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Financial Infrastructure Peer Stein, Manager, Advisory Services Access to Finance International Finance Corporation Vienna, September 11, 2008.

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Presentation on theme: "Financial Infrastructure Peer Stein, Manager, Advisory Services Access to Finance International Finance Corporation Vienna, September 11, 2008."— Presentation transcript:

1 Financial Infrastructure Peer Stein, Manager, Advisory Services Access to Finance International Finance Corporation Vienna, September 11, 2008

2 In emerging markets, roughly two-thirds of the population remain unbanked and underserved
This includes retail, micro, small enterprises.

3 Aggregate bank lending to the private sector still low
Source: World Development Indicators (World Bank) Domestic Credit to the Private Sector 50 100 150 200 250 United States East Asia and Pacific Euro Zone Sub- Saharan Africa Middle East and North South Asia Europe Central Latin America Caribbean As % of GDP 2000 2005

4 Access points lag behind, though alternative channels may be an opportunity
Internet Users & Growth in Internet Users (by Regions) 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Africa Asia Europe Middle East North America Latin Oceania/ Australia Number of Internet Users (Millions) 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% 500% % Growth in Internet Users ( ) Banking Penetration in 99 countries 80.0 70 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 33 35 30.0 20.0 12 13 9 8 7 11 9 10.0 6 6 5 1 3 5 0.0 High High East Asia Europe Latin Middle South Asia Sub- income: income: & Pacific & Central America & East & Saharan non OECD OECD Asia Caribbean North Africa Africa Avg. no. of branches per 100,000 people Avg. no. of ATMs per 100,000 people Global Card Purchase Transactions (Billions) 17% 23% 16% 11% 12% 10 20 30 40 50 North America Europe Asia/ Pacific Latin ME/Africa Billions 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% CAGR ( ) 2005 2006 2007 2008 Growth in Mobile Cellular Users ( ) 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Millions America Western Europe Eastern Europe Asia Pacific Latin America Other Sources: 1) Reaching Out: Access to and use of banking services across countries, Beck, Thorsten, A.Demirgüç-Kunt and M. Martinez Peria, Journal of Financial Economics, 85, pp ) BuddeComm based on internetworldstats.com, ) Lehman Brothers report on Specialtfy Finance, June 25, ) PaulBudde Communications Pty Ltd, 2007

5 Not only availability is an issue, but also affordability
Access to finance High income Cost of finance East Asia & Pacific Europe & Central Asia Latin America & Caribbean Middle East & North Africa South Asia While in malawi, sierra leone and uganda fees exceed 20% of gdp per capita, these acountrs are free in countries such as Sweden Average 2.49 Median 0.3 Sub-Saharan Africa 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Share of firms reporting cost of/access to finance (percent) Source: Demirguc-Kunt, Finance for All? Policies and Pitfalls in Expanding Access, World Bank Research Report, November 2007

6 Annual Fees for a Checking Account (% of GDPPC)
Financial services in developing countries can be prohibitively expensive Annual Fees for a Checking Account (% of GDPPC) While in malawi, sierra leone and uganda fees exceed 20% of gdp per capita, these acountrs are free in countries such as Sweden Average 2.49 Median 0.3 Source: Beck, Thorsten, Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Maria Soledad Martinez Peria, Banking Services for Everyone? Barriers to Bank Access and Use Around the World, World Bank, February 2007.

7 Expanding access to finance requires solid financial infrastructure
Creating and improving financial infrastructure Credit bureaus, payment systems and collateral registries Legal and regulatory framework Working with financial institutions Retail/SME banks, microfinance, housing, leasing Comprehensive, long-term institution building programs Working with securities markets Corporate and government bond markets Market Infrastructure MFI Bank A Bank B

8 Total financing volumes supported by Financial Infrastructure in emerging markets
2006 Emerging Market GDP = $11,527 BN $688 $141 $240 $2,804 $1,342 $204 $222 $1,173 $- $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $155,000 Credit Bureaus Collateral Registries Remittances Domestic Payments Securities Markets Corporate Governance US $ Billions Total Current Financing Volume Total Potential Financing Volume $2,030 $345 $154,195 $462 $3,977 $4,169 $9,178 $5,009 $89,350 $64,845 Note: Numbers are estimates based on several studies and assumptions. For more details please refer to the Methodology Sheet for Impact Calculations. * Current volume of transactions for Payment Systems is based on survey data for 91 emerging market countries. Based on retail payments data only.

9 2006 Emerging Market Population = 5.4 billion
Total people positively affected by Financial Infrastructure 2006 Emerging Market Population = 5.4 billion 0.34 0.71 1.10 0.24 0.65 0.17 1.87 0.08 0.28 0.06 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 Credit Bureaus Collateral Registries Remittances Domestic Payments Securities Markets Corporate Governance Billions Number of people currently affected Potential # of people affected 0.99 0.25 2.97 0.77 0.53

10 Retail/small business Financial Infrastructure helps reduce
Financial Infrastructure has long-term systemic potential to reduce cost per dollar lent or sent Notes: “Total potential reduction in costs” is indicative of the broad range of potential cost reduction. Actual cost savings realized is contingent ultimately on the efficiency of the system. Credit Bureaus: Lending costs on micro, retail and small business loans. Upper limit is for MFI loans, and is based on average of “Operating costs as a % of loan portfolio” information obtained from 2006 MIX Market data for 798 MFIs in 96 countries. Collateral Registries: Lending costs on secured credit and leases. Remittances: Cost of sending remittances to remitter’s home country. Domestic payments: Cost of sending payments in country. $0 $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 Retail/small business loans that can make use of credit bureaus Loans securitized with moveable collateral Remittances Domestic Payments Cost per $100 lent or sent Least efficient system Most efficient system Total potential reduction in costs 90% 80% 75% Financial Infrastructure helps reduce transaction costs CR – mf, housing, retail, Secured credit (car loans), leases Remittances – cost of sending remittance homes Domestic payments – cost of sending payments in country In chart – FI can help reduce

11 The World Bank Group is developing a Financial Infrastructure Index (FII)
The Financial Infrastructure Index: Provides a basis for cross-country comparison of FI elements for which consistent cross country data is available Builds on an FI index being developed by the OECD Measures strength of FI using indicators for four broad areas: Contract Enforcement – as a proxy for enforcement of creditor rights in case of non-payment Access to Credit - measures availability and scope of credit information and the degree to which collateral and bankruptcy laws protect the rights of borrowers and lenders Investor Protection - measures extent of disclosure, director liability and the extent to which shareholders can challenge transactions, including minority shareholder rights. Proxy for corporate governance Bankruptcy Procedures – reflects time, cost and outcomes of bankruptcy proceedings As more data become available, the index will be expanded to include other aspects of financial infrastructure such as payment systems, the status of auditing and accounting and securities market infrastructure.

12 Preliminary results showing FII regional averages
Financial Infrastructure Index Access to Finance Enforcing Contract Bankruptcy Procedures Protecting Investors EAP 0.53 0.31 0.59 0.52 ECA 0.55 0.41 0.66 0.61 0.50 HCD 0.71 0.70 0.84 LAC 0.44 0.58 0.60 MEN 0.48 0.30 0.57 0.47 SAS 0.49 0.24 SSA 0.45 0.23 0.43 Source: World Bank and IFC. The methodology for the computation of the index follows OECD framework as developed by Alain de Serres, Shuji Kobayakawa, Torsten Slok and Laura Varita (2007) “Regulation of Financial Systems and Economic Growth”, OECD working paper ECO/WKP(2006)34

13 Private credit to GDP and Financial Infrastructure
Financial Infrastructure and Depth 140% 124% 120% 100% Domestic credit to GDP 80% 56% 60% 45% 37% 40% 17% 20% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 FI quintiles Note: correlation controlling for income per capita and off shore financial zones. Source: World Bank and IFC

14 Interest rate spread and Financial Infrastructure
Financial Infrastructure and Efficiency 14.0 12.2 12.0 10.0 8.2 8.0 6.8 7.1 Interest rate spread 6.0 3.6 4.0 2.0 0.0 1 2 3 4 5 FI index Note: correlation controlling for income per capita and real interest rate. Source: World Bank and IFC

15 Non-performing loans and Financial Infrastructure
Financial Infrastructure and Stability 14.0 12.5 12.0 10.0 10.0 7.8 Non-performing loans (%) 8.0 6.0 4.6 4.0 2.4 2.0 0.0 1 2 3 4 5 FI index Note: correlation controlling for income per capita, inflation and GDP growth.. Source: World Bank and IFC

16 What should policy makers do?
Pursue sound financial sector and macroeconomic policies Establish an appropriate legal and regulatory framework Develop institutional capacity for enforcement and oversight Address competition policy issues, maintaining a balance with cooperation Identify clear roles for public and private sectors Extend financial infrastructure to target populations such as low-income, SME or rural consumers Develop multi-sector strategies or solutions to address the problem of access Prioritize development objectives of FI Promote financial education and financial literacy

17 World Bank Group Support to Financial Infrastructure Development
Explore synergies among individual programs in countries/regions (see next slide) Strenghten/broaden standard setting efforts (e.g. credit reporting) Working on common terminology/approaches Push the Research agenda Conduct “Financial Sector Assessment Program” (FIAP) within the context of FSAPs and beyond Prepare joint TA and Loan/Grants programs

18 World Bank Group Support to Financial Infrastructure Development: Active projects

19 ANNEX

20 World Bank Group indicators and databases cover most financial infrastructure
Existing: Doing Business Credit bureaus Movable collateral Property registration (part of immovable collateral) Investor protection (part of corporate governance) Contract enforcement Payments Systems Group “Global Payments Survey” Remittance price database In Development: Getting Finance Indicators Collateral Registry Survey

21 “Getting Credit” Indicator
Private Bureau Coverage (% of Adult Population) OECD 59.3 Latin America & Caribbean 32.1 Private Bureau Coverage (% of Adults) Eastern Europe & Central Asia 15.4 East Asia & Pacific 10.8 Middle East & North Africa 8.1 Sub-Saharan Africa 4.5 South Asia 1.9 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Credit Information Index 4.8 3.4 2.6 1.9 1.3 1 2 3 4 5 6 OECD Eastern Europe & Central Asia Latin America & Caribbean Middle East & North Africa East Asia & Pacific South Sub- Saharan Credit Information Index measures rules affecting the scope, access, and quality of credit information. Source: Doing Business 2008

22 Strength of collateral and bankruptcy laws and investor protection rights
Legal Rights Index 6.4 5.6 4.5 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.7 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 OECD Eastern Europe & Central Asia East Asia & Pacific Latin America & Caribbean Sub- Saharan Africa South Asia Middle East & North Africa The Legal Rights Index measures the degree to which collateral and bankruptcy laws facilitate lending, Investor Protection Index 6.0 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.7 4.3 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 7.0 OECD East Asia & Pacific Latin America & Caribbean Eastern Europe & Central Asia South Asia Middle East & North Africa Sub- Saharan Africa Investor Protection Index measures the strength of minority shareholder protections against misuse of corporate assets by directors for their personal gain. Source: Doing Business 2008

23 “Enforcing Contracts” indicator
50 43.5 43.5 60 39.4 39.3 37.3 40 35.9 50 Measures efficiency of contract enforcement by following the evolution of a sale of goods dispute and tracking the time, cost, and number of procedures involved from the moment the plaintiff files the lawsuit until actual payment. 31.3 30 40 # of Procedures 30 20 Cost (% of Claim) 20 10 10 Middle East & North Africa South Asia Sub- Saharan Africa Latin East Asia & Pacific Eastern OECD America & Europe & Caribbean Central Asia Procedures (number) Cost (% of claim) Duration (days) 1047 700 699 643 550 443 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 South Asia Latin America & Caribbean Middle East & North Africa Sub-Saharan Africa East Asia & Pacific OECD Eastern Europe & Central Asia Number of Days to Enforce a Contract Source: Doing Business 2008

24 “Registering Property” indicator
7 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.2 5 4.9 1 2 3 4 6 8 Number of Procedures 10 12 Cost (% of Property Value) Procedures (number) Cost (% of property value) Middle East & North Africa South Asia Sub- Saharan Latin America & Caribbean East Asia & Pacific Eastern Europe & Central Asia OECD Examines the steps, time, and cost involved in registering property, assuming a standardized case of an entrepreneur who wants to purchase land and a building in the largest business city—already registered and free of title dispute. Duration (days) 28 48 73 92 99 105 134 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 OECD Middle East & North Africa Latin America & Caribbean Eastern Europe & Central Asia East Asia & Pacific Sub-Saharan Africa South Asia Number of days Source: Doing Business 2008


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