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Healthcare Revolution Will we be able to provide same service for less $$ or not all!!! The volume is being turned up but is anyone listening? Is there waste or are we being wasteful? Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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What can you and I do to. make a difference
What can you and I do to make a difference? SPORT a surrogate model for What a health system can do!! Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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“Imagination is more important than knowledge”
Albert Einstein Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College J Weinstein, Dartmouth
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“The significant problems that we face cannot be solved by the same level of thinking that created them” Albert Einstein Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College J Weinstein, Dartmouth
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Reasons for differences in practice Healthcare financing Organization & delivery of services Differences in training Professional uncertainty Medical & surgical signatures of communities Supply-induced demand (Boston vs New Heaven) What will we do about it ? Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Economics of Healthcare Healthcare Financing
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Medical care now accounts for % of GDP : U.S. >14%
Canada < 10% Australia 9% Great Britain 7% Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Usual Concept of Health Care Costs
Health Benefit Costs Deyo RA and Weinstein JN in The Spine, 4th Edition Vol I, Herkowitz et.al. (Ed.)W.B. Saunders, Philadelphia, 1999. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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More Likely View of Health Care Costs
Health Benefit Costs Deyo RA and Weinstein JN in The Spine, 4th Edition Vol I, Herkowitz et.al. (Ed.)W.B. Saunders, Philadelphia, 1999. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Where Are We? Health Benefit Costs Y Z X X: Industry Y: Providers
Z: Administrators X X: Industry Costs Deyo RA and Weinstein JN in The Spine, 4th Edition Vol I, Herkowitz et.al. (Ed.)W.B. Saunders, Philadelphia, 1999. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Healthcare financing Organization & delivery of services
Differences in training Professional uncertainty Medical & surgical signatures of communities Supply-induced demand Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Organization & delivery of services
Differences in training Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Organization & delivery of services
Professional uncertainty Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Epidemiological Data Rates
Back pain & disc disease are approximately equal among different countries. Therefore the variation of rates in procedures for surgery needs explanation. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Medical & surgical Signatures of Communities
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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“What you get depends on Where you live and Who you see” j weinstein
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Ratio’s of Back Surgery Rates in selected countries/provinces to those of the US.
Cherkin DC, Deyo RA, Loeser JD et al: Spine 19: , 1994. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Distribution of Back Surgery Rates (1994-95)
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Back Surgery per 1,000 Enrollees Source: The Dartmouth Atlas of Health Care, 1998 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Supply Induced Demand Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Ratio of Rates of Surgery for Lumbar
Spinal Stenosis per 1,000 Medicare Enrollees to the U.S. Average by Hospital Referral Region ( ) 1.50 or More (51) 1.25 to < 1.50 (38) 0.75 to < 1.25 (155) 0.50 to < 0.75 (50) Less than 0.50 (12) Not Populated Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Ratio of Rates of Surgery for Lumbar
Disc Herniation per 1,000 Medicare Enrollees to the U.S. Average by Hospital Referral Region ( ) 1.50 or More (51) 1.25 to < 1.50 (38) 0.75 to < 1.25 (155) 0.50 to < 0.75 (50) Less than 0.50 (12) Not Populated Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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“What you get depends on Where you live and Who you see”
j weinstein Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Which rate is right? Supported by NIAMS U01-AR45444-01A1
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Outcomes Research ...typically studies healthcare effectiveness, (how well it actually works when applied in routine care) Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Randomized Trials ...tell us about treatment efficacy, (whether the treatment can work under ideal circumstances) Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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SPORT Spine patient outcomes research trial
Funded by: The National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases and the Office of Research on Women's Health, the National Institutes of Health, and the National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Why SPORT? Low back pain is one of the most widely experienced health problems in the world. Second only to common cold as reason cited for physician visit or days lost from work. Estimated costs from $30-70 billion annually. 8-fold geographic variation in rates of spinal surgeries. Little evidence demonstrating efficacy/effectiveness of surgery versus non-surgical therapy. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Fit eligibility criteria for inclusion in IDH, SpS, or DS cohorts
View videotape for IDH or SPS (DS) Consent to participate in RCT or Observational Cohort? No Yes Observational Cohort RCT Cohort IDH & SpS Choose DS Choose IDH & SpS Randomize DS Randomize Surgery- Fusion Non-op therapy Surgery- Fusion Non-op therapy Non-op therapy Surgery Non-op therapy Surgery Surgery- No Fusion Surgery- No Fusion Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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SPORT Sites ! Rothman Institute,Phil, PA Univ. of Calif. , SF,Calif
Washington U., St.Louis,MO Beaumont Hospital, Dea, MI Case Western Reserve,Cl, OH Hospital for Special Surgery, NY,NY Hospital for Joint Disease, NY,NY Nebraska Spine Surgeons, Omaha, Ne. Rush-Presbyterian-St. Luke’s, Chi.,Ill Emory Spine Ctr., Atl. GA Dartmouth, Hanover, NH Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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SPORT Cores Study Coordinating Center at Dartmouth
Statistics, Epidemiology, and Data Management Core Statistics/Epidemiology Group Data Management Group Cost-Effectiveness Core Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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The Big Question Is Surgery BETTER than Non-surgical therapy for patients with Intervertebral Disc Herniation, Spinal Stenosis, and/or Spinal Stenosis with Degenerative Spondylolisthesis? Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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The Real Question What do we mean by BETTER?
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Main Health Outcome Measures
Functional Health Status Disease Specific Health Status Generic Health Status Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) Preference Classification Systems Societal perspective Direct Utility Assessment Individual perspective Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Shared Decision Making
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Physicians typically underestimate patient’s desire for information
Strull WM, et al “Do patients want to participate in medical decision-making?” JAMA : Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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POTENCY OF TELEVISION 32% indicated that information received from “ER” helps them make family healthcare choices 12% have contacted their doctor with questions from “ER” Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Involving Patients in Clinical Decisions: Impact of an interactive video program on use of back surgery RA Deyo, DC Cherkin, JN Weinstein, JF Howe, MA Ciol, A Mulley Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College AHCPR HS#08079
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“Helping Patients Decide About Back Surgery: An RCT of an Interactive Video Program”
EA Phelan, RA Deyo, DC Cherkin, JN Weinstein, MA Ciol, JF Howe Submitted to JGIM Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Patients who saw video were better informed
Randomized Trial HNP % Spinal Stenosis % Patients who saw video were better informed Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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You must be part of the PROCESS
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Video Tape Evaluation Informational Content
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Video Tape Evaluation: Length
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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59 Year Old Male L4-5 Disc Herniation (Surgical)
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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47 Year Old Female L3-4 Disc Herniation (Non-surgical)
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Thank You Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Technology Assessment & Decisions
Methods and Practical Issues in Planning a Multi-center Trial e.g., Low Back Pain By Dr. James Weinstein Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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A model for Assessing Clinical Outcomes Spine Surgery
By Dr. James Weinstein Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Medical care now accounts for: >14% of U.S. GDP
Canada < 10% Australia 9% Great Britain 7% Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Several concepts of healthcare costs
The Usual Health Benefit Costs Deyo RA, Weinstein JN in Rothman-Simeone The Spine, 4th edition, pp , 1999. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Several concepts of healthcare costs:
More Likely Health Benefit Costs Deyo RA, Weinstein JN in Rothman-Simeone The Spine, 4th edition, pp , 1999. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Several concepts of healthcare costs
Where are We? Health Benefit Costs X Y Z X = Industry Y = Providers Z = Administrators Deyo RA, Weinstein JN in Rothman-Simeone The Spine, 4th edition, pp , 1999. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Ratios of Back Surgery Rates in selected countries/provinces to those of the US.
Cherkin DC, Deyo RA, Loeser JD et al: Spine 19: , 1994. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Geographic Variations
Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Dartmouth Atlas of Musculo-skeletal Healthcare
Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Rates Epidemiological Data
Back pain & disc disease are approximately equal among different countries. Therefore the variation of rates in procedures for surgery needs explanation. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Reasons for differences in practice
Supply-induced demand Differences in training Healthcare financing Organization & delivery of services Professional uncertainty Medical & surgical signatures of communities Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Wennberg JE, McPherson K, & Caper P: N Engl J Med 311:295-300, 1984.
“If physicians know what they are doing, why do such wide variations occur?” Wennberg JE, McPherson K, & Caper P: N Engl J Med 311: , 1984. Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Which rate is right? Supported by NIAMS U01-AR45444-01A1
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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What is outcomes research?
Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Randomized Trials ...tell us about treatment efficacy, (whether the treatment can work under ideal circumstances) Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Outcomes Research ...typically studies healthcare effectiveness, (how well it actually works when applied in routine care) Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Clinical Trials An Overview Supported by NIAMS U01-AR45444-01A1
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Why SPORT? Low back pain is one of the most widely experienced health problems in the world. Second only to common cold as reason cited for physician visit or days lost from work. Estimated costs from $30-70 billion annually. 15-fold geographic variation in rates of spinal surgeries. Little evidence demonstrating efficacy/effectiveness of surgery versus non-surgical therapy. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Fit eligibility criteria for inclusion in IDH, SpS, or DS cohorts
View videotape for IDH or SPS (DS) Consent to participate in RCT or Observational Cohort? No Yes Observational Cohort RCT Cohort IDH & SpS Choose DS Choose IDH & SpS Randomize DS Randomize Surgery- Fusion Non-op therapy Surgery- Fusion Non-op therapy Non-op therapy Surgery Non-op therapy Surgery Surgery- No Fusion Surgery- No Fusion Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Spine Institute for Special Surgery, KY UCSF Washington U., MO
Where SPORT? Dartmouth Emory Spine Ctr., GA Rothman Institute, PA Spine Institute for Special Surgery, KY UCSF Washington U., MO Beaumont Hospital, MI Case Western Reserve Georgetown Hospital for Special Surgery, NY Nebraska Spine Surgeons Rush-Presbyterian-St. Luke’s, Chicago SUNY-Syracuse Tulane University University of Iowa Vanderbilt Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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SPORT Cores Study Coordinating Center at Dartmouth
Statistics, Epidemiology, and Data Management Core Statistics/Epidemiology Group Data Management Group Cost-Effectiveness Core Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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The Big Question Is Surgery BETTER than Non-surgical therapy for patients with Intervertebral Disc Herniation, Spinal Stenosis, and/or Spinal Stenosis with Degenerative Spondylolisthesis? Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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What do we mean by BETTER?
The Real Question What do we mean by BETTER? Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Main Health Outcome Measures
Functional Health Status Disease Specific Health Status Generic Health Status Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) Preference Classification Systems Societal perspective Direct Utility Assessment Individual perspective Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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47 Year Old Female L3-4 Disc 6 weeks of Physical Therapy
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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59 Year Old Male L4-5 Disc six months post-op
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Physicians typically underestimate patient’s desire for information
Strull WM, et al “Do patients want to participate in medical decision-making?” JAMA :
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12% have contacted their doctor with questions from “ER”
POTENCY OF TELEVISION 32% indicated that information received from “ER” helps them make family healthcare choices 12% have contacted their doctor with questions from “ER” Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Patient participation may result in better outcomes
Greenfield S, et al Ann Int Med 1985, 102:520; J Gen Med 1988, 3:448; Med Care 1989, 27:S110.
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Evidence Based Medicine From the Classroom to the Clinic (Shared Decision Making)
Explosion of Scientific Knowledge keeping up with the scientific literature synthesizing all this information efficiently and practically Supported by NIAMS U01-AR A1 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Shared Decision-Making Programs (VHS, CD-ROM, Interactive video) combine information from:
clinical trials literature syntheses other outcomes studies with concerns of patients and physicians elicited in focus groups.
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Video Tape Evaluation Informational Content
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Video Tape Evaluation: Length
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Findings: Need for More Information on Specific Treatments Options
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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HNP Findings: Mean Score 2
HNP Findings: Mean Score Significant Degree of Decisional Conflict Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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The Voice of the Patient
Professional Skater: Second Opinion “paralyzed with fear”, on the couch. Told by PCP surgery only option After viewing SDM-Choose surgery, very comfortable with decision. Mathematician: “Right amount” of narrative and right amount of statistics. Enough info to “Wait”. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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59 Year Old Male L4-5 Disc Herniation (Surgical)
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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47 Year Old Female L3-4 Disc Herniation (Non-surgical)
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Thank You Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Northern New England Cardiovascular Disease Study Group
The Northern New England Cardiovascular Disease Study Group exists to develop and exchange information concerning the treatment of cardiovascular disease. It is a regional, voluntary, multi-disciplinary group of clinicians, hospital administrators, and health care research personnel who seek to improve continuously the quality, safety, effectiveness, and cost of medical interventions in cardiovascular disease. Eastern Maine Medical Center Fletcher Allen Health Care Maine Medical Center Dartmouth Hitchcock Medical Center Catholic Medical Center Beth Israel- Deaconess Medical Center Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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NNECDSG Prospective study of in-hospital mortality-rate 2-6% across 5 centers CABG Improvement Intervention-overall mortality reduced 24% Examined the Cause of Death Focused look at low output heart failure American Heart Association Patient Care and Outcomes Research Grant Improvement Grant to reduce mortality from low output heart failure Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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A regional prospective study of in-hospital mortality associated with coronary artery bypass grafting- ( ) 7 6 5 In-hospital 4 Mortality Rate (%) 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 Center O’Connor, GT et al. JAMA, 1991;266: Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Three interventions aimed at reducing CABG mortality
CABG Improvement A Prospective study Three interventions aimed at reducing CABG mortality Feedback of outcome data Training on continuous quality improvement techniques Site visits to other medical centers 4 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Expected/Observed mortality all patients (N = 15,095)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 7/87 10/87 1/88 4/88 7/88 10/88 1/89 4/89 7/89 10/89 1/90 4/90 7/90 10/90 1/91 4/91 7/91 10/91 1/92 4/92 7/92 10/92 1/93 4/93 Date of Beginning of Quarter Observed Expected Intervention N = 1,969 Pre-intervention N = 6,638 Post-intervention N = 6,488 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College O’Connor, GT et al. JAMA 1996;275:841-6
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Lessons Learned Continued Participation After 13 years all cardiac surgeons continue to participate. Benchmarking Multicenter data allowed powerful insights and identification of “best practices”. Improved Care Patient care is substantially improved. A recent Duke study showed CABG outcomes in NNE to be the best in the US and the most improved. Academic Productivity The group have been very academically productive. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Northern New England Cardiovascular Disease Study Group
The Northern New England Cardiovascular Disease Study Group exists to develop and exchange information concerning the treatment of cardiovascular disease. It is a regional, voluntary, multi-disciplinary group of clinicians, hospital administrators, and health care research personnel who seek to improve continuously the quality, safety, effectiveness, and cost of medical interventions in cardiovascular disease. Eastern Maine Medical Center Fletcher Allen Health Care Maine Medical Center Dartmouth Hitchcock Medical Center Catholic Medical Center Beth Israel- Deaconess Medical Center Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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NNECDSG Prospective study of in-hospital mortality-rate 2-6% across 5 centers CABG Improvement Intervention-overall mortality reduced 24% Examined the Cause of Death Focused look at low output heart failure American Heart Association Patient Care and Outcomes Research Grant Improvement Grant to reduce mortality from low output heart failure Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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A regional prospective study of in-hospital mortality associated with coronary artery bypass grafting- ( ) 7 6 5 In-hospital 4 Mortality Rate (%) 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 Center O’Connor, GT et al. JAMA, 1991;266: Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Three interventions aimed at reducing CABG mortality
CABG Improvement A Prospective study Three interventions aimed at reducing CABG mortality Feedback of outcome data Training on continuous quality improvement techniques Site visits to other medical centers 4 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
100
Expected/Observed mortality all patients (N = 15,095)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 7/87 10/87 1/88 4/88 7/88 10/88 1/89 4/89 7/89 10/89 1/90 4/90 7/90 10/90 1/91 4/91 7/91 10/91 1/92 4/92 7/92 10/92 1/93 4/93 Date of Beginning of Quarter Observed Expected Intervention N = 1,969 Pre-intervention N = 6,638 Post-intervention N = 6,488 Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College O’Connor, GT et al. JAMA 1996;275:841-6
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Lessons Learned Continued Participation After 13 years all cardiac surgeons continue to participate. Benchmarking Multicenter data allowed powerful insights and identification of “best practices”. Improved Care Patient care is substantially improved. A recent Duke study showed CABG outcomes in NNE to be the best in the US and the most improved. Academic Productivity The group have been very academically productive. Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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Supported by NIAMS U01-AR45444-01A1
Copyright 1999, Trustees of Dartmouth College
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