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UNSC Membership and PTAs Zachary and Taemin

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Presentation on theme: "UNSC Membership and PTAs Zachary and Taemin"— Presentation transcript:

1 UNSC Membership and PTAs Zachary and Taemin

2 Research Question Does UNSC membership make it more likely that a country will form a Preferential Trade Agreement with the US?

3 Literature Review The political economy of the UNSC
Countries trade aid for legitimacy Why do countries form PTAs? Economic benefits Political calculations

4 Hypothesis The US forms Preferential Trade Agreements with UNSC members to increase its influence.

5 Methodology Independent: UNSC Membership
Vreeland and Dreher 2014 Dependent: PTA accession with USA, lagged Baccini and Dür 2014 Logistic regressions

6 Our Findings PTA Distribution, 2009 Rate of PTA Accession Non-UNSC

7 Some Caveats Results are inconsistent across different lag times
Lag time (years) Prob > chi2 3 0.0431 5 0.0214 7 0.0063 10 0.0380 No controls yet

8 Conclusion/Next Steps
Control for other variables Create better lag mechanism Expand window of UNSC membership Look at African UNSC members


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