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Sampling & Sampling Distributions
Sampling vs Census Reasons for Taking a Sample: Save Time Save Money Infinite Population Destructive Testing More Accurate Sampling Error - Sample Does Not Reflect the Population by Random Chance.
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Sampling Bias – Sample Does Not Reflect the Population because
Certain Elements of the Population have a Higher Chance of Selection. Literary Digest Poll – 1936 Roosevelt ,897 Landon 1,293,669 Bias of Non-Response Taking a Random Sample will Prevent Sampling Bias. Simple Random Sample – Each Element of the Population has equal Chance of Selection.
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Ex: Simple Random Sample
Select 3 people from 8 people Mary Joni Neil Don Linda Paul Mark Jane Random Number Table
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Modifications of Simple Random Sampling:
Systematic Random Sample – A Few Random Selections Force the other Selections Stratified Random Sample – Divide Population into Strata Cluster Sampling – Divide Population into Clusters (Areas)
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Sampling Distribution for Sample Mean
Ex: Population X | µ = 3 P(X) | 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/5 1/ σ2 = 2 Sample 2 Rolls from this Population: {1,1} {2,1} {3,1} {4,1} {5,1} {1,2} {2,2} {3,2} {4,2} {5,2} {1,3} {2,3} {3,3} {4,3} {5,3} {1,4} {2,4} {3,4} {4,4} {5,4} {1,5} {2,5} {3,5} {4,5} {5,5} Find the Sample Mean for these Samples
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Sample Mean Distribution:
X | P(X) X•P(X) (X-µ) (X-µ)2 (X-µ)2•P(X) | 1/25 1.5 | 2/25 | 3/25 2.5 | 4/25 | 5/25 3.5 | 4/25 4.5 | 2/25 5 | 1/25
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Central Limit Theorem – The Distribution for the Sample Mean, X, is
Approximately Normal for a Large Enough Sample Size (n ≥30), And and
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Z Formula for Sample Mean Transformation to Standardized Normal Curve
Ex: Male Heights are Normally Distributed with a Mean of 70” Std Dev of 3” P(X > 72”) = If n = 4, P( > 72”) =
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n =25 P( > 72)
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Sampling from a Finite Population
Finite Correction Factor Modified Z Formula Use If n > .05•N
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