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Global Livestock Development with Special Focus on Latin America
PANVET Buenos Aires, 2004 Samuel Jutzi
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Global Livestock Development with Special Focus on Latin America
PANVET Buenos Aires, 2004 Samuel Jutzi
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Outline World human populations and agricultural resources
World livestock production and productivity Consumption of livestock products and trade position of LA&C Projections Predicted demand growth in LA&C Predicted output growth in LA&C Future trade in livestock products Expected impacts Outline
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World Human Population 2002
Source: FAOSTAT Million Global total: 6.2 billion World Human Population 2002
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Proportion Population in Agriculture
Source: FAOSTAT Percent Proportion Population in Agriculture
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World Agricultural Area 2002
Million ha Global total: 5.0 billion ha World Agricultural Area 2002
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Land per Person in Agriculture 2002
Source: FAOSTAT Hectare/person in agriculture Land per Person in Agriculture 2002
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World Ruminant Populations 2002
Source: FAOSTAT Cattle & Buffalo Sheep & Goats Million Head World Ruminant Populations 2002
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World Ruminant Populations 2002
Source: FAOSTAT Cattle & Buffalo Sheep & Goats Global total: 1.5 billion Global total: 1.8 billion World Ruminant Populations 2002
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Global Cattle and Buffalo Distributions
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World Pig and Poultry Populations 2002
Source: FAOSTAT Pigs Poultry Million Head Billion Head World Pig and Poultry Populations 2002
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World Pig and Poultry Populations 2002
Source: FAOSTAT Pigs Poultry Global total: 0.9 billion Global total: 18 billion World Pig and Poultry Populations 2002
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LSUs per 100 Persons in Agriculture
Source: GLiPHA LSUs per 100 Persons in Agriculture
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Farming/Livestock Systems
Industrialized Countries: very labour saving, very capital intensive - large scale dairy, industrial monogastrics, ranching, feed lots SSA, SA, SEA: labour intensive, land saving or scavenging – small scale dairy, pastoral, landless & backyard mono-gastrics NA/NE & LAC: labour saving, capital intensive – majority of livestock - labour intensive, land saving or scavenging – majority of holdings Farming/Livestock Systems
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World Meat Production (2001/03)
Source: FAOSTAT Million MTs World Meat Production (2001/03)
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World Milk & Egg Production (2001/03)
Source: FAOSTAT Million MTs Million MTs Eggs Milk World Milk & Egg Production (2001/03)
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Meat Performance Indicator: Carcass Weight
Source: FAOSTAT Kg/animal Meat Performance Indicator: Carcass Weight
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Egg & Milk Performance Indicators
Source: FAOSTAT Kg/animal/year Kg/animal/year Milk Eggs Egg & Milk Performance Indicators
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Cost of Beef Production 2001
US-$ / 100 kg CW Range: Cost of beef production only, ‘ typical‘ farms, 2001 Deblitz et al., IFCN Beef Report 2002 Cost of Beef Production 2001
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Cost of Milk Production 2002
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 US-$ / 100 kg milk ECM Range: Cost of milk production only, ‘ typical‘ farms, 2002 Switzerland Norway Canada USA EU-15 EU-Cand. India Pakistan Argentina Brazil Australia New Zealand Bangladesh World market price level Hemme et al., IFCN Dairy Report 2003 Cost of Milk Production 2002
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LA&C Per Capita Meat Consumption
Source: FAOSTAT Kg/person/year LA&C Per Capita Meat Consumption
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LA&C Per Capita Egg & Milk Consumption
Source: FAOSTAT Eggs Milk Kg/person/year LA&C Per Capita Egg & Milk Consumption
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LA&C Total Consumption of Meat, Milk & Eggs
Source: FAOSTAT Million MTs Million MTs Eggs Meat Million MTs Milk LA&C Total Consumption of Meat, Milk & Eggs
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LA&C Net Meat Trade Balance by Volume
Source: FAOSTAT 1,000 MT LA&C Net Meat Trade Balance by Volume
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LA&C Net Meat Trade Balance by Value
Source: FAOSTAT Million USD LA&C Net Meat Trade Balance by Value
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LA&C Net Dairy Trade by Volume and Value
Source: FAOSTAT Volumes Values Million MT Billion USD LA&C Net Dairy Trade by Volume and Value
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LA&C Projected Increases in Demand for LPs
Source: FAO 2002 Million MT Eggs Meat Million MT Milk Million MT LA&C Projected Increases in Demand for LPs
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LA&C Projected Increases in Livestock Numbers
Source: FAO 2002 Million head Million birds LA&C Projected Increases in Livestock Numbers
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LA&C Projected Increases in Carcass Weights
Source: FAO 2002 Relative Increases Absolute Increases % kg LA&C Projected Increases in Carcass Weights
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LA&C Projected Increases in Production of LPs
Source: FAO 2002 Million MT Eggs Meat Million MT Milk Million MT LA&C Projected Increases in Production of LPs
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Projected Net Trade in Meat (thousand MTs)
Source: FAO 2002 2015: -1,900 2030: -1,090 European Union (15) Transition Countries North America 2015: -2,950 2030: -4,000 2015: -2,360 2030: -3,520 Near East / North Africa South Asia East Asia Sub-Saharan Africa 2015: -280 2030: -740 2015: 1,770 2030: 2,770 2015: -80 2030: -410 Industrial Countries 2015: 7,930 2030: 9,920 Latin America Oceania 85 Net Export -24 Net Import Projected Net Trade in Meat (thousand MTs)
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Projected Net Trade in Milk (thousand MTs)
Source: FAO 2002 2015: 3,500 2030: 5,200 European Union (15) Transition Countries North America 2015: -9,550 2030: -13,000 2015: - 8,900 2030: -12,500 Near East / North Africa East Asia South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa 2015: -6,350 2030: -6,700 2015: -3,600 2030: -5,200 2015: -1,200 2030: -1,500 Latin America Industrial Countries 2015: 28,000 2030: 35,700 Oceania 85 Net Export -24 Net Import Projected Net Trade in Milk (thousand MTs)
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Projected Net Trade in Grains (million MTs)
Source: FAO 2002 2015: 10 2030: 25 European Union (15) Transition Countries North America 2015: -53 2030: -73 2015: 2030: -116 Near East / North Africa East Asia South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa 2015: -16 2030: -13 2015: -25 2030: -40 2015: -12 2030: -22 Latin America Industrial Countries 2015: 187 2030: 247 Oceania 85 Net Export -24 Net Import Projected Net Trade in Grains (million MTs)
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Expected Impacts
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The End Visit us at: www.fao.org/ag/aga.html
Animal Production and Health Division | Samuel Jutzi
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