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Variations on strategic analysis and discourse Doctor of Business Administration London School of Commerce Adapted May 2017 PROFESSOR ROBIN MATTHEWS.

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Presentation on theme: "Variations on strategic analysis and discourse Doctor of Business Administration London School of Commerce Adapted May 2017 PROFESSOR ROBIN MATTHEWS."— Presentation transcript:

1 Variations on strategic analysis and discourse Doctor of Business Administration London School of Commerce Adapted May 2017 PROFESSOR ROBIN MATTHEWS KINGSTON UNIVERSITY BUSINESS SCHOOL LONDON RANEPA MOSCOW MOSI YOSHKAR-OLA ECONOMIC STRATEGIES PRESIDENT OF THE LEAGUE OF CORPORATE STRATEGY AND ACCOUNTING http/ 9/11/2018 robindcmatthews.com

2 Variations on strategic analysis and discourse
Planning Diversification and portfolio planning Core businesses People oriented strategies

3 Expected net present value of the business/project (NPV) Expected revenues Expected costs Summed over the expected life of the business/project. Discount rate (average cost of capital)

4 discourse

5 Dynamic capability and critical success factors
Necessary conditions for survival (CSF) Sources of competitive advantage that it is difficult to copy

6 Rules, laws, regulations, structures, architectures, routines.
Payoffs to stakeholder groups Tangible and intangible Assets (including Reputation) payoffs Competitors and co-operators Outer dynamics Inner dynamics Global macro system grammar Rules, laws, regulations, structures, architectures, routines. Mindsets, culture, norms, values, habits, moods. Intelligence rational and emotional. Formal and Informal, Inner and Outer.

7 payoffs Inner dynamics Outer
GRAMMAR SYSTEM STATE 9/11/2018 robindcmatthews.com

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10 The enneagram methodology
Actual v expected Reflection Monitoring Control, reporting auditing OUTER DYNAMICS Corporate vision/mission/ strategic intent Principal agent Moral hazard Information Emotional intelligence Incentive compatibility Abilities Attitudes Rewards Motivation Payoffs/Utility Attitudes to risk Tradeoffs/stakeholders Survival/growth Sustainability Corporate responsibility PAYOFFS INNER DYNAMICS Activities/assets capabilities Rational choice Bounded rationality Mind sets/path dependence Decision rules NPV/DCF/ROCE…. Time horizons Search techniques Strategic models and frameworks Meta model The strategic process is embedded in organizational grammar

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19 OUTER DYNAMICS COMPETITIVE DYNAMICS

20 Alternative shifts in the system state
Leveraging capabilities Is the shift in the system state from E to E2 or from E to E3? Old system state S(t - 1) E Current Capabilities New system state a S(ta) E3 E2 Can leverage some of the capability set New system state b S(tb) Need a jump to new capabilities

21 Costs Capabilities are networks of assets (shadowed by their associated costs, usually market values of assets) AVOIDABLE UNAVOIDABLE F1 Sunk costs; Unavoidable once incurred,includes non recoverable variable costs and change in asset values (True costs) V Variable and only avoidable by cutting down output (marginal costs) F2 Fixed and only avoidable by going out of business

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23 Value chain (Porter) PRIMARY Outbound logistics
Operations (manufacturing) Inbound logistics Marketing Sales Service SUPPORT Infrastructure Human resources Purchasing Technology

24 Outer dynamics

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26 Effect on sales revenue of price reduction
Effect on sales revenue of a price increase Elastic Ep >1 Sales Revenue RISES Sales Revenue FALLS Inelastic Ep <1 FALLS

27 EP = │ EP │ = price elasticity
ELASTICITIES EP = │ EP │ = price elasticity Ey = income elasticity

28 niches Whole market Market segments Market segment

29 McKinsey view of internal organizational grammar


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