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PLANNING | ENGINEERING | PROGRAM MANAGEMENT
HIDALGO COUNTY RAIL BOARD COMMUTER RAIL FEASIBILITY STUDY PUBLIC MEETING & OPEN HOUSE May 9, 2011 PLANNING | ENGINEERING | PROGRAM MANAGEMENT
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PROJECT OVERVIEW Purpose and Need Study Funded by U.S. DOE Grant
Explosive Population and Employment Growth County Level Commuter Rail Districts Enabled by State Study Funded by U.S. DOE Grant Feasibility Examines: Corridors & Stations Modes & Operations Costs & Benefits
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PROJECT OVERVIEW CORRIDORS & STATIONS
Hidalgo County, according to the US Census Bureau, grew in population from 569,000 in 2000 to 775,000 in 2010, an annualized growth rate of 3.14%, which is quite substantial, especially when compared to the annualized growth rates of 1.89% for the state of Texas, and 0.98% for the United States as a whole. This is consistent with local assessments of rapid population growth. The Hidalgo County Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) forecasts that countywide population in 2030 will total approximately 1,644,000 persons, or more than double the existing 2010 population
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CORRIDORS & STATIONS General Station Location Desires
Employment/Residential Concentrations Retail / Commercial Districts Downtowns / Main Streets Government / Education Uses Adequate Parking Supply Nearby Feeder Bus Routes Extend Catchment Area Reduce Parking Requirements
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CORRIDORS & STATIONS Example: Downtown Weslaco College Campus
Municipal Buildings Historic Main Street Downtown Weslaco is a good example of three transit-friendly uses together.
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CORRIDORS & STATIONS Station Locations
Now there is an “urban core” with four stations 1.6 – 1.8 miles apart. 11 stations, 37 CL miles
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MODES & OPERATIONS Predictive Models of Rail Ridership
Other Recent LAN models: San Antonio Tulsa “reasonableness check”
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Dallas Area Rapid Transit
MODES & OPERATIONS DMU/EMU (Compliant) Light Rail (LRT) DMU (Non-Compliant) 32 miles (Austin) Holds 200 Passengers / 2 cars (108 seated) Up to 75 mph Average speed 34 mph Station Spacing 5 miles $5 million per rail car 35 miles (DFW) 96 seated (per car) Up to 79 mph Average speed 45 mph Station Spacing 5 miles $1.8 million each (cost includes engineering, shipment, etc.) Meets FRA regulations for crash regulations 87 miles (DART System) 160 passengers / 3 cars (76 seated) Up to 65 mph Average speed mph Station Spacing ½ to 2 mile $3.2 million each (includes design, engineering, shipment, etc.). Metro Rail Trinity Rail Express Dallas Area Rapid Transit
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MODES & OPERATIONS Multiple Rail Modes
Variety of Demographic and System Characteristics Mathematical Formulae Provide Planning Level Estimates of Ridership
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BENEFIT ANALYSIS 2030 Employment Near Stations
134,000 Jobs (30% of the 445,000 in County)
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BENEFIT ANALYSIS 2030 Population Near Stations
326,000 People (20% of the 1,644,000 in County)
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BENEFIT ANALYSIS Commuter Rail = 16,300 per day
Light Rail = 6,600 per day Note that light rail has slightly higher ridership for the “urban stations.” This reinforces that it’s more appropriate for denser development than what Hidalgo is expected to have.
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BENEFIT ANALYSIS Increasing nearby jobs has more impact than increasing nearby residences Baseline Concentrating businesses is more effective (and may be easier), though concentrating residences does help too. *Assumes 25 mph
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(within ½ mile of stations)
BENEFIT ANALYSIS Station Possible Job Creation (within ½ mile of stations) Vacant Land Current Future Growth (acres) McAllen Central 4,526 5,028 502 26.7 Edinburg Central 2,454 2,626 172 14.6 McAllen East 1,614 2,318 704 121.0 McAllen North 1,131 1,664 533 67.9 Pharr 1,447 1,907 460 36.4 San Juan 1,196 1,490 294 27.9 Alamo-Donna 49 740 691 290.6 Weslaco 1,635 1,809 174 15.9 Mercedes 1,951 2,364 413 38.3 Mission 456 974 518 131.1 Edinburg 281 329 964 635 266.8 Total 16,788 21,884 5,096 1,037.2
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BENEFIT ANALYSIS Sample Existing Conditions
Some Blocks are Mostly Developed and are Transit-Friendly Now Less Dense Blocks are Likely to Change / Build Up Left 2 photos are McAllen; middle 2 are Mercedes; right 2 are Pharr.
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BENEFIT ANALYSIS Transit Routes and Schedules
MET (McAllen Express Transit) RioMetro Intercity Only in McAllen is there much connecting bus service. For the rail system to be successful, all the stations will need feeder buses on more routes and with more frequent service, to achieve projected rail ridership.
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COST ANALYSIS LAN Experience with Texas Systems Capital Metro, Austin
Denton County Transit Authority Trinity Rail Express, Dallas / Fort Worth DART, Dallas METRO, Houston VIA Metro, San Antonio (Rail in Planning)
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COST ANALYSIS Peer Group Comparison Commuter Rail System
Largest City Served Average Weekday Riders* NJ Transit Rail New York/Philadelphia 291,428 MBTA Commuter Rail Boston 130,800 SEPTA Regional Rail Philadelphia 120,800 Caltrain (Peninsula Corridor Joint Powers Bd) San Francisco/San Jose 35,900 VRE Washington, DC 16,300 TRE Dallas – Fort Worth 9,400 Light Rail System Largest City Served Average Weekday Riders* Blue & Green Lines Los Angeles 134,500 Red & Blue Lines Portland 115,400 100, 101 & 102 Lines Philadelphia 102,500 Dallas 65,700 Metrolink Saint Louis 60,100 Folsom North & South Lines Sacramento 55,800 Sandy Salt Lake & University Salt Lake City 43,400 Alum Rock, Mountain View & Ohlone Lines San Jose 31,500 Library & South Hills Lines Pittsburgh 24,800 Metro Rail Buffalo 20,600 Cleveland 9,804 DMU Lines System Largest City Served Average Weekday Riders* SFRTA Tri-Rail (mixed fleet) Miami 12,400 NJ Transit Riverline Trenton/Camden 9,771 North County Transit District (NCTD) Sprinter Oceanside 7,200 Westside Express Service (TriMet) Beaverton 1,100 Regression Peer Group systems of similar size consulted for amounts of service run, size of park & ride lots, etc.
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COST ANALYSIS At-Grade Crossings Spur Tracks
Grade crossing conditions varied – some will have to be closed; in some cases every single city block features a railroad crossing (313 throughout the county).
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System Cost Elements COST ANALYSIS
Largest cost drivers are track related upgrades – additional sidings would be needed for more frequent service
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RECOMMENDATIONS Preferred Mode is Commuter Rail System is Viable Relative to Forecasted Demographics Improve Policy, Financial, Physical, Institutional Environments Pursue Federal Funding: “New Starts” Policy = planning and regulatory conditions around stations Financial = New Starts, Grade Xings, Texas Rail Relocation & Improvement Fund Physical = Infrastructure capacity Institutional = Operating Entity (true regional transit authority)
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RECOMMENDATIONS
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PLANNING | ENGINEERING | PROGRAM MANAGEMENT
QUESTIONS? PLANNING | ENGINEERING | PROGRAM MANAGEMENT
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