1. 12. PROTAGONISTS OF THE WORLD DEVELOPMENT
GROWTH ECONOMICS and Fund-raising in international cooperation SECS-P01, CFU 9 Economics for Development academic year
12. PROTAGONISTS OF THE WORLD DEVELOPMENT
Roberto Pasca di Magliano
Fondazione Roma Sapienza-Cooperazione Internazionale
Roberto pasca di Magliano

2. PROTAGONISTS OF THE DEVELPMENT
In the world scenario there are new countries contributing the the development, other than the advanced ones
The history of the development protagostists takes origine from South Corea in the fiftys, then the so-called four tigers (Thailand, Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan)
It follows the very well known group of the BRIC countries (Brasil, Russia, India and China) and then becaming BRICS (with the addition of South Africa)
Still important is the contribution of the Gulf countries (Kuwait, Quatar, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates) as well as Iran and Saudi Arabia
More recently other dynamic countries are given an increasing contribution to the world development such as: Indonesia, Mexico, Turkey, Colombia, Uganda (the only Sub-Saharian country), Vietnam and partially Nigeria.
Major differences can be recognize with respect to developed countries as contribution to development derives from natural resource’s export, exports of low cost goods, labor productivity (not much from the industrialization)

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4. Major Countries’ Shares of World GDP,1700-2030 1990 International PPP$ World GDP=100%
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6. Contribution to world GDP
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11. Estimated overtaking dates based on GDP at PPPs
The contenders
Estimated overtaking dates based on GDP at PPPs
Estimated overtaking dates based on GDP at MERs
E7 vs G7
2017
2032
China vs US
2018
India vs Japan
2011
2028
Russia vs Germany
2014
2042
Brazil vs UK
2013
2023
Mexico vs France
2046
Indonesia vs Italy
2030
2039
Turkey vs Canada
2020
2035
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12. BRICS Countries
BRASIL
RUSSIA
INDIA
CHINA
SOUTH AFRICA

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16. CHINA ROLE
The importance of China in the world scenario is not only due to its domestic and external dinamism as China is now becoming the major defender of the free market
China is expanding its influence abroad mainly in countries rich in terms of natural resources:
Natural resources import from Africa represents 20% of the total needs
New investments in Africa regard infrastructures and industries by creating new free-zones (Mauritius, Zambia, Ethiopia, Egypt
Great expansion concerns agriculture via the so-called land graber (local agricultural lands run directly by chineese entrepreneurs

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