1. Polling During the Nomination Season
Travis N. Ridout

2. Super Tuesday Results Obama won 13 states, Clinton won 8, 1 undecided
McCain won 9 states, Romney 7, Huckabee 5

3. Projected Democratic Delegate Count
Candidate
Delegates
Hillary Clinton
823
Barack Obama
741
2,026 needed to win

4. Projected GOP Delegate Count
Candidate
Delegates
Mike Huckabee
176
John McCain
680
Ron Paul 16
Mitt Romney
270
1,191 needed to win

5. Poll Predictive Success
State
Poll Average
Result
Alabama
Clinton +2
Obama +14
Arizona
Clinton +6
Clinton +9
California
Clinton +2.6
Clinton +10
Connecticut
Clinton +4
Obama +4
Georgia
Obama +15
Obama +35
Illinois
Obama +33
Obama +31
Massachusetts
Clinton +12.2
Clinton +15
Missouri
Obama +1
New Jersey
Clinton +7
New York
Clinton +17.2
Clinton +17
Tennessee
Clinton +13

6. Upcoming calendar Saturday - Washington - Louisiana - Nebraska Sunday
- Maine
Tuesday
- Maryland, Virginia, DC

9. NH v. SC polls New Hampshire - average poll error: 9.6 percent
South Carolina
- average poll error: 16.6 percent

10. Questions?