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Econometric Analysis of Panel Data
William Greene Department of Economics Stern School of Business
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The Hausman and Taylor RE Model
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A Useful Result: LSDV is an IV Estimator
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Hausman and Taylor Use that Result
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H&T’s FGLS Estimator
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H&T’s FGLS Estimator (cont.)
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H&T’s 4 STEP IV Estimator
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The Hausman and Taylor Application: NLSY Wage Equation
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Standard Textbook Application Based on Cornwell and Rupert
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Is marital status really endogenous?
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Dynamic (Linear) Panel Data (DPD) Models
Application Bias in Conventional Estimation Development of Consistent Estimators Efficient GMM Estimators
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THE Dynamic Linear Model
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A General DPD model
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OLS and GLS are inconsistent
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LSDV is Also Inconsistent [(Steven) Nickell Bias]
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IV Estimation of the DPD Model Anderson Hsiao IV Estimator
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Arellano and Bond Estimator - 1
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Arellano and Bond Estimator - 2
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Ahn and Schmidt
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Arellano/Bond/Bover’s Formulation Start with H&T
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Arellano/Bond/Bover’s Formulation Dynamic Model
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Arellano/Bond/Bover’s Formulation
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Arellano/Bond/Bover Estimator
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GMM Criterion
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Application: Maquiladora
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Maquiladora
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Postscript There is no theoretical guidance on the instrument set
There is no theoretical guidance on the form of the covariance matrix There is no theoretical guidance on the number of lags at any level of the model There is no theoretical guidance on the form of the exogeneity – and it is not testable. Results vary wildly with small variations in the assumptions.
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Appendix
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The Panel Data Case
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GMM Estimation for One Equation
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GMM for a System of Equations
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SUR Model with Endogenous RHS Variables
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GMM for the System - Notation
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Instruments
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Moment Equations
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Estimation-1
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Estimation-2
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Estimation-3
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Estimation-4
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Estimation-5
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Arellano and Bond Estimator - 3
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Arellano and Bover Instrumental Variables Approach
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Simple IV Estimation
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Arellano/Bond/Bover’s Formulation
These blocks may contain all previous exogenous variables, or all exogenous variables for all periods. This may contain the all periods of data on x1 rather than just the group mean. (Amemiya and MaCurdy).
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Arellano/Bond/Bover’s Formulation
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Arellano/Bond First Difference Formulation
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Arellano/Bond - GLS
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Arellano/Bond GLS Estimator
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GMM Estimator
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http://people. stern. nyu
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The NYU No Action Letter
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Arellano/Bond/Bover’s Formulation
For unbalanced panels the number of columns for Zi varies. Given the form of Zi, the number of columns depends on Ti. We need all Zi to have the same number of columns. For matrices with less columns than the largest one, extra columns of zeros are added.
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