1. Economic & Commercial Real Estate Finance Outlook
Presented by
Barbara Byrne Denham
REIS, Inc.
Jamie Woodwell
Mortgage Bankers Association

2. National Apartment Market
Supply & Demand Trends
Source: Reis; Top 50 Primary Apartment Markets

3. Top and Bottom Apartment Markets
Year-Over-Year Comparisons
Effective Revenue Per Unit, Percent Change 2016Q1 – 2017Q1
Source: Reis

4. National Office Market
Supply & Demand Trends
Source: Reis; Top 50 Primary Office Markets

5. Top and Bottom Office Markets
Year-Over-Year Comparisons
Effective Revenue Per Square Foot, Percent Change 2016Q1 – 2017Q1
Source: Reis

6. National Retail Market
Supply & Demand Trends
Source: Reis; Top 50 Primary Retail Markets

7. Top and Bottom Retail Markets
Year-Over-Year Comparisons
Effective Revenue Per Square Foot, Percent Change 2016Q1 – 2017Q1
Source: Reis

8. Summary and Conclusions
GDP growth slowed in 2016 and early 2017, but this was not unexpected.
Job Growth in 2017 has improved in most sectors except retail.
Holding steady with our forecasts, but with a significantly wider band of uncertainty – both on the upside and the downside.
Near term boost in economic activity may show up in stronger CRE fundamentals. Again, note higher uncertainty both on the upside and downside. More questions than answers in the new administration’s first days.