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ZIMBABWE CASE STUDY
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OUTLINE Structure of the economy Stationarity tests The VAR model
Results
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1. STRUCTURE OF THE ECONOMY
Monetary policy framework -The central bank is not under any monetary policy framework. - The Bank uses moral suasion to influence the financial markets -level of financial deepening improving due to the continued evolution of mobile - banking Implications The economy is highly susceptible to external shocks such as the US/rand exchange rate developmements
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2. Tests for stationarity
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3.ESTIMATING A VAR ordering of ariables - ry lp lenr lm3 lex
Lag determination Testing for stability
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4. VAR MODEL COINTEGRATION EQUATION Comment
money supply and exchange rate explain GDP performance in Zimbabwe
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5a.Impulse response functions
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5b.Granger causality tests
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5c.Variance decomposition
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