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Trade in local currencies
With reference to India and Russia
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Trade settlement in local currencies
With reference to India and Russia
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Why cross border transactions
Countries may not be self sufficient Even if sufficient, may not be efficient Even if sufficient and efficient, locational advantage may not be there Land, labour, capital, inputs Even if all factors favourable, there may be Governmental requirements
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Factors in cross border trade
Minimum two parties Consideration Funding And channel for movement of funds Ownership And channel for movement of ownership Local / global / glocal rules Currency
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Why currency is important?
Local currency always preferred Not possible, why??? International currency Risks associated??? Why not adopt an international currency???
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International currency
Freely available Freely exchangeable Freely accepted for settlement of claim Limitation Cost Risk Effects on economy Unilateral action
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Then why not settle trade in local currency?
Advantages Comparative advantages vis-à-vis Cost Risk Effects on economy Unilateral action But there are limitations too: Availability Exchangeability Acceptability for settlement of claim
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Then why not settle trade in local currency?
Exchange rate May have to linked with a hard currency INR to Dollar to Rouble and vice versa Whether fixed exchange rate or floating exchange rate If rate of depreciation of one currency is more than that of the other currency Limits the acceptability for settlement of claim
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Then why not settle trade in local currency?
So what is equally important Size of economies Strength of currencies Synergies in trade Reciprocity and compatibility of the financial infrastructure
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Trade between India and Russia
Share of India’s exports to Russia to total exports of India has been relatively small at 0.6 percent India’s exports to Russia Include Engineering goods, Drugs and Pharmaceuticals, tea and Organic & Inorganic Chemicals Share of Indian imports from Russia to total imports of India has been around percent during to The major items of India’s imports from Russia include Defence items, Pearls, Precious & Semi-Precious stones; Non-Ferrous Metals; Fertilizers; Iron and Steel and also petroleum, crude and products.
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Trade between India and Russia
( US $ million) Year Export Import Trade Balance 2120.4 3895.7 (-7.7) (-7.9) 2097.3 4239.8 (-1.1) (8.8) 1589.9 4580.3 (-24.2) (8) APR-JAN 1303 3825.4 (-26.8) (5) APR-JAN 1543 4215.4 (18.4) (10.2)
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Arrangement between India and Russia
Corpus maintained with RBI (account of Bank of Foreign Economic Affairs or BFEA, now known as Vnesheconombank) Credits in the form of loan from erstwhile USSR and import payment by Indian entities Debits in the form of loan repayment and payment to Indian exporters to Russia Current outstanding is INR 1,23,024 lakh crore
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Arrangement between India and Russia Data out of Vnesheconombank’s account
Items/ Calendar Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 (Jan 1 - Aug 12) Debit / Export ₹ 57223,45,891 ₹ 60544,34,259 ₹ 21261,79,946 ₹ 23188,70,487 Credit / Loan ₹47288,50,842 ₹ 59759,67,060 ₹ 46616,46,675 ₹ 51960,89,386 Balance ₹78781,36,195 ₹ 77996,68,996 ₹ ,35,725 ₹ ,54,624
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Arrangement between India and Russia Data out of Vnesheconombank’s account
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Arrangement between India and Russia Data out of Vnesheconombank’s account
2017 In lakh crore Opening balance ₹ 1,25,285 Debit ₹ 50,463 Credit ₹ 48,202 Balance ₹ 1,23,024
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Arrangement between India and Russia
Whether the system could be more efficient? Are the funds remaining idle? Whether the beneficiary is willing to receive the payment in its currency instead of freely convertible / currency of the invoice/ contract Volatility in the currencies Availability and cost of hedging instruments Roles of Central Bank and commercial banks
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