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The Netherlands Parliamentary Elections 2017

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Presentation on theme: "The Netherlands Parliamentary Elections 2017"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Netherlands Parliamentary Elections 2017
Irene Arnold, 24th May 2017 Research Seminar: Reporting Europe

2 Parliamentary Election Results March 15, 2017
Distribution: 13 parties and 150 Parliamentary seats : percentages of votes per party VVD Largest party 21.1%, nationwide patterns Turnout 2017: 81.9%

3 Participants (28) and final Parttakers (13)

4 The Key Actors

5 Exit polls: Green runs the Dutch vote. 2012 vs
Exit polls: Green runs the Dutch vote vs. 2017: VVD -10; PVV +4; CDA +6; D66 +7; Groen Links +12; SP -1; PvdA -29; CU +1; PVdD +3; etc Source: IPSOS

6 Coalition forming in a scattered landscape: four potential scenario’s

7 Electoral game changers: Pim Fortuyn (1948-2002) and Theo van Gogh (1957-2004)

8 Campaigning: battle for the ‘indecisive voter’ and scattered representatives

9 Campaigning: the national prism

10 Campaigning: nostalgia as offensive strategy

11 Alternative campaigning and scapegoating: immigration, discrimination, multiculturalism

12 Campaigning: the ‘new normality’

13

14 The political geography of the Netherlands
Age-old dividing lines and paradigmatic electoral patterns

15 A divided country

16 Right wins the vote everywhere … Except for Amsterdam, Utrecht, Leudal

17 Populist blocks biggest in the south and northeast of the NLs
Source: De Correspondent, Josse de Voogd, ..

18 Left voter lives more often in the city

19 Political patterns reveal segregation and gentrification in the larger cities

20 The Netherlands Second
Denmark second: Germany second: Russia second: Japan second: And so forth …


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