1. The Next Plague
Bruce Curran

3. Top Five Historical Plagues
The Next Plague
Top Five Historical Plagues

4. The American Plagues 16th Century Smallpox and Measles
The Next Plague
Plague #5
The American Plagues 16th Century
Smallpox and Measles
Syphilis

5. The Great Plague of London 1665-1666
The Next Plague
Plague #4
The Great Plague of London (

6. The Next Plague
Plague #3
Plague of Justinian

7. The Next Plague
Plague #2
The Third Pandemic

8. The Next Plague
Plague #1
The Black Death

9. List of WHO Preventable Diseases
Global Epidemiology
List of WHO Preventable Diseases
1. Anthrax
2. Measles
3. Rubella
4. Cholera
5. Meningococcal
6. Influenza
7. Diphtheria
8. Mumps
9. Tetanus
10. Hepatitis A
11. Pertussis
12. Tuberculosis
13. Hepatitis B
14. Pneumoccocal disease
15. Typhoid fever
16. Hepatitis E
17. Poliomyelitis
18. Tick-borne encephalitis
19. Haemophilus influenzae type b
20. Rabies
21. Varicella and herpes zoster (shingles)
22. Human papilloma-virus
23. Rotavirus gastroenteritis
24. Yellow fever
25. Japanese encephalitis
26. Malaria
27. Dengue fever
Others not on WHO List:
1. Anthrax
2. Plague
3. Q fever
4. Smallpox

10. Hepatitis and Malaria

11. The Next Plague

12. The Next Plague Basic Epidemiology Travel
Local Immunity and Adaptations
Sickle Cell
AIDS Immunity
The Common Cold Somewhere Else

13. Prevention & Immunization: Pick One
The Next Plague
Prevention & Immunization: Pick One
Ebola
Swine Flu
AIDS
The Common Flu

14. The Next Plague What Are The Odds? One in 100 million One in 6 million
One in a million
One in 5000

15. The Next Plague Influenza Did You Get a Shot?
Why Should You Get a Shot?
Epitopes and Prevention
Time of the Year and Distance

16. 1918-1919 The Great Flu Epidemic
Influenza Pandemics
The Great Flu Epidemic
25% of the world population was sick
600, ,000 died in the United States
Worldwide million died

17. Influenza Pandemics 1957-1958 Worldwide 2 million people died
70,000 died in the United States

18. Influenza Pandemics 1968 - 1969 The Hong Kong Flu
Worldwide 1 million people died
34,000 died in the United States

19. Influenza Pandemics 2009 - 2010 H1N1 Worldwide 289,000 people died
12,000 died in the United States

20. History of AIDS

21. History of AIDS

22. The History of AIDS Origin of the Disease San Francisco 1980s
Jim Bunn & WHO
Early Research

23. History of AIDS

24. History of AIDS HIV Drug Availability 1993 - 0 1994- 1996 - 1

25. History of AIDS

26. History of AIDS

27. Hepatitis and Malaria

28. Hepatitis A Hepatitis B Hepatitis C

29. Hepatitis Hepatitis A Facts Transmission: Water Food Mollusk
Institutional
Clinical Outcomes:
Recovery - Usual Outcome
Prolonged - <5%
Relapse - 10% - 15%
Fulminant %

30. Hepatitis
The Hepatitis B Virus

31. Hepatitis

32. Hepatitis

33. Hepatitis

34. Malaria
Malaria

35. Malaria

36. Malaria

37. Malaria

38. Malaria

39. Malaria
Climate change will allow malaria to spread into new areas. This map shows the new areas where the Malaria parasite Plasmodium falciparum, will likely be able to spread by 2050 based on the Hadley Centre model's high scenario. Areas shown in yellow indicate the current distribution of malaria. Areas shown in red indicate areas where climate will be suitable for malaria by Other areas may become free of malaria as climate changes. Courtesy of Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal

40. Tick Borne Illness Or Lyme Syndrome Diseases
The Next Plague
Tick Borne Illness Or Lyme Syndrome Diseases

41. Tick Borne Illness or Lyme

44. Tick Borne Illness or Lyme

47. Tick Borne Illness or Lyme

48. The distribution of tick sightings across the
United States between
1907–1996
and 1907–2015.

49. Four Levels of Public Health Threats
Public Health Advisory - a potential public health threat has been identified.
Public Health Notice - a public health threat is spreading within a specific population or community.
Public Health Alert - a public health threat has the potential to spread rapidly nationwide.
Public Health Emergency – a public health threat has reached epidemic proportions requiring drastic public health measures.

50. The Next Plague
Concluding Thoughts