1. - Creating an awareness discussion -
Foresight Cards
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2. Foresight cards Trendwatching? Future of “our values”
5 minute discussion with your group
How does this theme develop itself into the future?
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3. Foresight cards Trendwatching? Future of “our values”
5 minute discussion with your projectgroup
How does this theme develop itself into
the future?
Future of “our values”
In your discussion about the future…
- Which elements are important, when you are talking with eachother about the future?
Again, 5 minute discussion
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4. Talking about the future
Foresight cards
Talking about the future
Oil spill
Future events…
Perspective of Time
Perspective of Relevance
Perspective of Reliability of information
Perspective of Uncertainty
Predetermined <-> Controversy
Perspective of Change Trend / Gradual- / Abrupt discontinuity
Increased usaged of digital devices 
Van Rijn & Van der Burgt (2012) – Handboek Scenarioplanning, (hoofdstuk1 – free to download)
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5. Foresight cards Perspective of change
When looking at the development of a random issue we are able to determine the change that has occurred in a certain timespan. We can determine change for all kinds of phenomenons that have already taken place or that might occur in the future. Change can be described by addressing the corresponding “pattern of change”. Van Rijn & Van der Burgt (2012) identified 9 patterns of change in four categories. That helps people to address change in such a way that  they can talk about change in the same way.
Van Rijn & Van der Burgt (2012) – Handboek Scenarioplanning, (hoofdstuk1 – free to download)
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6. Foresight cards Perspective of change Time, Relevance, Uncertainty,
Reliability of information and CHANGE:
When looking at the development of a random issue we are able to determine the change that has occurred in a certain timespan. We can determine change for all kinds of phenomenons that have already taken place or that might occur in the future. Change can be described by addressing the corresponding “pattern of change”. Van Rijn & Van der Burgt (2012) identified 9 patterns of change in four categories. That helps people to address change in such a way that  they can talk about change in the same way.
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7. Our (STEEP) environment
Foresight cards
Our (STEEP) environment
PEST, DESTEP, PESTLE, STEEPLE, LESTEP…
Macro – contextual level
The contextual level consists of ‘global forces’, think about: economical developments, demographics, politics, technological developments and social developments. Foresight Cards – STEEP edition focusses on external forces that address the contextual level.
Meso – transactional level
The transactional level consists of ‘market forces’, think about: suppliers, supply and demand, distribution, competitors and strategic alliances.
Micro – organizational level
The organizational level involves forces that address the internal environment of the firm. Think about: vision, mission, strategy, resources, processes, products and services.
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8. Foresight cards Foresight Cards
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9. Playing with our beliefs and think about the future
Foresight cards
Playing with our beliefs and think about the future
Purpose: Creating awareness about our own (dominant) thinking.
Components: The card ‘patterns of change’.
Method
Shuffle the cards and deal each player seven cards.
The first player places a card in front of him and takes the first pattern of change symbol.
The player speaks out 2 concrete and demonstrable developments from his knowledge, based on the pattern of change.
If succesful, the player loses his card, if NOT succesful, he takes a new card from the deck. The old card remains at its place.
The next player chooses a card from his hand and takes the next pattern of change symbol,
…and speaks out… (see bold text above)
The first player to empty his hand has won the game.
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10. Playing with our beliefs and think about the future
Foresight cards
Playing with our beliefs and think about the future
Purpose: Creating awareness about our own (dominant) thinking.
Components: The card ‘patterns of change’.
Method
Shuffle the cards and deal each player seven cards.
The first player places a card in front of him and takes the first pattern of change symbol.
The player speaks out 2 concrete and demonstrable developments from his knowledge, based on the pattern of change.
If succesful, the player loses his card, if NOT succesful, he takes a new card from the deck. The old card remains at its place.
The next player chooses a card from his hand and takes the next pattern of change symbol,
…and speaks out… (see bold text above)
The first player to empty his hand has won the game.
LEVEL UP: When placing a card, the player has to relate the developments to the previous card
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11. “Reflection” - What did you/we learn?
Foresight cards
Perspective of change
“Reflection” - What did you/we learn?
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12. Foresight Cards information
This analysis tool helps to assess the external macro environment!
The Foresight Cards contains 125 macro forces classified into the STEEP categories (social, technological, economical, environmental and political). Other known acronyms derived from STEEP are: PEST, PESTLE, STEP, STEPJE, STEEPLED, DESTEP and LEPEST. The STEEP acronym is well known and used all over the world as a basis for external analysis.
For example the STEEP cards can be used by individuals and groups to have workshops to:
create awareness about past, current and future changes;
stress test a business model;
create a SWOT analysis;
energize;
tell a story;
discuss certain (strategic) topics;
think about systems and how external developments connect to each other;
determine key-uncertainties to create future scenarios (scenario planning);
etc. etc. etc.
Check the website for more information, to download other workshops and how to order the pack of cards.
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