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The Netherlands Parliamentary Elections 2017
Irene Arnold, 24th May 2017 Research Seminar: Reporting Europe
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Parliamentary Election Results March 15, 2017
Distribution: 13 parties and 150 Parliamentary seats : percentages of votes per party VVD Largest party 21.1%, nationwide patterns Turnout 2017: 81.9%
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Participants (28) and final Parttakers (13)
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The Key Actors
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Exit polls: Green runs the Dutch vote. 2012 vs
Exit polls: Green runs the Dutch vote vs. 2017: VVD -10; PVV +4; CDA +6; D66 +7; Groen Links +12; SP -1; PvdA -29; CU +1; PVdD +3; etc Source: IPSOS
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Coalition forming in a scattered landscape: four potential scenario’s
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Electoral game changers: Pim Fortuyn (1948-2002) and Theo van Gogh (1957-2004)
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Campaigning: battle for the ‘indecisive voter’ and scattered representatives
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Campaigning: the national prism
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Campaigning: nostalgia as offensive strategy
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Alternative campaigning and scapegoating: immigration, discrimination, multiculturalism
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Campaigning: the ‘new normality’
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The political geography of the Netherlands
Age-old dividing lines and paradigmatic electoral patterns
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A divided country
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Right wins the vote everywhere … Except for Amsterdam, Utrecht, Leudal
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Populist blocks biggest in the south and northeast of the NLs
Source: De Correspondent, Josse de Voogd, ..
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Left voter lives more often in the city
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Political patterns reveal segregation and gentrification in the larger cities
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The Netherlands Second
Denmark second: Germany second: Russia second: Japan second: And so forth …
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