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Demographic transition

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Presentation on theme: "Demographic transition"— Presentation transcript:

1 Demographic transition
Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 birth and death rates Birth Rate Population population Demographic Growth Death Rate 1700s 1800s 1900s 2000s

2 Population structure and pension system methods
Current/future population structure Previous population structure Dissaving (insurance) retirement retirement insurance saving The change of population structure suggests not only applying new methods to the old-age pension system but also to separate it within social security

3 GDP divided between generations
GDPR _______ GDP 1 A B C2 opt. (?) C1 opt. (?) time

4 GDP2 GDP1 GDP1 T1 T2 R1 R2

5 Intergenerational exchange
In order to finance retirement consumption pension rights need to be exchanged for a part of the real product (irrespective to the form they are expressed in).

6 Intergenerational exchange
z% z1 ? z4 1/d4 1/d2 1/d3 1/d1 c1 c2 c3 c%

7 Long-term saving  high account value

8 Later retirement  higher benefit


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