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Four Key Questions Bondholder’s Original Cost
Bond as a Financial Asset Extinguishing Price Third-Party Reimbursement
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ISC Definition “The fair value of a corporate liability is the amount that the enterprise would have to pay a third party at the balance sheet date to take over the liability.”
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Three Key Implications
Fair value of liability not necessarily equal to market value of countervailing asset Market value of liability (as an asset) depends on credit risk of issuing company; FV of liability depends on credit risk of 3rd party ISC definition is incomplete
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In the Insurance World... Premium = PV of EL (no default) – PV of Default + Undwg Costs + PV (FIT on I.I.) PV (asset) = PV of EL (no default) – PV of Default Fair Value of Liability = Reinsurer’s Premium = PV of EL (no default) – PV of Reins’s D.O. + Rein’s Undwg Expenses + PV (FIT on Rein’s I.I.)
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Fair Value depends on ... PV of EL (no default)
Underwriting expenses and FIT’s of Reinsurance Company Financial Strength of Reinsurance Company
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AAA Monograph & Credit Risk
Cost of Capital Method to Determine RADR for a liability RADR = rL = rA – e(rE – rA) AAA unclear on scope of variables: company vs. third party AAA appears to use company; should use third party
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AAA “COC Method” vs. Actuarial “Risk Loads”
AAA method – combined adjustment for time and risk via RADR Actuarial methods – separate adjustment for time and risk (“risk load”) If inputs are identical both methods give same answer Two advantages of risk load approach
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FV of Insurance Liabilities & Actuarial Judgment
Need to “close loop” in ISC Definition Still cannot reduce FV to “cookbook” approach – requires sound actuarial judgment to determine marginal surplus and cost of capital of third party
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