1. Overview of the PPLPI Policy Tool EXTRAPOLATE
Uganda pro-poor livestock policy dairy policy workshop
Ridar Hotel, Kampala
November 9, 2004

2. ex-ante policy analysis
Analyse the effects of existing policies on different groups of producers and consumers
Predict the impact of changing institutional and market environments on existing policy outcomes
Predict the impact of policy changes on different groups of livestock producers and consumers
Identify opportunities for intervention through adjustment of livestock-related policies
Help formulate policies consistent with equitable and sustainable livestock production

3. EXTRAPOLATE

4. Define beneficiary groups
Beneficiary groups are identified – these should include all stakeholders who are involved in the given opportunity (positive or negative)
Different beneficiary groups are given livelihoods status from 0-10, where 0 = ‘poor’ and 10 = ‘wealthy’
Livelihood status assigned to groups using “pairwise comparison method” (PCM)

5. Constraints-beneficiary matrix
Constraints are identified for each beneficiary group
The impact of each constraint on each beneficiary group should be scored from 0-10, where 0 = ‘no effect’ and 10 = ‘very considerable constraint’

6. Constraints-beneficiary matrix

7. Constraints-outcomes matrix
Outcomes (the measurable effects of relaxing constraints) should be listed
The impact of each outcome on each outcome should be scored from 0-10, where 0 = ‘no effect’ and 10 = ‘very considerable constraint’

8. Outcomes-livelihood status matrix
The impact of each outcome on the livelihood status of each beneficiary group should be scored from 0-10, where 0 = ‘no impact’ and 10 = ‘very considerable impact’

9. Policy-constraints matrix
Policy or institutional changes that might have an effect on the opportunity should be listed
The impact of the proposed changes should be estimated with respect to each constraint. These rank from -5 to +5, where -5 = ‘strong negative impact’ on a constraint (i.e. it becomes a bigger constraint); 0 = no impact; and +5 = ‘strong positive impact’ on a constraint (i.e. it is reduced/removed)

10. Policy-constraints matrix

11. Policy-constraints matrix

12. Policy-constraints matrix

13. Information and data requirements?
Assign livelihood status to beneficiary groups
assess the importance of particular constraints on different groups
Determine the outcomes – the measurable effects of relaxing constraints
Estimate the impact of the outcomes on the livelihood status of the beneficiary groups
predict the impact of policy change on constraints

14. Breakout groups Group 1 Group 2 Chair: Jimmy Patrick Saamanya
Raporteur: Valeria Mwesigwa
Group 2
Chair: Florence Kasirye
Raporteur: Thomas Emwanu

15. Breakout groups
Define the different beneficiary groups in the diary sector in Uganda
Define the major constraints faced by each beneficiary group

17. Characteristics of livestock sector policy
Based on sparse and inaccurate information
Developed on the basis of little or no analysis
Drawn up with limited stakeholder consultation
Rarely favours the poor
Favours large-scale production for export at the expense of small-scale producers and consumers
Encourages production that threatens long-term environmental sustainability

18. Field testing and development
Uganda – small holder dairy
Senegal – small ruminants (Tabaski feast)
Peru – camelid fibre
India (AP) – small ruminants
Viet Nam – small holder pork