Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Compare “A and B” to “A or B”

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "Compare “A and B” to “A or B”"— Presentation transcript:

1 Compare “A and B” to “A or B”
The compound event “A and B” means that A and B both occur in the same trial. Use the multiplication rule to find P(A and B). The compound event “A or B” means either A can occur without B, B can occur without A or both A and B can occur. Use the addition rule to find P(A or B). A B A B A or B A and B

2 Mutually Exclusive Events
Two events, A and B, are mutually exclusive if they cannot occur in the same trial. A = A person is under 21 years old B = A person is running for the U.S. Senate A = A person was born in Philadelphia B = A person was born in Houston A Mutually exclusive B P(A and B) = 0 When event A occurs it excludes event B in the same trial.

3 Non-Mutually Exclusive Events
If two events can occur in the same trial, they are non-mutually exclusive. A = A person is under 25 years old B = A person is a lawyer A = A person was born in Philadelphia B = A person watches West Wing on TV A and B Non-mutually exclusive P(A and B) ≠ 0 A B

4 The Addition Rule The probability that one or the other of two events will occur is: P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B) A card is drawn from a deck. Find the probability it is a king or it is red. A = the card is a king B = the card is red. P(A) = 4/52 and P(B) = 26/52 but P(A and B) = 2/52 P(A or B) = 4/ /52 – 2/52 = 28/52 = 0.538

5 When events are mutually exclusive,
The Addition Rule A card is drawn from a deck. Find the probability the card is a king or a 10. A = the card is a king B = the card is a 10. P(A) = 4/52 and P(B) = 4/52 and P(A and B) = 0/52 P(A or B) = 4/52 + 4/52 – 0/52 = 8/52 = 0.054 When events are mutually exclusive, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)

6 Contingency Table One of the responses is selected at random. Find:
The results of responses when a sample of adults in 3 cities was asked if they liked a new juice is: Omaha Seattle Miami Total Yes 100 150 150 400 No 125 130 95 350 Undecided 75 170 5 250 Total 300 450 250 1000 One of the responses is selected at random. Find: 1. P(Miami and Yes) 2. P(Miami and Seattle) 3. P(Miami or Yes) 4. P(Miami or Seattle)

7 Contingency Table 1. P(Miami and Yes) 2. P(Miami and Seattle) = 0
Omaha Seattle Miami Total Yes 100 150 150 400 No 125 130 95 350 Undecided 75 170 5 250 Total 300 450 250 1000 One of the responses is selected at random. Find: 1. P(Miami and Yes) 2. P(Miami and Seattle) = 250/1000 • 150/250 = 150/1000 = 0.15 = 0

8 Contingency Table 3 P(Miami or Yes) 4. P(Miami or Seattle) Omaha
Total Yes 100 150 150 400 No 125 130 95 350 Undecided 75 170 5 250 Total 300 450 250 1000 3 P(Miami or Yes) 4. P(Miami or Seattle) 250/ /1000 – 150/1000 = 500/1000 = 0.5 250/ /1000 – 0/1000 = 700/1000 = 0.7

9 P(A and B) = P(A) • P(B|A) P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)
Summary For complementary events P(E') = 1 - P(E) Subtract the probability of the event from one. The probability both of two events occur P(A and B) = P(A) • P(B|A) Multiply the probability of the first event by the conditional probability the second event occurs, given the first occurred. Probability at least one of two events occur P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B) Add the simple probabilities, but to prevent double counting, don’t forget to subtract the probability of both occurring.


Download ppt "Compare “A and B” to “A or B”"

Similar presentations


Ads by Google