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Sitka Landslide Response
Joel Curtis Warning and Coordination Meteorologist SE Alaska Subarea Committee Meeting March 4, 2016
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Part 1 : Science SE Alaska : mudslides & landslides
Ecosystem and Geology Threat Intersects Population & Infrastucture
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Location Slope Vegetation: trunk & sail Veg: root systems
Soil and Rock strata Soil Disturbance “Old Slides”?
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Kramer Ave Slide 8/18/15
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Getting Slides Started
Saturated soil Wind speed and direction versus slope Initiation Mass Acceleration WET DELUGE
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Weather Ingredients Rainfall Amount and Rate Snow Melt to add water
Strong Winds / Wind Shift Freeze / Thaw cycles 1hr rainfall amounts from 4am-10am from Sitka Airport (right) and Sitka CRN(left)
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Prediction Problems in “QPF” Wind is OK Scale Timing
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Indian River Basin
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Some Tricks Hydrographs Tape : brilliant Recon : “plop”
Size-up : water color
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Plop! Water COLOR!
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Future: Predictable? Site Specific : NO !
Precursors : Yes, under development. Mention : We try. Deployment : Yes!
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Part 2 : My Disaster Luck Emotions Finesse Information / Media
Community
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Part 3 : Incident ICS Tech Specialist 12 -24 hours – Confidence
Relationships
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Part 4 : My Lessons and the Future
You can’t know enough… Be prepared. Skills Pass the torch !
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