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Análise Espacial de Dados Geográficos

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Presentation on theme: "Análise Espacial de Dados Geográficos"— Presentation transcript:

1 Análise Espacial de Dados Geográficos
Autômatos Celulares Disciplina SER 301 Análise Espacial de Dados Geográficos Líliam C. Castro Medeiros

2 Cellular Automata Dynamic and self-reproducing sistems
Discrete space and time The basic elements: cells The nth iteration Neumann JV, Burks AW (1966). The Theory of Self-Reproducing Automata, University of Illinois Press, Urbana

3 Cellular Automata Dynamic and self-reproducing sistems
Discrete space and time The basic elements: cells The nth iteration Neumann JV, Burks AW (1966). The Theory of Self-Reproducing Automata, University of Illinois Press, Urbana

4 Cellular Automata Dynamic and self-reproducing sistems
Discrete space and time The basic elements: cells The nth iteration Neumann JV, Burks AW (1966). The Theory of Self-Reproducing Automata, University of Illinois Press, Urbana

5 Dynamic and self-reproducing sistems
Discrete space and time The basic elements: cells The nth iteration Neumann JV, Burks AW (1966). The Theory of Self-Reproducing Automata, University of Illinois Press, Urbana

6 Dynamic and self-reproducing sistems
Discrete space and time The basic elements: cells The nth iteration Neumann JV, Burks AW (1966). The Theory of Self-Reproducing Automata, University of Illinois Press, Urbana

7 Dynamic and self-reproducing sistems
Discrete space and time The basic elements: cells The nth iteration Neumann JV, Burks AW (1966). The Theory of Self-Reproducing Automata, University of Illinois Press, Urbana

8 Dynamic and self-reproducing sistems
Discrete space and time The basic elements: cells The nth iteration Neumann JV, Burks AW (1966). The Theory of Self-Reproducing Automata, University of Illinois Press, Urbana

9 Each cell contains: A finite set of predeterminated states
A set of transition rules (to change the states) which depend on the cell’s neighborhood The nth iteration Neumann JV, Burks AW (1966). The Theory of Self-Reproducing Automata, University of Illinois Press, Urbana

10 Source: Rita Zorzenon’s slide

11 The Cellular Automata Desenvolvido pelo matemático húngaro John von Neumann, que na década de 40, propôs um modelo baseado na ideia de sistemas lógicos que fossem auto-reprodutores e que imitassem a própria vida. Cooper NG (1983). From Turing and von Neumann to the present. Los Alamos Science.

12 An Example: John Conway’s Game of Life
a regular grid with square cells

13 An Example: John Conway’s Game of Life
each cell can be white (alive) or black (dead)

14 An Example: John Conway’s Game of Life
each cell can be white (alive) or black (dead) for each cell, their neighbors are the 8 closer cells Figure: Leonardo Santos et al. (2011). A susceptible-infected model for exploring the effects of neighborhood structures on epidemic processes – a segregation analysis. Proceedings XII GEOINFO, November 27-29, 2011, Campos do Jordão, Brazil. p

15 An Example: John Conway’s Game of Life
each cell can be white (alive) or black (dead) for each cell, their neighbors are the 8 closer cells at each time step, the state of each cell obey the following rules (executed simultaneously): the cell survives if there are 2 or 3 alive neighbor cells, otherwise the cell dies a died cell can change to an alive cell if it has exatly 3 alive neighbors, otherwise it remains dead

16 Possible states: alive or dead
Game of Life John Conway (1970) Possible states: alive or dead Death: by loneliness - one or zero neighbors by overpopulation – more than 4 neighbors Birth: cells with exactly 3 alive neighbors Survival: exactly 2 or exactly 3 alive neighbors Adapted from Adriana Racco’s slide

17 Rita Zorzenon’s slide

18 Game of Life Some sites to see the Game of Life simulation:
or

19 Source: Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide
CA = (G, N, S, IC, R, BC, UC) G: Geometry N: Neighborhood S: States IC: Initial condition R: Rules BC: Boundary conditions UC: Updating criteria The CA Structure Source: Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide

20 The Grid

21 Source: Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide
CA = (G, N, S, IC, R, BC, UC) G: Geometry N: Neighborhood S: States IC: Initial condition R: Rules BC: Boundary conditions UC: Updating criteria The CA Structure Source: Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide

22 The Geometry Example: Two-Dimensional Grids
Cells that have a common edge with the involved are named as “main neighbors” of the cell (are showed with hatching) The set of actual neighbors of the cell a, which can be found according to N, is denoted as N(a) Source: Lev Naumov’ slide

23 Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide
CA = (G, N, S, IC, R, BC, UC) G: Geometry N: Neighborhood S: States IC: Initial condition R: Rules BC: Boundary conditions UC: Updating criteria The CA Structure Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide

24 Von Neumann Neighborhood
First neighbors Second neighbors Adapted from Adriana Racco’s slide

25 Adapted from Adriana Racco’s slide
Moore Neighborhood First neighbors Second neighbors Adapted from Adriana Racco’s slide

26 Adapted from Adriana Racco’s slide
Random Neighborhood Adapted from Adriana Racco’s slide

27 Other Neighborhoods The arbitrary neighborhood is determined by the model Examples: Based on people activity-space (Santos et al, 2011) First neighbors Second neighbors Based on data (Aguiar et al, 2003) Adapted from Adriana Racco’s slide

28 Neighborhoods in Time They can be
static: the same neighbors all the time (classical CA) dynamic: the neighbors can change at each time step

29 when: December, 12th, at 2 p.m.! where: IAI auditorium

30 Source: Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide
CA = (G, N, S, IC, R, BC, UC) G: Geometry N: Neighborhood S: States IC: Initial condition R: Rules BC: Boundary conditions UC: Updating criteria The CA Structure Source: Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide

31 Source: Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide
CA = (G, N, S, IC, R, BC, UC) G: Geometry N: Neighborhood S: States IC: Initial condition R: Rules BC: Boundary conditions UC: Updating criteria The CA Structure Source: Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide

32 Source: Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide
CA = (G, N, S, IC, R, BC, UC) G: Geometry N: Neighborhood S: States IC: Initial condition R: Rules BC: Boundary conditions UC: Updating criteria The CA Structure Source: Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide

33 Adapted from Adriana Racco’s slide
Rules The rules may depend on the state of the own cell neighbor’s cells The rules may be based on influence fields of the geography of the system They may be deterministic or stochastic They can depend only on the actual state of the cells Adapted from Adriana Racco’s slide

34 Source: Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide
CA = (G, N, S, IC, R, BC, UC) G: Geometry N: Neighborhood S: States IC: Initial condition R: Rules BC: Boundary conditions UC: Updating criteria The CA Structure Source: Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide

35 Boundary Conditions Periodic (1D - ring or 2D – torus)

36 Boundary Conditions Periodic (1D - ring or 2D – torus)

37 Boundary Conditions Periodic (1D - ring or 2D – torus)

38 Boundary Conditions Periodic (1D - ring or 2D – torus)

39 Boundary Conditions Periodic (1D - ring or 2D – torus) Reflexive

40 Boundary Conditions Periodic (1D - ring or 2D – torus) Reflexive Fixed

41 Boundary Conditions Periodic (1D - ring or 2D – torus) Reflexive Fixed
Null (the cells located on the borders have as neighbors only those cells immediately adjacent to them into the grid) Others

42 Source: Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide
CA = (G, N, S, IC, R, BC, UC) G: Geometry N: Neighborhood S: States IC: Initial condition R: Rules BC: Boundary conditions UC: Updating criteria The CA Structure Source: Adapted from Leonardo Santos’ slide

43 Examples of Bidimensional Cellular Automata Models

44

45 You can also see this in sites.google.com/site/amazonida/drops/forestfire

46 Other Example of Cellular Automata Model

47 Dengue Fever It is a viral disease trasmitted in Brazil mainly by Aedes aegypti mosquito

48 Stages of Infection In Mosquitoes Susceptible Infected
8 to 12 days Susceptible Infected Extrinsic Incubation Period time Mosquito infects humans Moment of infection Figure: Whitehead SS, Blaney JE, Durbin AP, Murphy BR (2007). Prospects for a dengue virus vaccine. Nature Reviews Microbiology, 5:

49 Dengue Stages In Humans Susceptible Infected Recovered time Intrinsic
Incubation Period Contagious Human infects mosquitoes Moment of infection 3 to 14 days Average between 4 and 5 days Average between 4 and 7 days Figure: Whitehead SS, Blaney JE, Durbin AP, Murphy BR (2007). Prospects for a dengue virus vaccine. Nature Reviews Microbiology, 5:

50 There are four distinct serotypes of the virus:
Dengue Virus There are four distinct serotypes of the virus: DENV1, DENV2, DENV3 e DENV4

51 The Model

52

53

54 A multi-level stochastic cellular automata
Humans Mosquitoes A multi-level stochastic cellular automata

55 The Model Humans Mosquitoes

56 The Model Humans Mosquitoes

57 The Model Time of infection (days) State Humans Mosquitoes

58 The Model Humans Mosquitoes Time of infection (days) Age days

59 Patterns

60 Model Considerations Human mobility Asymptomatic people Human renewal
House infestation Vector density per household Each iteration corresponds to a day Periodic boundary conditions

61 Simulation in Human Lattice
Inicialmente:

62 Simulation in Mosquito Lattice
Inicialmente: Um único humano infectado

63 Parameters of the Model
Human occupation rate Number of humans at each residence Human/vector population radio House infestation rate Daily bite frequency Incubation periods Contagious period Mosquito daily survival probability Contamination probabilities

64 Other Example of Cellular Automata Model

65 Source: Leonardo Santos and Suani Pinho

66 Source: Leonardo Santos and Suani Pinho

67 Source: Leonardo Santos et al (2009)

68 Patterns Generated by Cellular Automata Models
Rita Zorzenon’s slide

69 Patterns Generated by Cellular Automata Models
Rita Zorzenon’s slide

70 TerraME www.terrame.org
Is a programming environment for spatial dynamical modeling. It supports cellular automata, agent-based models and network models running in 2D cell spaces. It provides an interface to TerraLib geographical database, allowing models direct access to geospatial data.

71

72 Other Example chuva chuva chuva N Pico do Itacolomi do Itambé
Serra do Lobo N Fonte: (Carneiro, 2006) 72

73 Cellular Automata WET DRY (soilWater > infCap) ?
Fonte: (Carneiro, 2006)

74 Simulation outcome fonte: Carneiro (2006)


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