30 SPORT Sites ! Rothman Institute,Phil, PA Univ. of Calif. , SF,Calif
Washington U., St.Louis,MO Beaumont Hospital, Dea, MI Case Western Reserve,Cl, OH Hospital for Special Surgery, NY,NY Hospital for Joint Disease, NY,NY Nebraska Spine Surgeons, Omaha, Ne. Rush-Presbyterian-St. Luke’s, Chi.,Ill Emory Spine Ctr., Atl. GA Dartmouth, Hanover, NH Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

31 SPORT Cores Study Coordinating Center at Dartmouth
Statistics, Epidemiology, and Data Management Core Statistics/Epidemiology Group Data Management Group Cost-Effectiveness Core Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

32 The Big Question Is Surgery BETTER than Non-surgical therapy for patients with Intervertebral Disc Herniation, Spinal Stenosis, and/or Spinal Stenosis with Degenerative Spondylolisthesis? Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

33 The Real Question What do we mean by BETTER?
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

34 Main Health Outcome Measures
Functional Health Status Disease Specific Health Status Generic Health Status Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) Preference Classification Systems Societal perspective Direct Utility Assessment Individual perspective Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

35 Shared Decision Making
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

36 Physicians typically underestimate patient’s desire for information
Strull WM, et al “Do patients want to participate in medical decision-making?” JAMA : Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

37 POTENCY OF TELEVISION 32% indicated that information received from “ER” helps them make family healthcare choices 12% have contacted their doctor with questions from “ER” Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

38 Involving Patients in Clinical Decisions: Impact of an interactive video program on use of back surgery RA Deyo, DC Cherkin, JN Weinstein, JF Howe, MA Ciol, A Mulley Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College AHCPR HS#08079

39 “Helping Patients Decide About Back Surgery: An RCT of an Interactive Video Program”
EA Phelan, RA Deyo, DC Cherkin, JN Weinstein, MA Ciol, JF Howe Submitted to JGIM Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

40 Patients who saw video were better informed
Randomized Trial HNP % Spinal Stenosis % Patients who saw video were better informed Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

41 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

42 You must be part of the PROCESS
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

43 Video Tape Evaluation Informational Content
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

44 Video Tape Evaluation: Length
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

45 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

46 59 Year Old Male L4-5 Disc Herniation (Surgical)
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

47 47 Year Old Female L3-4 Disc Herniation (Non-surgical)
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

48 Thank You Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

49 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

50 Technology Assessment & Decisions
Methods and Practical Issues in Planning a Multi-center Trial e.g., Low Back Pain By Dr. James Weinstein Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

51 A model for Assessing Clinical Outcomes Spine Surgery
By Dr. James Weinstein Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

52 Medical care now accounts for: >14% of U.S. GDP
Canada < 10% Australia 9% Great Britain 7% Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

53 Several concepts of healthcare costs
The Usual Health Benefit Costs Deyo RA, Weinstein JN in Rothman-Simeone The Spine, 4th edition, pp , 1999. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

54 Several concepts of healthcare costs:
More Likely Health Benefit Costs Deyo RA, Weinstein JN in Rothman-Simeone The Spine, 4th edition, pp , 1999. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

55 Several concepts of healthcare costs
Where are We? Health Benefit Costs X Y Z X = Industry Y = Providers Z = Administrators Deyo RA, Weinstein JN in Rothman-Simeone The Spine, 4th edition, pp , 1999. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

56 Ratios of Back Surgery Rates in selected countries/provinces to those of the US.
Cherkin DC, Deyo RA, Loeser JD et al: Spine 19: , 1994. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

57 Geographic Variations
Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

58 Dartmouth Atlas of Musculo-skeletal Healthcare
Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

59 Rates Epidemiological Data
Back pain & disc disease are approximately equal among different countries. Therefore the variation of rates in procedures for surgery needs explanation. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

60 Reasons for differences in practice
Supply-induced demand Differences in training Healthcare financing Organization & delivery of services Professional uncertainty Medical & surgical signatures of communities Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

61 Wennberg JE, McPherson K, & Caper P: N Engl J Med 311:295-300, 1984.
“If physicians know what they are doing, why do such wide variations occur?” Wennberg JE, McPherson K, & Caper P: N Engl J Med 311: , 1984. Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

62 Which rate is right? Supported by NIAMS U01-AR45444-01A1
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

63 What is outcomes research?
Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

64 Randomized Trials ...tell us about treatment efficacy, (whether the treatment can work under ideal circumstances) Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

65 Outcomes Research ...typically studies healthcare effectiveness, (how well it actually works when applied in routine care) Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

66 Clinical Trials An Overview Supported by NIAMS U01-AR45444-01A1
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

67 Why SPORT? Low back pain is one of the most widely experienced health problems in the world. Second only to common cold as reason cited for physician visit or days lost from work. Estimated costs from $30-70 billion annually. 15-fold geographic variation in rates of spinal surgeries. Little evidence demonstrating efficacy/effectiveness of surgery versus non-surgical therapy. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

68 Fit eligibility criteria for inclusion in IDH, SpS, or DS cohorts
View videotape for IDH or SPS (DS) Consent to participate in RCT or Observational Cohort? No Yes Observational Cohort RCT Cohort IDH & SpS Choose DS Choose IDH & SpS Randomize DS Randomize Surgery- Fusion Non-op therapy Surgery- Fusion Non-op therapy Non-op therapy Surgery Non-op therapy Surgery Surgery- No Fusion Surgery- No Fusion Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

69 Spine Institute for Special Surgery, KY UCSF Washington U., MO
Where SPORT? Dartmouth Emory Spine Ctr., GA Rothman Institute, PA Spine Institute for Special Surgery, KY UCSF Washington U., MO Beaumont Hospital, MI Case Western Reserve Georgetown Hospital for Special Surgery, NY Nebraska Spine Surgeons Rush-Presbyterian-St. Luke’s, Chicago SUNY-Syracuse Tulane University University of Iowa Vanderbilt Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

70 SPORT Cores Study Coordinating Center at Dartmouth
Statistics, Epidemiology, and Data Management Core Statistics/Epidemiology Group Data Management Group Cost-Effectiveness Core Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

71 The Big Question Is Surgery BETTER than Non-surgical therapy for patients with Intervertebral Disc Herniation, Spinal Stenosis, and/or Spinal Stenosis with Degenerative Spondylolisthesis? Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

72 What do we mean by BETTER?
The Real Question What do we mean by BETTER? Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

73 Main Health Outcome Measures
Functional Health Status Disease Specific Health Status Generic Health Status Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) Preference Classification Systems Societal perspective Direct Utility Assessment Individual perspective Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

74 47 Year Old Female L3-4 Disc 6 weeks of Physical Therapy
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

75 59 Year Old Male L4-5 Disc six months post-op
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

76 Physicians typically underestimate patient’s desire for information
Strull WM, et al “Do patients want to participate in medical decision-making?” JAMA :

77 12% have contacted their doctor with questions from “ER”
POTENCY OF TELEVISION 32% indicated that information received from “ER” helps them make family healthcare choices 12% have contacted their doctor with questions from “ER” Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

78 Patient participation may result in better outcomes
Greenfield S, et al Ann Int Med 1985, 102:520; J Gen Med 1988, 3:448; Med Care 1989, 27:S110.

79 Evidence Based Medicine From the Classroom to the Clinic (Shared Decision Making)
Explosion of Scientific Knowledge keeping up with the scientific literature synthesizing all this information efficiently and practically Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

80 Shared Decision-Making Programs (VHS, CD-ROM, Interactive video) combine information from:
clinical trials literature syntheses other outcomes studies with concerns of patients and physicians elicited in focus groups.

81 Video Tape Evaluation Informational Content
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

82 Video Tape Evaluation: Length
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

83 Findings: Need for More Information on Specific Treatments Options
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

84 HNP Findings: Mean Score 2
HNP Findings: Mean Score Significant Degree of Decisional Conflict Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

85 The Voice of the Patient
Professional Skater: Second Opinion “paralyzed with fear”, on the couch. Told by PCP surgery only option After viewing SDM-Choose surgery, very comfortable with decision. Mathematician: “Right amount” of narrative and right amount of statistics. Enough info to “Wait”. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

86 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

87 59 Year Old Male L4-5 Disc Herniation (Surgical)
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

88 47 Year Old Female L3-4 Disc Herniation (Non-surgical)
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

89 Thank You Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

90 Northern New England Cardiovascular Disease Study Group
The Northern New England Cardiovascular Disease Study Group exists to develop and exchange information concerning the treatment of cardiovascular disease. It is a regional, voluntary, multi-disciplinary group of clinicians, hospital administrators, and health care research personnel who seek to improve continuously the quality, safety, effectiveness, and cost of medical interventions in cardiovascular disease. Eastern Maine Medical Center Fletcher Allen Health Care Maine Medical Center Dartmouth Hitchcock Medical Center Catholic Medical Center Beth Israel- Deaconess Medical Center Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

91 NNECDSG Prospective study of in-hospital mortality-rate 2-6% across 5 centers CABG Improvement Intervention-overall mortality reduced 24% Examined the Cause of Death Focused look at low output heart failure American Heart Association Patient Care and Outcomes Research Grant Improvement Grant to reduce mortality from low output heart failure Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

92 A regional prospective study of in-hospital mortality associated with coronary artery bypass grafting- ( ) 7 6 5 In-hospital 4 Mortality Rate (%) 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 Center O’Connor, GT et al. JAMA, 1991;266: Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

93 Three interventions aimed at reducing CABG mortality
CABG Improvement A Prospective study Three interventions aimed at reducing CABG mortality Feedback of outcome data Training on continuous quality improvement techniques Site visits to other medical centers 4 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

94 Expected/Observed mortality all patients (N = 15,095)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 7/87 10/87 1/88 4/88 7/88 10/88 1/89 4/89 7/89 10/89 1/90 4/90 7/90 10/90 1/91 4/91 7/91 10/91 1/92 4/92 7/92 10/92 1/93 4/93 Date of Beginning of Quarter Observed Expected Intervention N = 1,969 Pre-intervention N = 6,638 Post-intervention N = 6,488 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College O’Connor, GT et al. JAMA 1996;275:841-6

95 Lessons Learned Continued Participation After 13 years all cardiac surgeons continue to participate. Benchmarking Multicenter data allowed powerful insights and identification of “best practices”. Improved Care Patient care is substantially improved. A recent Duke study showed CABG outcomes in NNE to be the best in the US and the most improved. Academic Productivity The group have been very academically productive. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

96 Northern New England Cardiovascular Disease Study Group
The Northern New England Cardiovascular Disease Study Group exists to develop and exchange information concerning the treatment of cardiovascular disease. It is a regional, voluntary, multi-disciplinary group of clinicians, hospital administrators, and health care research personnel who seek to improve continuously the quality, safety, effectiveness, and cost of medical interventions in cardiovascular disease. Eastern Maine Medical Center Fletcher Allen Health Care Maine Medical Center Dartmouth Hitchcock Medical Center Catholic Medical Center Beth Israel- Deaconess Medical Center Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

97 NNECDSG Prospective study of in-hospital mortality-rate 2-6% across 5 centers CABG Improvement Intervention-overall mortality reduced 24% Examined the Cause of Death Focused look at low output heart failure American Heart Association Patient Care and Outcomes Research Grant Improvement Grant to reduce mortality from low output heart failure Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

98 A regional prospective study of in-hospital mortality associated with coronary artery bypass grafting- ( ) 7 6 5 In-hospital 4 Mortality Rate (%) 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 Center O’Connor, GT et al. JAMA, 1991;266: Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

99 Three interventions aimed at reducing CABG mortality
CABG Improvement A Prospective study Three interventions aimed at reducing CABG mortality Feedback of outcome data Training on continuous quality improvement techniques Site visits to other medical centers 4 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

100 Expected/Observed mortality all patients (N = 15,095)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 7/87 10/87 1/88 4/88 7/88 10/88 1/89 4/89 7/89 10/89 1/90 4/90 7/90 10/90 1/91 4/91 7/91 10/91 1/92 4/92 7/92 10/92 1/93 4/93 Date of Beginning of Quarter Observed Expected Intervention N = 1,969 Pre-intervention N = 6,638 Post-intervention N = 6,488 Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College O’Connor, GT et al. JAMA 1996;275:841-6

101 Lessons Learned Continued Participation After 13 years all cardiac surgeons continue to participate. Benchmarking Multicenter data allowed powerful insights and identification of “best practices”. Improved Care Patient care is substantially improved. A recent Duke study showed CABG outcomes in NNE to be the best in the US and the most improved. Academic Productivity The group have been very academically productive. Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College

102 Supported by NIAMS U01-AR45444-01A1
Copyright  1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College


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