1. Are We Preparing Our Future Workforce?
Orbry Holden – TBEC
Charly Simmons – Kuder
August 22, 2007
TITLE SLIDE

2. A Nationwide Labor Shortage is Coming
Projected gap in
skilled workers
5.3 mil by 2010
14 mil by 2020
190
180
170
160
150
140
Skilled Jobs
Unskilled
Jobs
Millions
Workforce
Number of Jobs and Workers shown in millions
Source: Aspen Institute’s Domestic Strategy Group
The workforce will grow at a steady rate to 2010 – based on the size of subsequent age cohorts and their demographic composition.
Baby Boomers constitute a bulge (60%) in the present “prime age” (25-54) workforce. They will begin to retire around 2005 but their loss to the workforce will be offset to some extent by increasing labor force participation rates (relative to historic participation rates for these groups) among women, Blacks and Hispanics in subsequent cohorts and with some delays in Baby Boomer retirement based on increases in productive, healthy years through medical advances and less physically demanding technologies, and economic necessity.
However, growth of the labor force slows dramatically after 2010 as most workers in the Baby Boom Bulge are fully retired and replacement workers must be drawn wholly from smaller “feeder” age cohorts (Gen X and Gen Y for example). Modest increases in their labor market participation rates (along current trend lines) among key demographic groups in the feeder cohorts does not keep pace with the number of Baby Boomers exiting the workforce.
While some unskilled jobs will be automated, shipped off-shore or become obsolete, the net number of unskilled jobs will increase steadily through the process of “creative destruction.”
The number of skilled jobs will increase steadily between 2000 and 2010 through the process of creative destruction as well.
The growth of skilled jobs likely will accelerate as an economic rebound combines with breakthrough technologies from 2010 to 2020 and beyond.
A skills gap will likely appear as early as 2005 and become ever wider because educational attainment rates among key demographic groups in the feeder cohorts has historically been lower than for that of male Caucasians comprising the majority of Baby Boomers in today’s workforce.
Another factor leading to the anticipated skills gap is decreasing enrollments in mathematics, science and technology programs most closely related to the technology-intensive occupations with the fastest anticipated demand growth.
Assuming modest (3%) annual economic growth (I.e. neither a high growth nor a low growth trajectory) and no dramatic changes in the labor force participation and educational attainment rates among key demographic groups in the feeder cohorts, Anthony Carnevale of Educational Testing Services projects that there will be shortage of 5.3 million skilled workers by The projected gap in skilled workers likely will reach 14 million by 2010.

5. Technologies Are Converging
2000
Info Tech
Nano Tech
Bio Tech

6. Technologies Are Converging
Info Tech
2006
Nano Tech
Bio Tech

7. Changing Workforce Skills & Needs
Notice a difference?

8. “To some extent 100% of TSTC training for automotive technician is electronics related.”--Russell Carrigan
TSTC West TX, Sweetwater,

9. Work Readiness Perception Gap
% Saying Students have Needed Work Skills
Source: PAF Reality Check

10. WORKFORCE PIPELINE IS BROKEN27 68 40
Graduate from high school on time
Enroll directly in college
Are still enrolled the next year
100
Ninth Graders
First year of college
High School
Remainder of college 18
College
Graduates
-32
-28
-13 -9

11. “Over the next ten years, 26 of the top 30 fastest growing jobs will require some post-secondary education or training...The demand for skilled workers is outpacing supply, resulting in attractive, high-paying jobs going unfilled.” Emily Stover De Rocco
Assistant Secretary of Labor for Education and Training

12. Education with a Purpose
Business and education leaders challenging students to become full participants in assuring their own success through academic and career planning.
Presentations in elementary school,
middle school, and
early and late in high school.
Provide a web-based system for students to develop and monitor their own plan for high school and beyond.
Tex Ready
The program will function much as before.
Business and education leaders will take the message directly to students, usually beginning the middle school and challenge them to aim for success in high school and beyond.
We will have presentations designed for students in elementary school, middle school and early and late in high school. Different versions of the middle school presentation and available for downloading on the Texas Scholars website. The others are yet to be developed.
The presentations feature a new animated character, Tex Ready, that give the program greater identity and life.
By February first, we will release for use the first elements of an on-line planning system for students, My Roadmap for Success in High School and Beyond. Look for it soon through a link on the Texas Scholars website.

14. Creating Partnerships to Accomplish the Goal

15. Your Workforce Starts Here Director, Applications Development
Teens, Virtual Worlds and Starting Career Pipelines for High Growth Industries
Cliff Zintgraff
Director, Applications Development
© numedeon, inc. 2006

16. © numedeon, inc. 2004
Ion Engine Design

17. Whyville
Biotech
© numedeon, inc. 2004

18. Whyville Advanced Manufacturing WHERE’S MY AIRPLANE!! Make airplanes
Do flight test
Manage supply chain
WHERE’S MY AIRPLANE!!
Whyville Advanced
Manufacturing
Reach 20,000 for awareness
Refer 1,000 for education
© numedeon, inc. 2004

19. Whyville Census - 2007 Monthly unique visitors: 100,000
© numedeon, inc. 2004
Whyville Census
Monthly unique visitors: 100,000
Registered users: 1.7 million
Page Views: 1 Billion
Visits: Million
Monthly Hours Per Unique User: 3.5
Girls to Boys: 3 to 2
Population Growth: 1 Million New Kids
Chat Phrases Spoken: 500 Million

20. Securing the Future of Texas Focus on Emerging Industries
“AUSTIN ﾐ Gov. Rick Perry today announced a long-term, strategic job creation plan that will focus state efforts in six industry clusters that economists say will be the engine of future economic growth in the United States”
In 2004 the Governor’s Office identified industries that they will focus on growing in TX. Industries that are focused on innovation and that will help provide jobs to Texans as the industries grow.
The industries are listed here: Biotechnology and Life Sciences, Advanced Technologies and Manufacturing, Aerospace and Defense, Information and Computer Technology, Energy, and Petroleum Refining and Chemical Products.
Biotechnology and Life Sciences
Advanced Technologies and Manufacturing
Aerospace and Defense
Information and Computer Technology
Energy
Peteroleum Refining and Chemical Products
Texas Governor’s Office (2004)

21. A TEXAS WORKFORCE SOLUTION

22. SOLUTION: A communication network A career exploration tool
A recruiting tool
A marketing tool

23. CONNECTIONS ACROSS ORGANIZATIONS
INDUSTRY INFORMATION
Students
Educators
Employers
Workers
Parents
Government
TOO L S
CONNECTIONS ACROSS ORGANIZATIONS
Bioinformatics wheel graphic Joanne Fox, UBC Biotech Project

24. Emerging Industries: They’re New!
Bioinformatics
Mechatronics
Bio-instrumentation
Nanotechnology
Micro-electromechanical systems
University of Lancaster
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
What is Mechatronics?
Courtesy Sandia National Laboratories, SUMMiTTM Technologies,
Fujitsu

25. CONNECTIONS Employers Schools Teachers & Administrators Trade
High School Students
2-YR College Students
4-YR College Students
Adult Job-Seekers
Employers
Schools
Teachers &
Administrators
Trade
Associations
Parents
Government

26. How will YOU use it? 1. Connect Clients to Opportunities
2. Create Relationships with Employers and Educators in your Region
So now the question is, how will you use it?
We hope that this website will give you tools to connect your clients with training and jobs in these emerging industries.
Graphic  Challenge Towers

27. 1. Where are Your Clients

28. Advanced Technology & Manufacturing Businesses

29. Petroleum Refining and Chemical Products

30. Explore Regional Opportunities
From here people will link to the profile pages shown earlier
Housingmaps.com

31. . . . . . . . . . . AMARILLO / LUBBOCK/ODESSA/ MIDLAND FT WORTH DALLAS
EAST TEXAS .
EL PASO .
AUSTIN / WACO / TEMPLE .
HOUSTON
SAN
ANTONIO . .
SOUTH TEXAS .

32. Connect with Employers, Educators, and Clients in your Region
Use the Regional Pages to contact program administrators and human resources staff
Create a page for your organization to help attract clients

33. Education and Career Planning Tools

37. IMAGINE...