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Chapter 11 Monetary policy and the financial system
Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Learning Objectives Review the functions of money and the money supply in Australia. Explain the transactions demand and asset demand for money. Examine the institutional structure of the Australian financial system and the role of the Reserve Bank of Australia. Explain the money-creating abilities of the banking system and the monetary (or credit) multiplier. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Learning Objectives (cont.)
Discuss the objectives of monetary policy and the route by which monetary policy affects the operation of the economy. Examine the balance sheet of the Reserve Bank of Australia, through which monetary policy is largely implemented. Analyse the techniques of monetary policy—the major instruments and how they function. Discuss the cause–effect chain through which monetary policy functions, and evaluate its effectiveness. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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The Functions of Money What is money?
Anything that performs the function of money is money. Money is what money does. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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The Functions of Money (cont.)
Money is a medium of exchange. Buying and selling goods and services. Money is a unit of account. Assisting measurement of relative worth of various goods, services and resources. Money serves as a store of value. A form in which to store wealth, due to its liquidity and convenience. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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The Supply of Money—Money Defined: M3
Three components: currency (coins and notes) current deposits in banks upon which cheques can be drawn non-current accounts such as savings. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Currency In Australia, token money
has intrinsic value which is less than face value of the money is the coin and note component of the money supply. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Current Deposits Cheques enable the ownership of current deposits to be transferred. Cheques are generally acceptable as a medium of exchange. Cheques can be readily converted into currency. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Non-Current Deposits highly liquid financial assets
can be readily converted into currency or current deposits new technologies (such as EFTPOS) important. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Broad Money M3 plus borrowings from the private sector of non-bank financial intermediaries (NBFIs) less holdings of currency and bank deposits by the NBFIs. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Credit Cards not money simply a convenient method of obtaining a short-term loan from the card-issuer facilitate the synchronisation of receipts and expenditures, reducing the demand for cash. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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The Monetary Base Composed of: currency held by the public
currency held by the banks banks’ demand deposits with the RBA. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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What ‘Backs’ the Money Supply?
money as debt value of money acceptability of money legal tender fiat money relative scarcity. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Demand for Money The demand for money is the demand for real money balance. Two reasons why people demand money: transactions demand (Dt) asset demand (Da). Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Transactions Demand (Dt )
The demand for money as a medium of exchange. Level depends on money GDP (not interest rates!). Money demand curve is vertical. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Assets Demand (Da ) The demand for money as financial assets and store of wealth. Level depends on interest rates. Down-sloping money demand curve. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Total Demand for Money (Dm )
Transactions demand and assets demand are added horizontally. Changes in interest rates lead to movement along the curve. Anything that changes money GDP leads to a shift in the money demand curve. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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+ = Demand for Money Transactions Demand, Dt Dt Asset Demand, Da Da
Total Demand for Money, Dm Dm 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 10 7.5 5 2.5 Rate of interest, i (per cent) Rate of interest, i (per cent) Rate of interest, i (per cent) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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The Money Market The combination of the money demand and money supply determines the equilibrium interest rate. The interest rate represents the opportunity cost of holding money balances. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Equilibrium Interest Rate
Sm 10 7.5 5 2.5 Dm Equilibrium Interest Rate ie Rate of interest, i (per cent) Amount of money demanded (billions of dollars) Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Interest Rate Differentials between Bond and Deposit Accounts
Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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The Australian Financial System
Consists of: the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) the banks financial intermediaries. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)
Responsibilities set out in the Reserve Bank Act 1959 Main functions: control of note issue banker to the banks exchange settlement accounts non-callable deposits banker to the government vital role in financing government deficits Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) (cont.)
Main functions (cont.): management of the international means of payment implementation of monetary policy. Other functions: regulation of the payment system membership of the board of the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) membership of the Council of Financial Regulators. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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How Banks Create Money The focus of this section will be on explaining how banks create deposit money. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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A single bank in a banking system
Transaction (1): The birth of a bank new owners sell $ worth of shares in the bank Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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A single bank in a banking system (cont.)
Transaction (2): Becoming a going concern acquisition of property and equipment Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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A single bank in a banking system (cont.)
Transaction (3): Accepting deposits citizens and businesses deposit $ change in composition not total supply of money Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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A single bank in a banking system (cont.)
Transaction (4): Setting aside required reserves assume reserve ratio is 20% bank must keep $ (required reserves) bank’s required reserve bank’s deposit liabilities Reserve ratio = Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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A single bank in a banking system (cont.)
Bank decides to keep $ (actual reserves), which is $ more than required (excess reserves). Bank’s required reserves are 20% of $ Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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A single bank in a banking system (cont.)
Transaction (5): Drawing a cheque A citizen who has substantial deposits in the bank draws a cheque for $ to buy goods. The seller of the goods deposits the cheque in another bank. The banking system as a whole has not lost or gained. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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A single bank in a banking system (cont.)
Transaction (5): Drawing a cheque (cont.) Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Creating Money Transaction (6): Granting a loan
A company borrows $ from the bank. Money is created. Balance sheet after loan is negotiated: Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Creating Money (cont.) Now, bank has no excess reserves.
Balance sheet after cheque drawn on loan has been cancelled: Now, bank has no excess reserves. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Creating Money (cont.) Transaction (7): Buying government bonds
Bank buys $ of government bonds instead of lending $ Money is created. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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The Banking System Multiple banks: multiple-deposit expansion.
Money is created by a multiple of the banking system’s excess reserves. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Multiple-Deposit Expansion
Assume initially: 20% reserve requirement Bank A Accepts a deposit for $100 does not alter money supply excess reserves of $80 a loan of $80 is negotiated. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Multiple-Deposit Expansion (cont.)
Balance Sheet: Bank A Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Multiple-Deposit Expansion (cont.)
Loan cheque of $80 is drawn on Bank A and deposited in Bank B Bank B Gains $80 in reserves and deposits Excess reserves of $64 Loans $64. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Multiple-Deposit Expansion (cont.)
Bank B Loan cheque of $64 is drawn on Bank B and deposited in Bank C, and so on … Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Multiple Deposit Expansion Process
Acquired reserves and deposits Required reserves Excess reserves New money created Bank A B C D E F G H I J K L M N Other banks $100.00 80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 21.97 $20.00 16.00 12.80 10.24 8.19 6.55 5.24 4.20 3.36 2.68 2.15 1.72 1.37 1.10 4.40 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 $80.00 64.00 51.20 40.96 32.77 26.22 20.98 16.78 13.42 10.74 8.59 6.87 5.50 4.40 17.57 Total amount of money created by the banking system $400.00 Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Multiple-Deposit Expansion (cont.)
Total banking system has created $400 How? Via the monetary multiplier where m is the monetary multiplier 1 reserve ratio monetary multiplier = 1 R m = Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Some Modifications Determining the required reserve ratio
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) as a supervisory body. The prime assets ratio (PAR)—the proportion of the banks’ total liabilities that must be held in a highly liquid form. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Other Leakages Currency drains
Loan may be paid in cash and remain in circulation Transfer of deposits to non-bank financial institutions Excess reserves Individual banks may choose to have larger reserves than required (say 25% instead of 20%) For the full multiplier effect to take place: Borrowers must be willing and able to utilise the loans Borrowing is likely to be low during a recession. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Objectives of Monetary Policy
influencing interest rates and credit availability to stabilise real GDP, employment and the price level Fundamental objectives full employment non-inflationary level of total output The Reserve Bank of Australia has responsibility for managing monetary policy. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Cause-Effect Chain of Monetary Policy
Cash rate interest rate charged by the RBA for exchange settlement account funds Other short-term interest rates the cash rate sets the cost of short-term funds for banks influences the rate at which banks are willing to lend Aggregate demand Availability of bank credit, which impacts on interest-sensitive spending (and therefore output, employment and prices), is impacted through monetary policy. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Monetary Policy and Aggregate Demand
Easy money policy RBA reduces the cash rate, lowering the cost and increasing the availability of bank credit, to expand spending and real GDP. Tight money policy RBA increases the cash rate, increasing the cost of credit, reducing the availability of credit, to reduce spending in the economy and reduce inflationary pressures. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Monetary Policy and Investment
Increases in interest rate reduce the viability of many investments and the quantity of investment spending falls. Increases in interest rate make the purchase of financial assets more attractive, in preference to making investment expenditures. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Balance Sheet of the RBA
Assets: gold and foreign exchange government securities Liabilities: notes on issue non-callable deposits exchange settlement account (ESA) funds. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Changes in ESA Funds and Monetary Policy
Funds flow to and from government accounts. Banks must maintain a positive balance in their ESAs with the RBA. If a bank’s ESA goes into deficit: it may borrow funds from other banks, or trade in either government securities or repurchase agreement (repo) Repos are agreements detailing the price, timing and conditions under which the banks and the RBA may exchange government securities. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Yield Curve The yield curve is a summary of the interest rates that apply at any given point in time to interest-bearing securities. Shows the link between the cash rate and other short-term interest rates. Changes in the cash rate change the cost of funds for banks, and change the cost of credit (loans) provided by the banks. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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The Yield curve June 2006 Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Tools of Monetary Policy
Two major tools used by the RBA to determine the cash rate: open market operations foreign exchange swaps and intervention in the foreign exchange market. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Open-Market Operations
Buying and selling of Commonwealth government securities by the RBA in the cash or short-term money market. The objective of open-market operations (OMOs) is to ensure that the demand and supply of ESA funds are such that they are in balance at the target cash rate. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Open-Market Operations (cont.)
Buying and selling of Commonwealth government securities by the RBA affects the cash rate. Cash rate provides an indication of the RBA’s monetary policy stance sustained increases in cash rate target level: tightening of monetary policy sustained decreases in cash rate target level: easing of monetary policy. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Open-Market Operations: Buying Securities
Banks sell some of their securities. RBA pays for securities by increasing banks’ exchange settlement accounts (ESAs). ESAs form part of the banks’ prime assets ratio (PAR) requirement. Bank reserves increase causing the monetary base and the banks’ lending ability to increase. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Open-Market Operations: Selling Securities
The RBA sells securities to the banks. Banks pay for securities by decreasing their exchange settlement accounts (ESAs). Bank reserves decrease causing the monetary base and the banks’ lending ability to decrease. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Foreign Exchange Swaps
RBA may use foreign exchange swaps to supplement or substitute for OMOs. Foreign exchange market intervention—either selling or buying Australian dollars Purchase/sale of dollars is equivalent to purchase/sale of government securities, and has similar impact on banks’ ESA funds. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Rediscount Rate and Monetary Policy
The rate at which the RBA buys or sells short-term securities under repurchase agreements. These can be used as a central tool of monetary policy. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Easy Monetary Policy Implemented when the economy is faced with the prospects of substantial unemployment or deflationary pressure. RBA announces its intention to reduce the cash rate. RBA acts to bring the ESA funds market into balance. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Tight Monetary Policy Enacted when the economy is facing significant inflationary pressures. RBA announces its intention to increase the target cash rate. ESA funds are brought into balance at this new target cash rate. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP
Cause–Effect Chain of Monetary Policy: Money supply impacts on interest rates. Interest rates affect investment. Investment is a component of AD. Equilibrium GDP is changed. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Quantity of money demanded and supplied
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP (cont.) SF2 SF1 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment demand Real rate of interest, i D1 Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of investment, i ASLR AS Tight Monetary Policy Price level P1 AD1 Real domestic output, GDP Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Quantity of money demanded and supplied
Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP (cont.) SF2 SF1 10 8 6 10 8 6 Investment demand Real rate of interest, i D1 Quantity of money demanded and supplied Amount of investment, i ASLR AS Tight Monetary Policy Price level P1 AD1 AD2 Real domestic output, GDP Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Monetary Policy and Equilibrium GDP (cont.)
Refinements and Feedback Effects Policy effectiveness depends on shape of the demand for money curve shape of the investment demand curve Feedback effects Reductions in GDP tend to reduce business profits, causing business to reduce investment. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Monetary Policy and the Open Economy
Net Export Effect Changes in interest rate affect the value of the exchange rate under floating exchange rate. An increase in interest rate appreciates the currency, resulting in lower net exports. A decrease in interest rate leads to currency depreciation and a rise in net exports. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Shortcomings of Monetary Policy
cyclical asymmetry conflict with Treasury goals cost-push inflation investment insensitivity Some question how sensitive investment actually is. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Strengths of Monetary Policy
Flexible and speedy to implement, relative to fiscal policy. Politically acceptable, due to its broad impact. Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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Next Chapter: Economic resources and the labour market
Copyright 2007 McGraw-Hill Australia Pty Ltd PPTs t/a Economic Principles 2e, by Jackson, McIver & Bajada By Muni Perumal
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