1. Pre-Detection NATO Workshop The Millennium Project
Panel: Synergies among Technologies, Collective Intelligence System for Security and Social Aspects
Pre-Detection NATO Workshop
Jerome C. Glenn, CEO
The Millennium Project

2. Old Way of Seeing Future Technologies
Artificial
Intelligence
Robotic
manufacturing
Artificial General Intelligence
Drones
Tele-Everything &
Tele-Everybody
the Semantic Web
Quantum computing
Nanotechnology
Synthetic Biology
3-D4-D Priting
Computational Science

3. Future Way of Seeing Future Technologies - Integration/Synergies

4. Future Technology Synergies
Robotic
manufacturing
Synthetic Biology
Increasing individual and collective intelligence
Quantum computing
Drones
Nanotechnology
Robotic
manufacturing
Artificial General Intelligence
3D，4D Printing
Tele-Everything
Tele-Everybody
the Semantic Web
Augmented Reality
Tele-Presence,
Holographics
Nanotechnology

5. Future Technology Synergies
Robotic
manufacturing
Artificial
Intelligence
Future Technology
Quantum computing
Drones
Robotic
manufacturing
Augmented Reality,
Tele-Presence,
Holographics
3D，4D Printing

6. Emerging Technological Synergies Matrix
If\then
Nano-
technology
Synthetic Biology
Internet of Things
3D Printing
Conscious-Technology
Artificial Intelligence
Nano-technology
xxx

7. Some Future Threats from Technologies
Internet of Things, system collapse, everything venerable
Increasing intelligence – mini Hitlers, brain gap prejudice
3-D Printing – proliferation of weapons out of control
Synthetic Biology – lab leaks, pandemics, SIMAD
Nanotechnology – individual mass armies, gray goo
AI & Robotics – mass unemployment, social revolutions
Augmented Reality – inability to distinguish reality, insanity

8. Thinking the Unthinkable… …Interactions of what can go wrong
If\then
IoT collapse
Information war paranoia
IQ, Brain gap mini Hitlers
SIMAD
Proliferation of
Nano Armies
Mass Unemployment
xxx
IQ, Brain gap, mini Hitlers
Proliferation of Nano Armies

9. Acceleration of Synergies among future technologies
Moore’s Law + Artificial Intelligence acceleration Computational science These three together will change what we think is possible.

10. Steve Jobs and Bill Gates 1991
By millions of people could become augmented geniuses, and what could they create?

11. Reduce the likelihood of SIMADs
Technology Sensors, mesh networks, etc.
Public Prevention & Detection Rolls
Mental Health, Child Development, Education
Potential Global Assessment by The Millennium Project

12. What sector of the public?
Lone Wolf
SIMAD
General Public
Public Prevention
Detection Rolls
Sympathetic to Ideological Support
Ideological Support

13. How to keep track and anticipate …the synergies among technologies and ….their potential security and social impacts? One approach: Collective Intelligence Systems

14. General concept of Collective Intelligence

15. Collective Intelligence Definition
emerges from the integration and synergies among
data/info/knowledge
software/hardware
experts and others with insight
that continually learns from feedback
to produce just in time knowledge for better decisions
than these elements acting alone. 15

16. General Steps to create a Collective Intelligence System
What the key challenges? Who are the best reviewers for each? For each Challenge, what are the best news sources, computer models, etc. that can feed new scanning items Create Situation Chart for each: What is, What ought, and ways to address the gap

17. Menu for each Challenge
Situation Chart: Current Situation; Desired Situation; and Policies
Report (detailed text)
News items (automatic news feeds – searchable)
Scanning (annotated, rated information)
On-going Real-Time Delphi questionnaires to collect expert judgments
Public comments
Discussion groups
Computer models (mathematical and rules-based), and conceptual models
Resources: websites, books, papers, videos
Updates – all edits
Digests – Recent scans, edits, discussions

18. One example of work flow:
News sources
Internet Sources
Short and Long- overviews
Scanning Items
Situation Chart:
What is; What ought
How to address the gap
Short-term Memory
Long-term Memory
Intelligence
Feedback on Overviews, Situation Charts, Scanning items, and News Sources to constantly change.
If there is time and interest go to if no firewall problems

19. For further information
Jerome C. Glenn
phone/fax
Global Futures Intelligence System:
State of the Future:
Futures Research Methodology 3.0: