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UNSC Membership and PTAs Zachary and Taemin
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Research Question Does UNSC membership make it more likely that a country will form a Preferential Trade Agreement with the US?
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Literature Review The political economy of the UNSC
Countries trade aid for legitimacy Why do countries form PTAs? Economic benefits Political calculations
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Hypothesis The US forms Preferential Trade Agreements with UNSC members to increase its influence.
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Methodology Independent: UNSC Membership
Vreeland and Dreher 2014 Dependent: PTA accession with USA, lagged Baccini and Dür 2014 Logistic regressions
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Our Findings PTA Distribution, 2009 Rate of PTA Accession Non-UNSC
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Some Caveats Results are inconsistent across different lag times
Lag time (years) Prob > chi2 3 0.0431 5 0.0214 7 0.0063 10 0.0380 No controls yet
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Conclusion/Next Steps
Control for other variables Create better lag mechanism Expand window of UNSC membership Look at African UNSC members
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